Venezuela News & Analysis

The removal of Nicolás Maduro may satisfy Washington’s appetite for decisive action, but it does not amount to regime change.

This week we examine worsening protests across Iran, a state of geopolitical limbo descending over Venezuela, and a tentative step into hard power projection from the BRICS Plus bloc.

Regime change in Venezuela is a game-changing development that will resonate across the geopolitics of the Americas. But it’s not without its risks.

The geopolitical importance of Guyana has been underscored by the recent regime change in Venezuela.

The Maduro operation was coercive diplomacy enforced by overwhelming military action, rather than regime change framed as democratization. In other words, it is gunboat diplomacy adapted to the twenty-first century.

The arrest of Nicolás Maduro hardens a quiet conviction already spreading across the South: that the rules of the international order are no longer universal, but situational—and that survival now depends not on norms, but on leverage.

This week we examine fallout from the US military’s capture of President Maduro in Venezuela, cascading Saudi-UAE tensions over Yemen, and a new protest movement sweeping Iran.

Regime change in Venezuela can be traced back to Hugo Chavez acting against the geopolitical imperatives of his country. And now Washington is making the exact same mistake.

On Venezuela, Washington is now rehashing an older grammar of power, in which legality follows force rather than restrains it.

It’s not the volume of Washington’s drug boat strikes that’s most important – it’s the precedent they set for future military action. This forecast examines the diplomatic, economic, and military risk factors inherent to President Trump’s militarized approach to counter-narcotics.

This week we cover the deterioration of US-Venezuela relations in the wake of a US military strike on alleged drug traffickers; Fitch downgrading France sovereign debt to the lowest rating on record; a new government in Nepal after a wave of deadly protests; and signs of destabilization along the Afpak frontier.

Another election, another political crisis in Venezuela. But while some factors seem different this time, such as the chorus of external pressure, Maduro’s political fate will still be determined by his backers in the security forces.

The shifting economic, security, and diplomatic imperatives surrounding migration from different Latin American states illustrates how US migration policy cannot follow a one-size-fits-all approach.

Venezuela’s ongoing military build-up near Essequibo represents a major test of CARICOM’s diplomatic cohesion.

Recent military build-ups along the Guyana border strike a stark contrast with earlier steps toward a diplomatic resolution on Essequibo.