Turkey-US Relations

Fallout Mounts for Saudi Arabia in Wake of Khashoggi Murder

Defense Secretary Ash Carter hosts an enhanced honor cordon to welcome Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Arabia’s defense minister, to the Pentagon, June 16, 2016. DoD photo by Air Force Senior Master Sgt. Adrian Cadiz, modified, https://dod.defense.gov/Photos/Photo-Gallery/igphoto/2001554944/

The diplomatic consequences are mounting for Saudi Arabia after the apparent assassination of journalist Jamal Khashoggi.

Global Forecast (9-25-2018)

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Sweden’s far-right might sneak into the Riksdag via the back door, Brexit gut-check time in the United Kingdom, and new hope for US-Turkey relations.

The Geopolitics of the Black Sea

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Long the site of great power competition, the Black Sea region appears to be heating up once again.

FLASH: Turkey Central Bank Raises Interest Rates to Stem Lira Collapse

5000_TL_obverse, Central Bank of Turkey, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:5000_TL_obverse.jpg, public domain

Is Turkey’s central bank truly independent, or has the “enemy of interest rates” finally relented?

US-Turkey Relations Placed on Life Support

President_Donald_J._Trump_and_President_Recep_Tayyip_Erdoğan_of_Turkey_at_the_United_Nations_General_Assembly_(36747062744), modified, White House, public domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:President_Donald_J._Trump_and_President_Recep_Tayyip_Erdo%C4%9Fan_of_Turkey_at_the_United_Nations_General_Assembly_(36747062744).jpg

All it took was one tweet from President Trump to ignite the tinderbox of US-Turkey relations and send the Turkish economy reeling.

Grim Prospects for Turkey-Saudi Relations

cc kremlin.ru, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/52825, modified

As is often the case in the Middle East, third-party bilateral relationships are driving Turkey and Saudi Arabia further apart.

Global Forecast (03-29-2018)

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Frantic US-China trade talks get underway, Turkey eyes Iraq’s Sinjar region, and Russian diplomats are expelled throughout the Western world.

Assad Jumps into the Afrin Conflict

YPG fighters in Afrin, CC Flickr Kurdishstruggle, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

In a further escalation of the Syrian civil war, Damascus has vowed to help the Kurds of Afrin repel the advance of Turkey’s “Operation Olive Branch.”

Outlook 2018: Retrospective

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Looking back on the major geopolitical trends of 2017.

Turkey: NATO’s Rogue Member State

A US Patriot missile system deployed in the Turkish city of Gaziantep in 2013. cc Flickr U.S. Army Europe, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/

Is it time to consider kicking Turkey out of NATO?

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