MENA Region

EU to Go It Alone on Iran Nuclear Deal

TrumpMacro, cc White House, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/

With their economic interests imperiled and domestic public opinion squarely behind them, EU leaders are looking into ways to save the Iran nuclear deal. However, good policy options will be few and far between, particularly for EU companies with high exposure to the US market.

Global Forecast (05-07-2018)

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President Erdogan campaigns on Manbij and the Iran nuclear deal nears its deadline day.

Egypt’s Samir Al Ghatas on the Nature of Terrorism

NYC terrorist attack, modified, GH9449, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_New_York_City_truck_attack#/media/File:2017_NYC_Truck_Attack_Home_Depot_Truck.jpg

Is terrorism fueled by economic, social, religious, or psychological factors?

Yemen Civil War: Houthis Fire Missile at Saudi Oil Tanker

Yemenwar, cc Flickr Felton Davis, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Houthi missile attacks against Saudi Arabia won’t do much damage, but they will propel the bloody Yemen civil war into news headlines the world over.

Grim Prospects for Turkey-Saudi Relations

cc kremlin.ru, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/52825, modified

As is often the case in the Middle East, third-party bilateral relationships are driving Turkey and Saudi Arabia further apart.

Trump to Sink Further into the Syria Quagmire?

President Trump at 2017 CPAC, Flickr Gage Skidmore, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Weeks after reportedly telling his generals to draw up plans for a withdrawal from Syria, the US president finds himself being pulled back in.

Focus Shifts to Manbij as Turkey Moves into Afrin Unopposed

Kurdish YPG Fighter, cc Flickr Kurdishstruggle, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

An attack on Manbij would put President Erdogan in direct conflict with the US military and its Syrian allies.

Rising Tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean: Another South China Sea?

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Border disputes, lucrative energy resources, and an aggressive regional hegemon – the similarities between the Eastern Mediterranean and the South China Sea are striking.

Tillerson Fired as Trump Veers “America First”

cc Flickr Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Trump has installed a kindred spirit at the top of the State Department. The move can be expected to reverberate throughout US foreign policy, notably in the administration’s approach to Iran.

Egypt: Going through the Motions of Democracy

cc Flickr James N. Mattis, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Egyptian voters are heading to the polls. Their choice: President al-Sisi or President al-Sisi.

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