Backgrounder: China’s Arctic Strategy

XueLong, cc Bahnfrend, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Xue_Long,_Fremantle,_2016_(4).jpg

Beijing isn’t letting geography get in the way of it establishing a robust presence in the next great frontier of geopolitical competition.

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Outlook 2020: Oil Markets


Assessing market risks and potential winners and losers in the year ahead.

Revisiting the Ukraine-Russia-EU Triangular Dynamics

UkraineDon, cc Flickr spoilt.exile, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Assessing the wider issues that must be resolved if peace is to return to Ukraine.

Venezuela in Focus: Energy Industry

CitgoNeon, cc Flickr Lori L. Stalteri, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Any prospect of wider economic renewal in Venezuela starts and ends with its energy industry.

Venezuela in Focus: Security

Tear gas, and plastic pellet gunshot used by Venezuela's National Police against a protest in Altamira, Caracas., cc Andrés E. Azpúrua, modiofied, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Tear_gas_used_against_protest_in_Altamira,_Caracas;_and_distressed_students_in_front_of_police_line.jpg

Despite some improvement in crime statistics over the past year, Venezuela remains one of the most dangerous countries in the world.

Rwanda’s Vision 2020: Fruition or Failure?

cc ITU Pictures, Flickr, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The Rwandan economic miracle is not without its costs.

Corruption and Mismanagement Plague the Iranian Petroleum Sector

IranTanker, cc Alf van Beem, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Iran_Dena_IMO_9218480_p6_approaching_Port_of_Rotterdam,_Holland_15-Dec-2007.jpg

If past record is any indication, a healthy skepticism is warranted concerning Iran’s new oil discovery in Khuzestan province.

Tobacco Kills in More Ways than One

Cigarette_smuggling_with_a_book, cc Wiki Commons High Contrast, modified, public domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Cigarette_smuggling_with_a_book.JPG

Tobacco smuggling continues to fund trans-national criminal and terrorist networks around the world. But it doesn’t need to be this way.

Outlook 2020: African Debt Levels


Despite a recent stabilization, African debt levels have some worrying about the continent’s resilience in the event of a global economic downturn.

The Growing Threat of Ecofascism

El Paso shooting memorial, cc ruperto miller, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:El_Paso_shooting_memorial.jpeg#/media/File:El_Paso_shooting_memorial.jpeg

Xenophobia and climate change are providing fertile ground for ecofascism to win new converts.

China’s Naval Strategy in the East China Sea

The USS Ronald Reagan transits the South China Sea, cc Flickr Official U.S. Navy Page, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/ / SOUTH CHINA SEA (July 5, 2016) The Navy's only forward-deployed aircraft carrier USS Ronald Reagan (CVN 76) transits the South China Sea. Ronald Reagan, the Carrier Strike Group Five (CSG 5) flagship, is on patrol in the U.S. 7th Fleet area of responsibility supporting security and stability in the Indo-Asia-Pacific region. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Nathan Burke/Released) 160705-N-OI810-110

Exploring the strategic rationale behind the PLA Navy’s ongoing modernization program.

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