Commodities

Mozambique: Democracy in Distress

FrelimoPosters, cc Flickr Andrew Moore, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

The peace process involving Mozambique’s rival political factions is at risk of breaking down, with development of its substantial energy resources hanging in the balance.

Nile Basin Water Wars: The Never-Ending Struggle Between Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan

Blue Nile in Khartoum, cc FLickr Juri Knauth, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Ethiopia’s Grand Renaissance Dam is approaching completion and regional partners are no closer to reaching a basin-wide agreement.

Chabahar Port Update

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chabahar#/media/File:%D8%A8%D9%86%D8%AF%D8%B1-%DA%86%D8%A7%D8%A8%D9%87%D8%A7%D8%B1.jpg

Years removed from an extensive renovation and inaugural shipments, what effect is Chabahar port having on regional trade flows?

EU Parliament and the Impact of Civil Society on Trade Negotiations

EPBuildingStrasbourg, cc Flickr Cédric, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Do internal constraints like the EP and an activist civil society help or hinder the EU Commission in its trade negotiations?

US and Australia Move to Break China’s Monopoly, Secure Access to Rare Earth Minerals

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, cc Flickr Gage Skidmore, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Rare earth minerals are becoming a consistent theme in US diplomacy and trade policy.

Is Afghanistan Still India’s “Achilles Heel” in Central Asia?

Afghanfarm, cc Flickr Ninara,modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

With India’s help, Afghanistan is starting to realize its potential as the lynchpin of various regional connectivity networks.

FLASH: Saudis Delay Aramco IPO

Khurais_Oil_Processing_Facility,_Saudi_Arabia_by_Planet_Labs, cc Planet Labs Inc., modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Khurais_Oil_Processing_Facility,_Saudi_Arabia_by_Planet_Labs.jpg

When can the Saudi Aramco IPO expected to get off the ground?

With Aramco IPO, Riyadh Doubles Down on Economic Diversification

Riyadh skyline, modified, MO, public domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Riyadh_Skyline_New.jpg

But geopolitics could get in the way of MBS’ reform program for the Saudi economy.

Saudi Arabia Oil Attack a Geopolitical Game-changer in the Middle East

US Department of State, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Deputy_Crown_Prince_Mohammad_Bin_Salman_bin_Abdulaziz_Al-Saud_Participates_in_the_Counter-ISIL_Ministerial_Plenary_Session_-_Flickr_-_U.S._Department_of_State_(cropped).jpg

Riyadh’s evident vulnerability will lead to a search for new regional allies, and Israel is a surprising possible candidate.

The US Federal Reserve Steps into the Spotlight

Trump Powell, cc Flickr The White House, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/

With an expected rate cut and a rare liquidity intervention, the US Federal Reserve has been moving markets this week.

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