China’s Belt and Road Runs Aground in the Philippines

President Rodrigo Roa Duterte and People’s Republic of China President Xi Jinping shake hands prior to their bilateral meetings at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on October 20. Photo by King Rodriguez/PPD, cc Philippine government, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:President_Duterte_handshake_with_President_Xi.jpg

Lacking the mega-projects seen in mainland Southeast Asia, Beijing’s infrastructure plans in the Philippines have been noticeably smaller in scale and focused more on local connectivity.

Sudan: Post-Revolution Political Order under Strain

English: Sudanese soldeirs stand guard around armoured military vehicles as demonstrators continue their protest against the regime near the army headquarters in the Sudanese capital Khartoum, cc Agence France-Presse, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Sudan_coup_military_afp.jpg

An apparent coup attempt illustrates ongoing challenges faced by the civilian-military transitional order in realizing the promise of Sudan’s 2019 revolution.

Afghanistan’s Fate Will Be Shaped by Geoeconomics

Operation Enduring Freedom

Three geoeconomic factors will determine the future of Taliban-controlled Afghanistan: opium, natural resources, and regional trade networks.

Global Forecast (9-20-2021)


France withdraws ambassadors over AUKUS, Canada heads to the polls, and the Federal Reserve prepares to show its hand on bond tapering.

Timeline: The Downward Spiral of China-Australia Relations

Prime Minister and Andrew Robb signing the Free Trade Agreement with Chinese President Xi and Minister for Commerce Gao Hucheng., 2014, cc Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade website – www.dfat.gov.au, modified 0 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Abbott_and_Robb_signing_the_Free_Trade_Agreement_with_Chinese_President_Xi_and_Minister_for_Commerce_Gao_Hucheng_November_2014.jpg

Chronicling the events that led to the present low point in China-Australia relations.

What Does a Taliban-Controlled Afghanistan Mean for India’s Foreign Policy?

cc G20 Argentina, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The Taliban takeover of Afghanistan reshuffles the geopolitical deck in Central Asia, leaving India with what appears to be a losing hand.

ECB Moves to Scale Back COVID-Era Bond Buying


Citing improved growth and rising inflation, the ECB moved to scale back its bond purchases. But don’t call it a taper.

Russia Central Bank Sounds Alarm on Inflation


The Bank of Russia’s latest monetary policy forecast raises a novel possibility: What if the present inflationary trend isn’t temporary at all?

Global Forecast (9-6-2021)


New dreams of an EU army, a humanitarian disaster brews in Ethiopia, and the contest to replace Suga Yoshihide heats up in Japan.

Kazakhstan Moves to Ease Water Conflict in Central Asia

A boat near the shrinking Aral Sea, Uzbekistan; cc Anton Ruiter, Flickr, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/antonruiter/6317973207/in/photolist-aCigjx-2iEcVy4-2jz5sjq-24QEhq4-2faRRcS-aCi1Mg-aChR3R-aCih9H-aChSkp-2gcsBGm-2k9SNen-2m9kJnC-2kCPuvH-2i8ii1e-2hX7VL5-2k42J5Z-2kYMauC-2jopMA9-cCg8bm-2hnpAQZ-2hY95JU-2jyiyUr-25dwdMi-2jDAo6Z-2m4MZKY-SZfvD7-aCi37Z-aCi9ER-aCiezz-aCi88P-aCkR6d-aCiapZ-aChXgK-aCkwjQ-aCifuF-aCkSUq-aChYND-2eqh3EX-aChY4H-ajpCjG-aChUB8-aCkA6S-aCi5uT-aCkAS9-aCkNus-aCkLYJ-z95CY3-ajpCEC-aCkL7U-aCi4iF

A new proposal from President Tokayev takes aim at one of the most pressing, albeit often understated, issues facing the region.

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