Is Turkey Too Big to Fail or Too Small to Bail?
Turkey has routinely flouted NATO and U.S. interests while Washington looks the other way out of concern of alienating its ‘too big to fail’ ally. It’s time to strip Ankara of this exceptional status.
Risk of Iran Nuclear Outbreak Grows as Conventional Deterrence Wanes
Two pillars of Iran’s conventional deterrence have been severely eroded in short order. Will the regime turn to nuclear weapons in an attempt to restore the regional balance of power?
Israel’s Regional Position Intact Despite Iran Strikes
Iran's attack on Tel Aviv was a spectacular show of force, but it is unlikely to fundamentally alter Israel's tactical and strategic superiority in the long term.
Ukraine’s Future in the Balance as US Election Looms
Elections in the United States will be crucial in determining the diplomatic endgame for the Ukraine war, along with where post-war Ukraine falls in the emerging global order.
A Home-Grown Alternative: The African Development Bank Comes of Age
Marking its 60th anniversary, the African Development Bank (AfDB) continues to represent a critical intra-regional alternative and complement to external investment flows from China and the United States.
The Russo-Ukrainian War and Mackinder’s Heartland Thesis
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine echoes the theories of Sir Halford J. Mackinder, who noted the critical importance of the Eurasian Heartland in global peace and conflict.
Taiwan’s Missing Voice at the UN’s Future Summit
Can the UN Summit for the Future hope to advance equitable technological development when the party responsible for some 90% of the global computer chip market is absent?
US-Vietnam Relations Remain Insulated from Political Change
Despite leadership turnover in Vietnam and potentially the United States, the strategic and economic cooperation underpinning US-Vietnam relations remains locked in.
Western Weapons Made the Difference in Ukraine and the Second Karabakh War
The superiority of Western weapons and training, at least vis-à-vis Russian military equipment, has been established beyond a doubt on the battlefields of Karabakh and Ukraine.
Iran’s Masoud Pezeshkian: The West’s Last Chance for Reconciliation
With the rise of Masoud Pezeshkian, Washington gets one more chance at a nuclear deal and reconciliation. Failure all but ensures a nuclear Iran and a slew of geopolitical setbacks for the West.