Situation Reports

No-Deal a Foregone Conclusion? UK Prepares for a Hard Brexit

Bojo, cc Flickr Financial Times, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Prime Minister Boris Johnson has declared that the UK is leaving the EU one way or another on October 31, but markets remain unconvinced.

Turkey & Russia’s Détente Tested in Idlib

Putin Erdogan, cc Kremlin.ru, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/58574, modified,

Turkey-Russia cooperation is under strain as the Syrian regime intensifies its attempts to re-take the last major rebel stronghold in the civil war.

Italy: One Coalition Falls, Another Rises?

Renzi, cc Flickr Francesco Pierantoni, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini may have overplayed his hand in Italy.

Germany Veers toward Recession in 3Q

BMWMuseum, cc Flickr Sergei Gussev https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/,modified,

Amid trade wars and the uncertainty of Brexit, Europe’s economic engine has begun to sputter.

US-China Trade War and Iranian Oil: Market Disruptions Ahead?

President Trump visits China in 2017; Whitehouse.gov, modified, public domain

Risks are mounting on both the supply and demand side of global oil markets.

Shock Poll Puts Austerity on Notice in Argentina

(Buenos Aires - Argentina, 06/06/2019) Presidente da República, Jair Bolsonaro durante Reunião Ampliada com o Presidente da República Argentina, Mauricio Macri. Foto: Marcos Corrêa/PR cc Palácio do Planalto, Flickr, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Voters caught investors off-guard with their early rejection of Macri’s austerity policies. But will the resulting carnage in Argentine currency and equity markets change any minds?

No Way Out in Hong Kong Protests

Hong Kong sit-in airport protest, cc Wpcpey, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:HK_airport_sit-in_protest_20190726.jpg

Signs abound that the crisis is reaching its boiling point.

Breaking the Vicious Cycle of Landmines and Instability in Myanmar

Minefield warning sign, cc dimitrisvetsikas1969 (pixabay.com), modified.

Renewed violence and a stalling peace process are delaying the start of much-needed mine clearance in Myanmar.

What’s at Stake in a Hard Brexit

Banksy has a much publicised casual attitude towards recreational copyright infringement and you are invited to download whatever you wish from www.banksy.co.uk for personal use. However, making your own art or merchandise and passing it off as ‘official’ or authentic Banksy artwork is a criminal offence.... Please feel free to * Copy any www.banksy.co.uk imagery in any way for any kind of personal amusement * Make your own Banksy merchandise for non-commercial purposes * Pretend you drew it yourself for homework / cc Flickr Dunk, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

What’s on the line if the Johnson government pulls Britain out of the UK without a deal on October 31?

Denmark Throws a Wrench into Russia’s Nord Stream 2 Plans

Nordstream2-Header

Denmark’s regulatory foot-dragging on Nord Stream 2 could frustrate Russian attempts to isolate Ukraine on a new gas transit deal.

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