Situation Reports

A Precarious Peace Descends over Kashmir

Pro-separatist graffitti in Srinagar, cc watchsmart, modified, Flickr, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

But peace cannot be imposed by force forever.

Backgrounder: Pakistan’s Gwadar Port

CPEC-Gwadar-Header

The crown jewel in China’s Belt and Road Initiative, Gwadar port is a potential game-changer for regional trade flows. But the project is not without its risks.

Russia’s New Legislation Renews Old Cryptocurrency Debates

cc Alpari Org, Flickr, modified, An image of some of the most popular cryptocurrencies. This photo shows a Litecoin coin, Ethereum coin and Bitcoin coin standing vertically with reflections underneath them on a black background. This image is released under Creative Commons and is therefore available for reuse. We do request that you credit us with a link to www.alpari.org if you do use this image.

The Russian government continues to walk a fine line between acceptance and rejection of cryptocurrencies.

Belarus Presidential Election: Lukashenko’s Gamble and its Geopolitical Implications

cc Flickr OSCE Parliamentary Assembly, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

The time has come for Belarusians to choose their president, and the time may soon come for Belarus to pick a side in the geopolitical game going on above its head.

African States Reel amid COVID-19 Debt Crunch

cc Flickr Addy Cameron-Huff, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The question of a debt crisis in the developing world has shifted to ‘when,’ not ‘if.’

Vietnam’s Leadership in ASEAN: Opportunity in Crisis

U.S. Secretary of State Michael R. Pompeo participates in the ASEAN Regional Forum Ministerial in Bangkok, Thailand, on August 2, 2019. [State Department Photo by Ron Przysucha/ Public Domain], cc Flickr U.S. Department of State, modified, http://www.usa.gov/copyright.shtml

Over the second half of 2020, Vietnam should focus on integrating the informal economy with the formal economy and resuming negotiations for a code of conduct in the South China Sea.

Taking Cover: Chinese Capital & The EU

cc Flickr Friends of Europe, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

As COVID-19 recedes, it will be buying season for cash-flush Chinese state and semi-state corporations in Europe – but only if the authorities allow it.

An African Powder Keg: Terrorism in the Sahel

cc Flickr U.S. Embassy Ouagadougou, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/, Minister of Defense and Veteran affairs, Chèrif Sy, U.S. Ambassador to Burkina Faso, Andrew Young, render honors during a pass and review portion of the closing ceremony to Flintlock 2019. This year’s exercise is being hosted by U.S. African partner nation Burkina Faso. By bringing members of the G5 Sahel, Multinational Joint Task Force, and various troop contributing nations together to develop and implement complimentary tactical operations, Flintlock 2019 better enables African partners to conduct real world missions structured around a coherent campaign plan. (U.S. Navy photo by MC2 (SW/AW) Evan Parker / released)

Unless deep-rooted socioeconomic and security issues are addressed, Africa’s development miracle risks being derailed. Nowhere is this truer than with the G5 countries in the Sahel.

Libyan Civil War Swings in Tripoli’s Favor

cc Ben Sutherland, Flickr, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

But the longstanding conflict is still far from over. In fact, it might be on the brink of a new escalation from Egypt.

A Flare-Up Long Foretold in the Armenia-Azerbaijan Conflict

A roadside sign welcomes travellers arriving in the Republic of Nagorno Karabakh from Armenia.,cc Flickr David Stanley, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The fuse lit on August 5, 2019, finally detonated earlier this month.

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