Turkey-Us Relations News & Analysis

Backgrounder: Geopolitics of the Eastern Mediterranean Dispute

Santorini, Maggie Meng, CC Flickr, Modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/snowfish2014/14210200684/in/

Who is backing who in the mounting Eastern Mediterranean dispute over energy deposits in a key waterway?

Idlib Campaign Puts Turkey-Russia Detente on Notice

A strike in Bidama in Idlib in 2017; cc Qasioun News Agency, modified, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hama_offensive_(September_2017)#/media/File:Airstrike_in_Bidama,_west_of_Idlib.jpg

Turkey and Russia’s divergent interests in northern Syria can no longer be glossed over.

Point Counterpoint: Turkey Belongs in NATO

NATO Awacs, cc Flickr NATO E-3A Component, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

NATO needs Turkey, and Turkey needs NATO.

Turkey’s Assertiveness in and around Cyprus: South China Sea Redux?

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Opposition to Turkey’s geopolitical power play in the Eastern Mediterranean is mounting, but there’s no sign that Ankara will be backing down anytime soon.

The Geopolitics of the Black Sea

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Long the site of great power competition, the Black Sea region appears to be heating up once again.

Tweets Alone Won’t Save Idlib from Tragedy

Presidents Erdogon and Putin, cc Kremlin.ru, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/58574

It will take direct and unified intervention, not tweets and condemnation, if the West is to head off a humanitarian catastrophe in Idlib.

Backgrounder: Turkey and the S-400 Affair

Russia's S-400 system, cc Vitaly V. Kuzmin - http://vitalykuzmin.net/?q=node/370, modified, https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/S-400_Triumf#/media/Datei:BAZ-6909-022_chassis_for_S-400_system_-06.jpg

Turkey has officially been kicked out of the F-35 program after purchasing Russia’s S-400 platform, but there’s still plenty more time before relations with the West truly hit rock-bottom.

Fallout Mounts for Saudi Arabia in Wake of Khashoggi Murder

Defense Secretary Ash Carter hosts an enhanced honor cordon to welcome Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Arabia’s defense minister, to the Pentagon, June 16, 2016. DoD photo by Air Force Senior Master Sgt. Adrian Cadiz, modified, https://dod.defense.gov/Photos/Photo-Gallery/igphoto/2001554944/

The diplomatic consequences are mounting for Saudi Arabia after the apparent assassination of journalist Jamal Khashoggi.

Global Forecast (9-25-2018)

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Sweden’s far-right might sneak into the Riksdag via the back door, Brexit gut-check time in the United Kingdom, and new hope for US-Turkey relations.

Turkey Central Bank Raises Interest Rates to Stem Lira Collapse

5000_TL_obverse, Central Bank of Turkey, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:5000_TL_obverse.jpg, public domain

Is Turkey’s central bank truly independent, or has the “enemy of interest rates” finally relented?

US-Turkey Relations Placed on Life Support

President_Donald_J._Trump_and_President_Recep_Tayyip_Erdoğan_of_Turkey_at_the_United_Nations_General_Assembly_(36747062744), modified, White House, public domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:President_Donald_J._Trump_and_President_Recep_Tayyip_Erdo%C4%9Fan_of_Turkey_at_the_United_Nations_General_Assembly_(36747062744).jpg

All it took was one tweet from President Trump to ignite the tinderbox of US-Turkey relations and send the Turkish economy reeling.

Grim Prospects for Turkey-Saudi Relations in 2018

cc kremlin.ru, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/52825, modified

As is often the case in the Middle East, third-party bilateral relationships are driving Turkey and Saudi Arabia further apart.

Global Forecast (03-29-2018)

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Frantic US-China trade talks get underway, Turkey eyes Iraq’s Sinjar region, and Russian diplomats are expelled throughout the Western world.

Assad Jumps into the Afrin Conflict

YPG fighters in Afrin, CC Flickr Kurdishstruggle, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

In a further escalation of the Syrian civil war, Damascus has vowed to help the Kurds of Afrin repel the advance of Turkey’s “Operation Olive Branch.”

Turkey: NATO’s Rogue Member State

A US Patriot missile system deployed in the Turkish city of Gaziantep in 2013. cc Flickr U.S. Army Europe, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/

Is it time to consider kicking Turkey out of NATO?

Outlook 2018: Retrospective

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Looking back on the major geopolitical trends of 2017.

Turkey Domestic Crackdown: No End in Sight

Turkey ERdogan, Generated by Google Gemini AI on August 15, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Turkey’s post-coup purges have come to a head with the trial of 11 human rights activists on terrorism charges.

Turkey: Syrian Intervention, Regional Resurgence

Turkey flag over regional map, Generated by Google Gemini on July 28, 2025.

This outline explores the regional forces and core interests motivating Turkey’s foray into the Syrian civil war.

Pressured from All Sides, Will Iraqi Kurdistan Back Down?

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The blowback against Iraqi Kurdistan’s independence referendum was swift as it was fierce, with every neighboring state piling pressure on Irbil to back down.

Turkey-Russia Relations in 2017: Close, but Not Too Close

PutErd, cc www.kremlin.ru, modified

Ankara and Moscow have found a common cause in the Syrian civil war, but geopolitical disagreements in the South Caucuses and beyond will thwart too close of a détente.

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