Forecasts

Global Forecast (7-26-2021)

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A possible turning point in the post-COVID economic recovery, Brazil’s defense ministry muses on cancelling next year’s election, and the Taliban takes ownership of nearly all of Afghanistan’s borders.

Global Forecast (7-19-2021)

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South Korea looks to build its own Iron Dome, former justice ministry official implicated in Moise assassination, and Chinese Belt and Road workers targeted in Pakistan.

Global Forecast (7-5-2021)

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Famine descends on Ethiopia’s Tigray region, OPEC+ attempts to thresh out a production hike, and tensions mount along India and China’s shared Himalayan border.

Global Forecast (6-21-2021)

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Ethiopia to vote in a landmark election, commodity prices come back down to Earth, and Iran’s election produces few surprises.

Global Forecast (6-13-2021)

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Rising shipping costs add to inflation worries, Iran presidential elections unlikely to bring any surprises, and NATO leaders gather in Brussels for the Alliance’s first summit of the Biden era.

Global Forecast (6-7-2021)

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Iran makes a naval foray into the Atlantic, the EU takes aim at multinational tax avoidance, and security in the Sahel continues to deteriorate.

Global Forecast (5-31-2021)

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The COVID-19 pandemic bifurcates between vaccinated and unvaccinated populations, Netanyahu faces another moment of reckoning in Israel, and China’s yuan hits multi-year highs in May.

Global Forecast (5-17-2021)

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Inflation in focus in Europe, the junta government in Myanmar faces more armed resistance, and Israel unrest spreads to the West Bank.

Global Forecast (5-10-2021)

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Inflation data in the United States, Bibi on the ropes in Israel, and signs of renewed violence in Afghanistan.

Global Forecast (5-3-2021)

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Turkish military sets up shop in Iraqi Kurdistan, border clashes break out along Kyrgyzstan-Tajikistan border, and another Belt and Road deal is in the crosshairs in Australia.

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