Military

Global Forecast (9-25-2018)

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Sweden’s far-right might sneak into the Riksdag via the back door, Brexit gut-check time in the United Kingdom, and new hope for US-Turkey relations.

Vietnam Ready for a Seat at the UN Security Council

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Vietnam’s commitment to global institutions and poverty alleviation make it a good candidate for a rotating seat at the UN Security Council.

China-India Relations: A Pearl Is Unstrung in the Maldives

Ibrahim_Mohamed_Solih_-_Maldives2, cc Wikicommons, modified, Asimoosa, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ibrahim_Mohamed_Solih_-_Maldives2.jpg

Opposition politician Ibrahim Mohamed Solih has won the Maldives’ general election, putting China’s latest foray into India’s backyard in jeopardy.

Djibouti’s Attempts to Vanquish Dubai Ports Operator Spells Trouble for Washington

180327-N-TK936-6957 PORT OF DJIBOUTI, Djibouti (March 27, 2018) Members of Task Group (TG) 68.6 sets a security screening zone on the Henry J. Kaiser-class fleet replenishment oiler USNS John Lenthall (T-AO 189) while operating in the Horn of Africa, March 27, 2018. TG 68.6 is forward-deployed to the U.S. 6th Fleet area of operations and conducts joint and naval operations, often in concert with allied and interagency partners, in order to advance U.S. national interests and security and stability in Eu-rope and Africa. (U.S. Navy photo by Master at Arms 2nd Class Theresa Mullis/Released), cc Flickr modified, Commander, U.S. Naval Forces Europe-Africa/U.S. 6th Fleet

If Doraleh port goes the way of Hambantota in Sri Lanka and is ceded to China for non-payment of debt, the United States sprawling Camp Lemonnier could be rendered militarily unviable.

The Geopolitics of the Black Sea

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Long the site of great power competition, the Black Sea region appears to be heating up once again.

JNIM: The New Terrorist Threat from the Sahel

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You may not have heard of JNIM, but you will soon. The group is inflaming local ethnic conflicts, killing peacekeepers, and pushing a vulnerable region closer to anarchy.

Bulgaria’s Soviet Jets: Trojan Horses in a NATO Air Force?

MIG29Airshow, cc Flickr Airwolfhound, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

With Bulgaria clearly of two minds on its alignment and Moscow willing to be generous, the US should strongly consider loosening its purse strings.

Global Forecast (9-11-2018)

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The far-right creates political deadlock in Sweden, anti-pension reform rallies flare up again in Russia, and new rumblings of a second US-DPRK summit.

Emerging Powers See Opportunities under Trump Doctrine

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While the United States looks inward, former allies and economic partners are increasingly looking elsewhere.

Russian Economy Hit by Sanctions, New Rouble Rout

RussiaCentralBank, cc http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/55935, modified, kremlin.ru

There’s no relief in sight for the long-suffering Russian economy, which is now faced with new sanctions and a renewed currency plunge.

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