Situation Reports

Fallout from Saudi Oil Facility Attack

Khurais_Oil_Processing_Facility,_Saudi_Arabia_by_Planet_Labs, cc Planet Labs Inc., modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Khurais_Oil_Processing_Facility,_Saudi_Arabia_by_Planet_Labs.jpg

Appraising the geopolitical and market fallout from the mysterious attack on Saudi oil facilities earlier this month.

Spain Headed for a General Election… Again

Gozón.8-10-2015. Visita de los secretarios generales de la FSA-PSOE y el PSOE, Javier Fernández y Pedro Sánchez, respectivamente, ala explotación ganadera Badiola, cc Flickr FSA-PSOE, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nd/2.0/

For those keeping track at home, this will be the fourth general election in four years.

The US Federal Reserve Steps into the Spotlight

Trump Powell, cc Flickr The White House, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/

With an expected rate cut and a rare liquidity intervention, the US Federal Reserve has been moving markets this week.

Draghi’s Parting Gift: ECB Turns the Stimulus Taps Back On

DAVOS/SWITZERLAND, 25JAN13 - Mario Draghi, President, European Central Bank, Frankfurt is captured during the special address session at the Annual Meeting 2013 of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, January 25, 2013. Copyright by World Economic Forum swiss-image.ch/Photo Remy Steinegger, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Mario_Draghi_World_Economic_Forum_2013.jpg

Monetary stimulus has returned to Europe, and President Trump isn’t happy about it.

Navigating the Boris Backlash in the UK

BoJoGraff, cc Flickr Julian Tysoe, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

With nothing going according to plan for the Johnson government, a new election looms – but only after Brexit is delayed once again.

The Bering Strait: A New Chokepoint for Great Power Competition

The attack submarine USS Annapolis (SSN 760) rests in the Arctic Ocean after surfacing through three feet of ice during Ice Exercise 2009 on March 21, 2009. The two-week training exercise, which is used to test submarine operability and war-fighting capability in Arctic conditions, also involves the USS Helena (SSN 725), the University of Washington and personnel from the Navy Arctic Submarine Laboratory. DoD photo by Petty Officer 1st Class Tiffini M. Jones, U.S. Navy. (Released), https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:USS_Annapolis_ICEX.jpg

The Northern Sea Route through the Arctic will alter global trade flows and in doing so create new geopolitical chokepoints. Chief among them is the Bering Strait, where US, Russian, and Chinese interests converge.

The Geopolitical Impact of Climate Change in Vietnam

SubmergedTree in Laos, cc Basile Morin, modified, 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Submerged_tree_under_a_dark_and_cloudy_sky_in_Si_Phan_Don.jpg

As a country that’s particularly susceptible to climate change, Vietnam will face a daunting assortment of security, economic, and political challenges in the decades to come.

The Geopolitics of the Black Sea

BlackSeaRegion-Final

Long the site of great power competition, the Black Sea region appears to be heating up once again.

Will Brexit Open the Door for an EU Army?

Eurofighter, cc Flickr Alan Wilson, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/, modified,

The United Kingdom often scuttled attempts at greater EU integration on security matters, but the prospect of an EU Army will remain daunting after Brexit.

Greenland: A New Frontier of Great Power Competition

Greenland, cc Flickr Greenland Travel, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

In opening its doors to foreign investors, an independence-minded Greenland could be ushering in a new era of geopolitical competition in the Arctic.

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