MENA Region

Corruption and Sectarianism Sinking PM Hopefuls in Iraq

IraqProtests2, unknown author, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Baghdadprotests.jpg

The old guard has yet to moot a palatable candidate for the young Iraqis demanding change.

Idlib Campaign Puts Turkey-Russia Detente on Notice

A strike in Bidama in Idlib in 2017; cc Qasioun News Agency, modified, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hama_offensive_(September_2017)#/media/File:Airstrike_in_Bidama,_west_of_Idlib.jpg

Turkey and Russia’s divergent interests in northern Syria can no longer be glossed over.

Fiscal Health Check for Oil Exporting States

Oil Refinery, cc Flickr Kurt Bauschardt, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Which exporters stand to lose the most if oil continues to hover at the $50 mark?

Corruption and Mismanagement Plague the Iranian Petroleum Sector

IranTanker, cc Alf van Beem, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Iran_Dena_IMO_9218480_p6_approaching_Port_of_Rotterdam,_Holland_15-Dec-2007.jpg

If past record is any indication, a healthy skepticism is warranted concerning Iran’s new oil discovery in Khuzestan province.

Soleimani Assassination to send Shockwaves through the Middle East and Beyond

cc Erfan Kouchari, modified, Tansim news agency, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Major_General_Qassem_Soleimani_at_the_International_Day_of_Mosque_(2).jpg

Though the assassination will further destabilize the region, a large-scale conventional conflict remains unlikely.

Background: Quds Force Commander Qassem Soleimani Killed in Iraq

cc Khamenei.ir, modified, https://fr.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fichier:Qasem_Soleimani_received_Zolfaghar_Order_from_Ali_Khamenei_1.jpg

Will historians look back on the assassination of Qassem Soleimani as the catalyst for a new war in the Middle East?

Is Islamic State Still a Threat?

cc Flickr U.S. Department of Defense Current Photos, modified, public domain, Iraqi security forces soldiers pause for a photo during react to enemy contact training at Camp Taji, Iraq, Feb. 25, 2017. The soldiers attended a Junior Leaders Course led by Coalition forces designed to enhance basic combat skills in support of Combined Joint Task Force – Operation Inherent Resolve, the global Coalition to defeat ISIS in Iraq and Syria. (U.S. Army photo by Spc. Christopher Brecht)

Is Islamic State a spent force or a globe-spanning “al-Qaeda on steroids”?

Outlook 2020: Emerging Market Debt Bombs

GPM-placeholder-outlook-1

Turkey, Lebanon, and Argentina will be hoping for smooth sailing ahead in the global economy, as all three countries face massive financing challenges in the year ahead.

Iran’s Regional Grand Project Wobbles

Iran Fuel Protests, cc Fars News Agency, wikicommons, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Search&limit=500&offset=0&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns14=1&search=iran+protest&advancedSearch-current=%7B%7D&searchToken=7b2lb0b650k35fu08drjgghrf#%2Fmedia%2FFile%3A2019_Iranian_fuel_protests_Fars_News_%282%29.jpg

Iran’s region-wide geopolitical project is now imperiled on multiple fronts, including at home.

Finding a Way Forward in Lebanon’s Political Impasse

LebanonFlag, cc craigfinlay, modified, flickr, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Lebanon is now entering the seventh week of a socio-economic crisis that has brought the country to the brink of financial collapse. What comes next, nobody can know with any degree of certainty.

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