Commodities

EV Battery Metals Rally into New Year

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Will 2022 bring upply constraints to the fore of the electric vehicle industry?

US Inflation Hits 40-Year High

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The result heaps further pressure on the Fed to move up the schedule of its rate normalization.

Outlook 2022: Oil Markets

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News of oil’s death may well be premature.

Global Forecast (1-10-2022)

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No ‘second-class’ members in NATO, CSTO troops sent to Kazakhstan, and inflation shows no signs of fading in the euro zone.

Timeline: The Downward Spiral of China-Australia Relations

Prime Minister and Andrew Robb signing the Free Trade Agreement with Chinese President Xi and Minister for Commerce Gao Hucheng., 2014, cc Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade website – www.dfat.gov.au, modified 0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Abbott_and_Robb_signing_the_Free_Trade_Agreement_with_Chinese_President_Xi_and_Minister_for_Commerce_Gao_Hucheng_November_2014.jpg

Chronicling the events that led to the present low point in China-Australia relations.

China Seeks Atlantic Ocean Military Base

cc Official U.S. Navy Page, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/usnavy/51269312997/in/photolist-2m7uCyn-2mKMtYg-Sygk7t-2meN86g-2mbrBvf-2jh6aSN-2m1avpY-2jeQQg5-2m6wCz6-2mEQWCx-2iSQ3Cw-2jcHVq4-2mKtxVK-SjNABw-EyjgcS-2jdjoNF-2muYezm-JLhJ7L-Sygi1V-Kr2tLg-eSAQSB-2iGZfBD-eSN8ou-2j6biw1-2ksGCQN-2gn1Zoi-2kc4YeS-2mEtFsv-eznud9-2mnmRSv-rTHqtu-cC9BKs-eSAQX4-2kA8gmq-eSNgHN-2hDbcqD-eSN8od-2mkZLVi-SLomfN-2hMWoDK-2i5y5oJ-2kzCzRc-eSN7Ab-eSAFTk-eSN8fu-eSNgG1-2m19nmo-rev9En-2mMbZa7-2iTbuMf

US efforts to rebuff China’s geopolitical advances in Equatorial Guinea are highly reminiscent of the Cold War.

Global Forecast (12-20-2021)

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Russia gives NATO a list of security demands, omicron continues to spread around the world, Addis Ababa celebrates a victory in the Ethiopian civil war, and Chile votes in a polarizing presidential run-off.

Summit for Democracy: Show of Strength or Own-goal?

cc Flickr flowcomm, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/flowcomm/26722630481/in/photolist-GHot3i-9XLW4a-d8fGHA-vzMkmr-v2WEmG-FTQEi3-6hdrX-6gTMz-5yeuk-5kzdHp-k9XaC-oTvPQD-RWoun-nMWg9d-cRFYa1-buCDD5-2guoqF-8KmHcS-dtpXiX-decmF9-8TUdNJ-cRFXXE-TpAShS-csRoU9-23WwC5-aySRHP-cpWAZL-cRFWNw-Rtzrsd-GpfGMf-uR6qL-5p3QCj-jVhccF-aySRY6-8X2oDE-fhxEcE-bwFaxt-99aMKz-taLgu-S4eZYr-EQC6Wq-8eN8bQ-akZvJo-529bmS-ayVwg9-aC6cr8-Rtzrny-S4eZSV-8a6BXh-jDCfaE

President Biden’s Summit for Democracy represents a diplomatic gamble that might not pay off.

Global Forecast (12-6-2021)

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Ugandan army enters the DRC, a big week for US inflation data, Evergrande inches closer to restructuring, and Didi Chuxing becomes the standard-bearer for US-China decoupling.

EU’s Global Gateway Takes Aim at Belt and Road

cc Flickr Kancelaria Premiera, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/premierrp/49497886868/in/photolist-2hKYFeh-2hL3pus-2hKznjZ-2hs6WAn-2hsTVvj-2hKznmT-2hrwjpG-2hpeBRf-2hsae58-2hKwJn8-2hKDPML-2hs3gig-v18Neo-2hsSVkF-2hsTVtA-2hsQbhT-UZdDjk-W2e8u6-2ipXB3L-EU3G7e-28k22wd-v3swXv-2jHd7BX-2ipXBhy-UZeeX8-V23RVv-WdHdnV-E5Rr3H-WaiTm3-EA75Ch-L3E5at-2iq19MS-2ipXBrM-2hwkWvK-2hs9cnm-KVYpBg-E5R9j2-2hwieb6-2hsae7Y-v3JRFg-VEofDy-2hs6xLR-CnWkEU-2hYpvVV-v2FpEK-VEog4G-W41sW6-2hpFz4u-2howkN1-2hp28SQ

Weighing in at over 300 billion euros, Global Gateway is no slouch. However, key questions remain surrounding Europe’s answer to Belt and Road.

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