Opec News & Analysis
Kazakhstan Next to Leave? The OPEC+ Question After UAE’s Exit
Kazakhstan is grappling with the same fiscal and capital pressures as other recent ex-members of OPEC and OPEC+. Will Astana arrive at the same decision to leave the cartel?
UAE Leaves OPEC: A Structural Realignment in Global Oil Markets?
The UAE’s exit from OPEC marks the third member in seven years to leave the cartel. Given looming peak oil demand and OPEC’s dwindling share of global production: it won’t be the last.
Abu Dhabi’s OPEC Exit and the Architecture No One Admitted Was Breaking
UAE’s withdrawal from OPEC may have come as a shock to some, but this is a decision that was made incrementally, across fifteen years, and in theaters far from any OPEC meeting room.
Trump’s Middle East Visit: A Calculated Power Play in the New Geopolitical Normal
Trump will bring a long list of asks when he visits the Middle East for the first formal trip of his second term. But the Gulf states are not passive actors, and they will be making requests of their own.
Russian Economy: Post-Ukraine War Sanctions and the Energy Sector
The Russian economy, supported by its energy sector, has successfully weathered the brunt of Western sanctions so far. But this resilience is predicated on China’s unwavering support and pre-war reserves, both of which are finite.
US Shale Resilience Piles Pressure on OPEC+
Not only has US shale survived early attempts by OPEC+ to squeeze out its operations, but it’s now coming for longstanding OPEC+ markets.
Angola: OPEC’s First Domino?
Angola’s departure from OPEC+ is unlikely to move oil markets, but it certainly doesn’t bode well for the future cohesion of the cartel.
FLASH:IEA Reduces Oil Demand Forecast for 2021
Weak oil demand is projected to persist through the first half of 2021, compounding divisions within the OPEC+ cartel.
Outlook 2021: A Painful Year for Oil Exporters?
COVID-19 price pressures have savaged the fiscal health of oil producing states. Which ones will be hurting the most in 2021?
Backgrounder: Nigeria’s Energy Security Dilemma
Security and development deficiencies lurk behind many of the factors that are keeping Nigeria’s energy sector from realizing its considerable economic promise.
2020 OPEC++ Deal Lands with a Whimper
Past OPEC+ deals have been long on hype and short on substance, and this one is unlikely to be any different.
Fiscal Health Check for Oil Exporting States
Which exporters stand to lose the most if oil continues to hover at the $50 mark?
Wuhan Coronavirus: The Bear Stalks Global Energy Markets?
China’s coronavirus outbreak couldn’t have come at a worse time for oversupplied oil and natural gas markets.
Saudi Arabia Oil Attack a Geopolitical Game-changer in the Middle East
Riyadh’s evident vulnerability will lead to a search for new regional allies, and Israel is a surprising possible candidate.
Fallout Mounts for Saudi Arabia in Wake of Khashoggi Murder
The diplomatic consequences are mounting for Saudi Arabia after the apparent assassination of journalist Jamal Khashoggi.
Oil Prices Continue to Creep Upward
Oil traders are bullish in the shadow of pending Iran sanctions, with some projections suggesting a return of $100-per-barrel prices.
OPEC Goes Rogue on Trump, Keeps Production Steady
President Trump’s cozy relationship with Saudi Arabia failed to translate into a production hike from OPEC+ over the weekend.
Iran Sanctions: Energy Market Winners and Losers
Iran’s biggest customers are scrambling to secure alternative sources of oil supply.
OPEC Stabilizes Oil Markets, for Now
In Vienna, OPEC+ displayed its greatest strength… and its greatest weakness.
Global Forecast (05-28-2018)
Another attempt at Taliban talks in Afghanistan, Venezuela’s oil industry struggles to fulfil its contracts, and Turkey secures a YPG pullout from Manbij.
