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Glacier Watch: Indus Basin

IndusRiver-Header2

Pakistan’s water issues will go from bad to worse after glaciers in the Indus Basin pass the peak water mark later this century.

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The EU Defense Industry: Background

cc Flickr 7th Army Training Command, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

So long as the EU defense industry is not the sum of its national parts, it will struggle to compete with giants like Russia and the United States.

No-Deal a Foregone Conclusion? UK Prepares for a Hard Brexit

Bojo, cc Flickr Financial Times, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Prime Minister Boris Johnson has declared that the UK is leaving the EU one way or another on October 31, but markets remain unconvinced.

Dominance via Development: How China Leverages International Aid

A painted portrait of Cambodian leader Hun Sen, cc Flickr thierry ehrmann, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The Chinese aid model has flaws that resemble Western exploitation in the 1980s. It’s time to come up with something new.

Turkey & Russia’s Détente Tested in Idlib

Putin Erdogan, cc Kremlin.ru, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/58574, modified,

Turkey-Russia cooperation is under strain as the Syrian regime intensifies its attempts to re-take the last major rebel stronghold in the civil war.

Italy: One Coalition Falls, Another Rises?

Renzi, cc Flickr Francesco Pierantoni, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini may have overplayed his hand in Italy.

Germany Veers toward Recession in 3Q

BMWMuseum, cc Flickr Sergei Gussev https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/,modified,

Amid trade wars and the uncertainty of Brexit, Europe’s economic engine has begun to sputter.

Mercenaries and the Wagner Group: What’s Old Is New Again

The Swiss Guard defends the royal family during the French Revolution in La Prise des Tuileries (10 août 1792), https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Tuileries_Henri_Motte.jpg, public domain

Russia’s infamous mercenary outfit is an effective mix of old and new.

US-China Trade War and Iranian Oil: Market Disruptions Ahead?

President Trump visits China in 2017; Whitehouse.gov, modified, public domain

Risks are mounting on both the supply and demand side of global oil markets.

Washington Sleeps While China Makes Waves in South China Sea

White House Washington, cc Cezary P, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:White_House_Washington.JPG

The US needs to play a stabilizing role in the SCS as China seeks to impose its hegemonic control of the region and beyond.

Shock Poll Puts Austerity on Notice in Argentina

(Buenos Aires - Argentina, 06/06/2019) Presidente da República, Jair Bolsonaro durante Reunião Ampliada com o Presidente da República Argentina, Mauricio Macri. Foto: Marcos Corrêa/PR cc Palácio do Planalto, Flickr, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Voters caught investors off-guard with their early rejection of Macri’s austerity policies. But will the resulting carnage in Argentine currency and equity markets change any minds?

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