European Union (Eu) News & Analysis
2026 Gibraltar Agreement: Can Spain Erode British Sovereignty?
The UK and Spain celebrate the deal as a historic pact, yet the dispute over Gibraltar sovereignty persists.
Are Drones Solution to EU Deep Strike Capability Gap?
EU governments are racing to develop drone warfare capabilities with the help of Ukraine. These efforts will help boost European strategic autonomy in the short term, but from a deterrence standpoint, drones are only half the answer.
Mind the Gap: European Militaries Play Catch-up on Deep Strike Capability
Amid new threats and wavering US support, European states are pouring unprecedented political will and financing into closing capability gaps. None is as pressing as a deep-strike capability, which, despite concerted efforts across European institutions, is still not expected to come online for years if not a decade.
The Radev Risk: A Mandate for Bulgaria’s ‘Two Chairs’ Strategy
Despite the reductive ‘pro-Russian’ label often used by Euro-Atlanticist analysts, Rumen Radev’s electoral victory is not only far more complex, but also familiar in that it signals a potential return to the strategic balancing of Bulgaria’s past.
Syrian Refugee Returns After Assad: Political Imperatives and Humanitarian Realities
Examining Syrian refugee populations in neighboring countries and the European Union, as well as the challenges faced by host governments and the al-Sharaa regime in inducing them to return and help rebuild a country devastated by civil war.
Win-Win for Defense Industry? Canada Joins EU SAFE Instrument
The involvement of Canadian defense firms in EU’s SAFE instrument could serve as a genuine bridge between two defense industrial bases that have historically operated in separate ecosystems. But the path to Brussels is paved with grand plans that never came to fruition.
Poland: Pathways to Effective and Credible Deterrence
A recent summit at Gdansk furthers Warsaw’s quest for credible deterrence while demonstrating the sort of intra-European industrial cooperation that will be needed if the continent is to ever achieve credible strategic autonomy.
Canada in Europe? Geography, Law, and the Prospects of EU Membership
The question of “could Canada join the European Union?” has shifted from pure fantasy to speculative but serious legal and political debate. This article explores the legal and practical dimensions surrounding a hypothetical EU membership bid from Canada.
The CFSP: Europe’s Sahel Strategy is Running Out of Time
If the European Union is serious about its role as a global security actor, it must confront an uncomfortable reality: its current approach is not delivering results in the Sahel.
The Atlantic Corridor: West Africa and Europe’s Hedge against US Energy Leverage
The Iran war has cast a spotlight on supply risks inherent to corridor architecture. With the search now on for ways to diversify beyond a volatile Middle East and conditional US suppliers, the West African Atlantic corridor stands out as a way for Brussels to achieve more durable energy security.
Deficits Risk Sidelining Austria from EU Geopolitical Strategy
If Vienna fails to restore its fiscal credibility, it risks becoming a “rule taker” rather than a rule maker at a time when Europe faces multiple geopolitical challenges.
Italy Opts for Turkey’s Bayraktar TB3 for First Carrier Launched Drones
Italy’s acquisition of the Bayraktar TB3 represents new momentum toward continental strategic autonomy while also highlighting failures in the EU’s internal push for drone development.
Geoeconomic Credit Risk: Europe’s Payment Sovereignty and the Wallet Chokepoint
The Ukraine war demonstrated how quickly neutral corners of global financial infrastructure can devolve into levers of geoeconomic influence. The lesson is not lost on Europe, but balances still must be struck between sovereignty and dependency.
EU Military Bases and the Iran War: New Cracks, Old Rift
EU states have maneuvered to minimize the fallout from a war they were not consulted on. Yet two weeks on, they’re being pulled into it anyways.
Defense Industry Is the Missing Link in EU Semiconductor Sovereignty
Strategic autonomy in defense cannot exist without autonomy in semiconductors. Europe has begun to recognize this link. The question now is whether Brussels will act with the scale and urgency required to keep pace with global competitors.
Geopolitics Weekly (Greenland, US-Taiwan Tariff Deal, Syria Offensive)
This week we examine how a rapidly evolving situation in Greenland could remake trans-Atlantic relations, details of the long-awaited US-Taiwan tariff deal, a shock government offensive that changed the map of Syria, and Canada’s efforts to thaw out its relations with China.
Geopolitics and Corruption Collide in EU/US Legal Reform Push in the Western Balkans
The amicable relationship between the Balkans and Western partners runs deep, yet efforts for reform continue to yield little positive change. One reason for this is the prioritization of enforcement optics and crackdowns on corruption over legal safeguards.
Two New Year’s Addresses for a New Europe
First comes greater confidence and courage, then comes stability as Europe looks ahead to 2026.
Where Is Europe’s Reaction to France’s Ballistic Missile Project?
France’s plans for a domestic medium-range ballistic missile (MRBM) program might be a source of national pride, but they could also be a point of contention with European partners and there are better alternatives available.
A Moment of Truth for European Digital Sovereignty
Time will tell whether recent developments in Europe represent a concrete step toward confronting the United States in the digital realm, or a bleak move towards dependence.
