Situation Reports

TIAR 2.0: Breathing New Life into a Cold War-era inter-American Defense Treaty

cc Flickr bertknot, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

The threats envisioned by the original Rio Treaty are increasingly rare. But by reworking the text, the treaty could find new life in addressing current hemispheric issues like illegal fishing.

Japan and India’s Policy Tightrope on Myanmar Protests

cc VOA Burmese, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Search&redirs=0&search=yangon%20protest&fulltext=Search&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns14=1&title=Special:Search&advanced=1&fulltext=Advanced%20search#/media/File:Protesters_participate_in_an_anti-military_rally.jpg

Tokyo and New Delhi are being forced to walk a fine line between human rights and their own economic and security imperatives.

Sovereign Bloat in EU Banking: Prelude to the Next Crisis?

cc Flickr European Parliament, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/european_parliament/49521491927/in/photolist-2is3Afk-2is3Agn-nVHu6U-aH4uTR-nCtjQX-TSCoMd-dzKeb5-nKXh93-GohX1U-Cge7cA-dbZWui-dZanum-dZ8tmo-djxDt1-rDi8mU-bBU3Fi-7c2kMg-8GDLRh-2is3Ae8-fja5GW-rrCqYe-irM13-fqkwQU-fiUKHr-fmwVXv-bhodyD-p6rFyE-eA1opH-pKNGk4-cGabNL-fdGYyF-YcGWv3-BK6wbz-p6umXV-pW8nCz-fqos6V-p6rFxC-EV99FE-HA2DxN-p6rFDj-nP8fME-dfGo5L-HY1ff-WZYFSG-nBkAev-oTh45P-qxkfyb-De1bYp-4KCTNj-dsa9UA

Euro zone banks are hoovering up sovereign debt, and in doing so risk a repeat the ‘death loop’ that nearly tore the monetary union apart in the 2010s.

Middle East Gamechanger? Gauging the China-Iran Deal

cc Official website of Ali Khamenei, Supreme leader of Iran, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ali_Khamenei_receives_Xi_Jinping_in_his_house_(7).jpg

Though short on details, the recent China-Iran deal could one day be looked back on as a seminal moment in the geopolitics of the Middle East.

Impeachment, Apathy, and COVID-19 Loom over Peru Polls

cc Flickr Congreso de la República del Perú, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Peru’s presidency is up for grabs in what projects to be one of the most competitive elections in recent memory. But governing won’t be easy for the winner.

US-Philippine Alliance: Duterte Demands US ‘Pay’ to Salvage Troop Deal

cc Flickr Republic of Korea, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/koreanet/28703735468/in/photolist-FtEJCQ-aFoxc8-2fP6tAW-657Esq-657Esj-657Esd-657Esf-KXvcYS-JcMnPr-JcMpfH-JcMorD-256YCLN-256YBuE-JcMrgr-27RLXJx-ChbKf8-4nShjJ-4nShis-ZKXFZb-qBEabT-5Z5d1T-5Z5d8B-5Z9pHG-5Z5cSB-24qsjaX-qkdzP2-67g7gV-ZMXa8L-27MSpQW-27MSqdu-257B5gU-KJs9wQ-ZKXG9j-PTaqsC-WPUSze-Ld2cyW-Ni1riL-ZFRVMN-ZFRWWG-YFr2LC-2jjbnEo

All of the recent frictions underpinning the US-Philippine alliance are on display in recent attempts to renegotiate the Visiting Forces Agreement.

ISIS-Linked Insurgency Opens a Vacuum in Northeast Mozambique

PEMBA, Mozambique (Jan. 29, 2019) General of the Army Lazaro Menete, chief of staff of the Mozambican Armed Forces, speaks during the opening ceremony of exercise Cutlass Express 2019 in Pemba, Mozambique, Jan. 29, 2019. Cutlass Express is designed to improve regional cooperation, maritime domain awareness and information sharing practices to increase capabilities between the U.S., East African and Western Indian Ocean nations to counter illicit maritime activity. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 1st Class Kyle Steckler/Released), cc Flickr modified, Commander, U.S. Naval Forces Europe-Africa/U.S. 6th Fleet, https://flickr.com/photos/cne-cna-c6f/46004465185/in/photolist-2kNQP1b-2h7cNbz-8uNQKo-7WrvjL-9ptDm4-9s7aPC-8uNPNs-8uKMLK-8EqYsv-8EqYkH-8Eu8zd-7Wofq6-8uNPLJ-8vgTKg-8uKLGt-6tCvpF-8uNR1o-8uKMkt-8uKN4r-8uKLDc-8ygV66-8yjYqJ-8uKKTx-8uKNiK-nSVh8c-8uKLt6-8uNQYG-8uNQH9-8uKNav-8uNPk3-8uKLBc-9phppg-8uNPX9-9s4bCX-9s4bR8-9s4bzR-8ygUZV-cXEWDW-cXEWpm-RhoVPm-cXEWdo-cXEVVL-2d6fUpB-2d6fUJe-cXEW6b-cXEW2o-cXEWjm-cXEVSu-9qhgiS

Last week’s brutal Palma attack is fueling concerns of state collapse in northeast Mozambique.

COVID-19: New Waves Emerge in Europe and North America

English: Lieutenant (junior grade) Natasha McClinton, a surgical nurse, prepares a patient for a procedure in the intensive care unit aboard the U.S. the hospital ship USNS Comfort. The ship cares for critical and non critical patients without regard to their COVID-19 status. Comfort is working with Javits New York Medical Station as an integrated system to relieve the New York City medical system, in support of U.S. Northern Command's Defense Support of Civil Authorities as a response to the COVID-19 pandemic., https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:COVID-19_Nurse.jpg

Early vaccine euphoria is fading as policymakers grapple with resurgent COVID-19 outbreaks in Europe and North America.

The Quad Comes of Age?

English: President Biden and Vice President Harris Meet Virtually with their Counterparts in the Quad; Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India, Prime Minister Scott Morrison of Australia, and Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga of Japan, source: Video; https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:President_Biden_and_Vice_President_Harris_Meet_Virtually_with_their_Counterparts_in_the_Quad.webm

Assessing the geopolitics and motives behind emergence of the Quad’s Leadership Summit.

Strategic Commodities 2.0: Global Tin Supply & Demand

cc Flickr Doggettx,modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Next in our series on strategic commodities we examine tin, a conflict mineral whose production is increasingly dominated by Asian states.

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