Situation Reports

GUAM 2.0: Can Free Trade Revive the Forgotten Regional Bloc?

cc Masakazu Matsumoto, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/vitroids/33143780954/in/photolist-SuNxnd-2j54qMd-2fG4Cpy-2uWix-2mUZK3N-2kHvu2g-N2D1eG-2meVyaG-2goqboJ-2uWge-5YewhL-2ku1Kfv-2nDZcky-2FdWNK-2uWbC-5Neyew-2uWeS-Jyfjxt-5Tvbuv-WcuiHq-2njCMJP-6GWvTV-5vKwJg-KnKxQ5-pdQriW-2k3XCwA-d7s8Bu-dHUyNj-duqm4V-2nKSgai-2ma1zcx-2fA9uvx-2iLhe1b-2hC8ZLL-2n8TGtJ-2gopNgs-UQdaHA-2iBqHUw-cuyU5j-LRwrMa-2kTe5bj-SoyrGi-u4Kuz-Q86qu6-2kJ6HNS-KNuhaN-29J8Eiz-254BnKv-E5TWdP-cdwBAG

A new trade deal between Georgia, Ukraine, Azerbaijan, and Moldova could give new life to the long-dormant regional grouping.

US Lithium Industry: Thacker Pass

Silver Peak; the only active lithium mine in the United States; modified Coordenação-Geral de Observação da Terra/INPE, cc, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Search&redirs=0&search=silver%20peak%20lithium&fulltext=Search&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns14=1&title=Special:Search&advanced=1&fulltext=Advanced%20search#/media/File:Silver_Peak,_Nevada,_USA.jpg

The story of Thacker Pass – the future jewel in the crown of the US lithium industry – illustrates many of the challenges in shoring up US supply lines of critical inputs for green technology.

Women’s Rights in Focus as Protests Sweep across Iran

Uprising in Tehran, September 2022, cc Darafsh, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Uprising_in_Tehran,_Keshavarz_Boulvard_September_2022_(2).jpg

Will the wave of protests centered on the death of Masha Amini have a different outcome than previous nation-wide outbreaks of unrest?

Israel Bolsters Digital Defense amid Iran Cyber Threat

cc Flickr Christiaan Colen, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/christiaancolen/33091154720/in/photolist-Sq9Pqm-UbjUVd-SXwrDu-T1445t-UbjUTQ-SXwrAU-TDYV4y-UbjUZS-SWrekQ-TDYVdw-UbjUZG-TDYVqf-SWreno-TDYVws-TDYViG-UbjV8C-SNGXHP-SNGXx8-2nDSMR7-SLfyUN-QHmqGN-TnKDZR-25cNM1x-2hes5hH-NpiQsu-NpiRZC-299BF4a-LLQt44-NpiR7L-NpiQzy-27LWm5q-29riK7y-LLQv34-29riJZQ-LLQuER-NpiQt1-JEPWWJ-21zefsR-2nbFotW-UiV14d-TDNAMg-25cNQ96-WQErVx-22BGWMi-29YrAcY-Jq3gNn-261pkzJ-S2Kfr7-2bo1Juf-M5guka

Israel concedes Tehran is a dominant cyber rival as Iranian hackers target country’s ‘soft underbelly’ – the private sector

Armenia’s Geopolitics at a Crossroads

Monument to the victims of World War II in Sisian, 1975; cc Wikicommons Beko, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Monument_to_the_victims_of_World_War_II_in_Sisian_(4).jpg

Russia is proving an unreliable ally for Yerevan, creating opportunities for Western governments to make new inroads.

US Inflation Persists in August

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The latest US inflation numbers suggest that the high-rate environment will be anything but fleeting.

Armenia-Azerbaijan Clashes Hint at New Order in South Caucasus

A Turkish-made Bayraktar TB2 drone; cc Army.com.ua, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bayraktar_TB2.jpg

New clashes over Nagorno-Karabakh suggest that Russian influence is breaking down in the South Caucasus, with long-term implications for the region.

The Energy War in Europe: Gas and the Russian Oil Price Cap

Alexxx Malev, cc modified, https://flickr.com/photos/alexxx-malev/48804438938/in/photolist-2hmFvnL-2nqJZEC-2newpRr-2nepT5m-2nev6aY-2newpNW-zDUrbb-2iJusb2-CLDYxA-2iSKWtb-2izt69P-2n7mnCn-2n6ckCV-6ic4r1-2nHYK1k-2nevqy9-2ni7Akw-2nhEBcE-2n8NWdf-2nhpBkp-2n6UhBp-2nciDKM-2noKiGG-2niwD2r-2ncfZcy-2jFvYXv-2nuTjtU-2n9QGhS-2nhEhxh-2neA3zV-mTq28R-2npDDXa-zL5ydF-2hpUx3R-2nJbLP8-2nisvhG-2izQ9s9-2hdEq6H-tiXk7Q-2n9rpPU-6gL3mB-2nqg7iJ-2nbAH8U-bwJZ4g-2ncBgJ4-2ndkxtb-2neAYZd-2nh5eEX-2gzpG4G-2ncKqDn

As winter looms, will weather be intervening to provide Russia with much-needed sanction relief?

Chile: Referendum Loss Renders Boric a Lame Duck

Gabriel_Boric_Front_portrait

Evaluating the reasons why Chile’s constitutional draft was stillborn, and where the Boric administration goes from here.

Pelosi’s Visit and the New Normal in Taiwan

cc 總統府, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Tsai_Presents_Pelosi_with_Order_of_Propitious_Clouds_by_Lin_01.jpg

The contours of a ‘new normal’ are beginning to solidify in the wake of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s Taiwan visit.

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