Situation Reports

Ratings Agency Sounds Alarm on China Debt

ChineseYuan, cc http://www.japanexperterna.se/, modified, Flickr, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

S&P Global has recently warned that hidden, local-level debt in China could be as high as $6 trillion.

DRC Ebola Cases Spike amid Rebel Attacks

DRCMap3

Infections have more than doubled since aid operations were disrupted by a wave of rebel attacks.

FLASH: October Brexit Summit

BrexitProtest, cc Flickr Avaaz, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/

Signals abound that the EU and UK are headed toward a hard Brexit.

Belarus After Lukashenko: The Next Ukraine?

LukaPuti, cc http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/54178, modified, Kremlin.ru

Anything is possible when Belarus’ long-serving president steps aside, including a repeat of the Ukraine crisis.

Morocco: Saudi Arabia’s Indispensable Anchor in North Africa

Moroccoflag, cc Flickr Kristian Thøgersen, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

With its relative stability and longtime animus toward Iran, Morocco might just be Saudi Arabia’s trump card in North Africa.

Italy Locked in Collision Course with the European Commission, ECB

euro, cc Flickr David Stanley, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The Italian government is going all-in against Brussels, and this is a fight it believes it can win.

Escalating Violence in Cameroon ahead of Presidential Elections

CC Nicholas Raymond (https://www.flickr.com/photos/80497449@N04/7383817660/), modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Amid spiraling violence, Cameroonians will head to the polls in October to vote in an election that will be closely watched by the country’s Western allies.

Brazil Election Second Round Bill: ‘Trump of the Tropics’ vs ‘Heir Haddad’

cc Flickr Agência Brasil Fotografias, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

While it might seem like a political tsunami from the outside, the most likely economic policy outcomes from Brazil’s second round of presidential voting are relatively tame.

Thailand’s Balancing Act Between the US and China in the Age of Trump

US and Thai soldiers during Cobra Gold joint military exercises in 2001, public domain, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cobra_Gold#/media/File:US_Army_instructs_Thai_Army_2001.jpg

Bangkok’s historically close security relationship with Washington appears to be firmly back on track.

TAP Pipeline: Look Who’s Switching Off the Gas This Time

TAPMAP-Header

It's not Moscow, but the new government in Rome that might be turning off the TAP and dooming the Trans-Adriatic Pipeline project.

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