Forecasts

Global Forecast (9-20-2021)

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France withdraws ambassadors over AUKUS, Canada heads to the polls, and the Federal Reserve prepares to show its hand on bond tapering.

Global Forecast (9-13-2021)

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Russian elections, a US angle on the Guinean coup, and a financial crisis in Sri Lanka.

Global Forecast (9-6-2021)

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New dreams of an EU army, a humanitarian disaster brews in Ethiopia, and the contest to replace Suga Yoshihide heats up in Japan.

Global Forecast (8-9-2021)

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Provincial capitals fall to the Taliban, Bolsonaro under investigation in Brazil, and Zambia heads to the polls.

Global Forecast (7-26-2021)

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A possible turning point in the post-COVID economic recovery, Brazil’s defense ministry muses on cancelling next year’s election, and the Taliban takes ownership of nearly all of Afghanistan’s borders.

Global Forecast (7-19-2021)

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South Korea looks to build its own Iron Dome, former justice ministry official implicated in Moise assassination, and Chinese Belt and Road workers targeted in Pakistan.

Global Forecast (7-5-2021)

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Famine descends on Ethiopia’s Tigray region, OPEC+ attempts to thresh out a production hike, and tensions mount along India and China’s shared Himalayan border.

Global Forecast (6-21-2021)

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Ethiopia to vote in a landmark election, commodity prices come back down to Earth, and Iran’s election produces few surprises.

Global Forecast (6-13-2021)

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Rising shipping costs add to inflation worries, Iran presidential elections unlikely to bring any surprises, and NATO leaders gather in Brussels for the Alliance’s first summit of the Biden era.

Global Forecast (6-7-2021)

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Iran makes a naval foray into the Atlantic, the EU takes aim at multinational tax avoidance, and security in the Sahel continues to deteriorate.

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