Commodities

Global Forecast (08-17-2018)

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Qatar attempts a financial rescue of its Turkish ally, markets rejoice as new US-China trade talks are announced for late August, and Ghazni city is liberated in Afghanistan.

The Cyprus Issue and Natural Gas in the Eastern Mediterranean

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New natural gas discoveries have left a divided Cyprus in the middle of a worsening geopolitical storm in the Eastern Mediterranean.

Canada’s Feud with the Saudis Will Inevitably End in Happy Hypocrisy

SD meets KSA, cc Flickr James N. Mattis, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The only question is: How long before Canada gives in?

FLASH: Vulnerable Emerging Markets

Sao_Paulo_Stock_Exchange, cc Rafael Matsunaga, modified, Wikicommons, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Sao_Paulo_Stock_Exchange.jpg

Looking beyond Turkey, here are a few vulnerable emerging markets to keep an eye on.

The Turkey Contagion Threat

5000_TL_obverse, Central Bank of Turkey, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:5000_TL_obverse.jpg, public domain

Tracking the global market reaction to Turkey’s currency crisis with one overriding question in mind: How big is the contagion threat?

China’s Evolving Arctic Policy: Two Geopolitical Threats

XueLon, cc Flickr Bernard Spragg. NZ, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/

With an expanding icebreaker fleet, land purchases around the GIUK gap, and perhaps even a nuclear-powered aircraft carrier in the near future, China is becoming a force to be reckoned with in the Arctic.

Beyond Economics: The Political Risks of a US-China Trade War

MaerskLine, cc Flickr kees torn, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

How Marshall Sahlins’ Stone Age Economics can help us better understand the brewing US-China trade war.

Fishing Frontlines: A Sea Change for Southeast Asia Fish Exports

Catfish (Pangasius) from Vietnam's freshwater fish farms. Vietnamfish, Cong Mao - Vietnam News Agency., modified.

Strong region-wide management practices can help replenish Southeast Asia’s declining fish stocks. But getting there won’t be easy.

Sudan Might Be Open for Business, but Only for the Intrepid

Sudanmineaction, cc Flickr Norsk Folkehjelp Norwegian People's Aid, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

It’s going to take creativity, hard work, and patience, but with some luck we may be looking at a new African economic powerhouse in the years to come.

Africa: Playground for Asian Powers

Mombasa port, cc Flickr, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/meaact/

China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and the Indo-Japan Asia-Africa Growth Corridor (AAGC) are playing to their strengths as the competition for Africa heats up.

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