Ukraine Crisis

Is Belarus Doomed to Dependence on Russia?

BelarusRussiaFlags, cc Flickr Adam Jones, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Minsk has tried to carve out a more independent niche since the Ukraine crisis, but its room for maneuver remains severely constrained.

Revisiting the Ukraine-Russia-EU Triangular Dynamics

UkraineDon, cc Flickr spoilt.exile, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Assessing the wider issues that must be resolved if peace is to return to Ukraine.

The Geopolitics of the Black Sea

BlackSeaRegion-Final

Long the site of great power competition, the Black Sea region appears to be heating up once again.

Mercenaries and the Wagner Group: What’s Old Is New Again

The Swiss Guard defends the royal family during the French Revolution in La Prise des Tuileries (10 août 1792), https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Tuileries_Henri_Motte.jpg, public domain

Russia’s infamous mercenary outfit is an effective mix of old and new.

Russia’s Tanker Threats Shouldn’t Worry Ukraine

A Russian Tanker (not the actual one seized by Ukraine), author 'The Photographer,' modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Oil_tanker_crossing_the_bridge_over_Lake_Maracaibo.jpg

If past is precedent, we won’t be seeing any real ‘consequences’ from the seizure of a Russian tanker by Ukraine.

What’s on the Table in Upcoming Russia-Ukraine Negotiations?

Zelensky inauguration, cc Mykola Lazarenko / The Presidential Administration of Ukraine, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Volodymyr_Zelensky_2019_presidential_inauguration_23.jpg

The Donbass will certainly be up for discussion – but what about the elephant in the room?

Ukraine Election Result

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Zac and Nick discuss the surprising yet not-so-surprising result of Ukraine's presidential elections, what it means for relations with Russia, and whether or not there's any life yet in the Minsk II peace process. Recorded on April 27, 2018.

Ukraine Civil War: RIP Minsk II?

UkraineAPC, cc Flickr 7th Army Training Command, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/7armyjmtc/44598249711/in/photolist-nepj5A-XPryAJ-594B8n-6odLv9-Z6XLNC-YMnur9-YMnuWs-ZbbNxp-YMnvbq-YKby44-2aki5v1-YMnusw-2aWZFRR-C582ty-Z8rySN-YMnuS9-Z8ryKo-k6WPqM-2h2Syr-KBrit-2hWyjD-jWbPEf-p7CGY8-5RsLKe-VRrzbz

It’s getting harder to see how the Minsk II accords will ever be implemented. And that might suit the Ukrainian authorities just fine.

Life Imitates Art in Ukraine Elections

PoroZele, cc Ukraine President Office, modifiied, https://zh.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Debates_of_Petro_Poroshenko_and_Vladimir_Zelensky_(2019-04-19)_02.jpg

Comedian Volodymyr Zelensky is now living the plot of his popular TV show. But the next act is the hardest one.

Ukraine Elections: Too Close to Call

Tymoshenko2, cc Flickr modified, Ivan Bandura, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The story of the Ukraine elections is now a familiar one: establishment candidates vs. outsider dark horse.

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