Russian Federation News & Analysis

It’s not just economics but geopolitics that’s guiding cable infrastructure decisions in the Indo-Pacific, and what’s being decided now will reverberate for decades to come.

Examining the latest developments in the Iran war, a Putin-Xi summit just one week after President Trump came to town, and an expanding Ebola outbreak in the DRC.

Faced with geopolitical setbacks across Eurasia, Moscow is turning to Central Asia - one of the few regions where Russian institutional influence persists in structured form - to solidify its influence amid a shifting global order.

Faced with mounting battlefield stagnation, economic pressure, and technological adaptation, time is increasingly not on Russia’s side.

Britain's decision to publicly announce Russian submarine activity near its cables marks a shift from covert monitoring to deterrence-through-visibility. This is a posture shaped as much by legal constraint as strategic choice.

Backed by Russian and Chinese support, North Korea is systematically dismantling the global sanctions regime that once inhibited its domestic weapon development.

The widening gap between statement and reality goes beyond what we’ve come to expect from Russian propaganda. Rather, it suggests a stunted information environment surrounding President Putin and mounting elite struggles across the Russian state.

Recent history shows that durable security arrangements depend less on formal promises than on a combination of dense verification, credible sponsorship, and pre-agreed enforcement – all of which are proving elusive in the Ukraine war.

Domestic and external setbacks are mounting for the Kremlin, causing longtime supporters to jump ship. Putin is not performing strength. He is managing fear.

The expansion of Chinese PMSCs signals a structural transformation in how security is bought, sold, and aligned with state interests across the globe.

What began as a US-Israeli war against Iran is now exposing a second front that Washington did not advertise: the slow breakdown of Western sanctions discipline.

A new antidumping duty targeting Russian palladium seeks to insulate US domestic capacity of a critical mineral that plays an outsize role in vehicle supply chains. Yet questions continue to swirl around the long-term health of the US palladium market.

Instead of competing in a race-to-the-bottom where adversaries enjoy an advantage in low-end mass manufacturing, the West could play to its strengths by forcing drone warfare to a higher frequency band. Here is a thought experiment on what that might look like.

There is no middle ground for post-Putin Russia. It will either remain a feral, aggressive, isolated Empire, or it will fall apart with a deafening crash. A transitional, cozy European alternative for this territory simply does not exist.

Accusations that Ukraine is attempting to acquire nuclear weapons from France and the UK are simultaneously absurd and – in light of recent historical precedent – extremely alarming.