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Belarus After Lukashenko: The Next Ukraine?

LukaPuti, cc http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/54178, modified, Kremlin.ru

Anything is possible when Belarus’ long-serving president steps aside, including a repeat of the Ukraine crisis.

Global Forecast (9-25-2018)

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Sweden’s far-right might sneak into the Riksdag via the back door, Brexit gut-check time in the United Kingdom, and new hope for US-Turkey relations.

The Geopolitics of the Black Sea

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Long the site of great power competition, the Black Sea region appears to be heating up once again.

Dessert Diplomacy: The Difficulty of Presenting a United Front Against North Korea

2018_Trump-Kim_summit_commemorative_coin, cc White House Communications Agency, modified, https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fichier:2018_Trump-Kim_summit_commemorative_coin.jpg

A diplomatic incident over the dessert menu reflects just how hard it is for Washington to get its Asia allies on the same page on North Korea.

The Post-War Order Is Over

NatoGuard, cc Flickr U.S. Army Europe, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/

And not because Trump wrecked it...

EU to Go It Alone on Iran Nuclear Deal

TrumpMacro, cc White House, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/

With their economic interests imperiled and domestic public opinion squarely behind them, EU leaders are looking into ways to save the Iran nuclear deal. However, good policy options will be few and far between, particularly for EU companies with high exposure to the US market.

Turkey’s Erdogan Calls for Early Elections

Erdogan, cc Flickr AMISOM Public Information, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/

A nationalist resurgence and disorganized opposition have Erdogan rolling the dice on early elections. Will his gamble pay off?

Russia in the Arctic: Friend or Foe?

cc Flickr Christopher Michel, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Russia is making great strides in the Arctic. Should other Arctic Council states be concerned?

Trump to Sink Further into the Syria Quagmire?

President Trump at 2017 CPAC, Flickr Gage Skidmore, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Weeks after reportedly telling his generals to draw up plans for a withdrawal from Syria, the US president finds himself being pulled back in.

Global Forecast (03-29-2018)

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Frantic US-China trade talks get underway, Turkey eyes Iraq’s Sinjar region, and Russian diplomats are expelled throughout the Western world.

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