Ethiopia News & Analysis

Eritrea Succession: A War Waiting to Happen

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The highly personalized nature of the Eritrea regime has allowed Isaias Afwerki to remain in power for decades, but there’s neither a plan nor an institutional mechanism to stabilize the country when he passes away.

Where Ethiopians Have Lost, Abiy Ahmed Has Won

Ethopian soldiers, wearing their new African Union berets, ready themselves for departure after a ceremony in Baidoa, Somalia, marking the inclusion of Ethiopia into the African Union peace keeping mission on January 22. AU UN IST PHOTO / Tobin Jones, cc Flickr AMISOM Public Information - https://flickr.com/photos/au_unistphotostream/12087190213/in/photolist-jq71xg-5YKqHD-9Rwcf2-dpJGH1-9Rz5K1-dpJGQd-rDhWkm-dpJLBn-ec4BQC-7fiis2-jq4V58-9fjkE6-9fnso7-9fzGaP-9goDRq-7AaupR-7fnbMq-7fnbF9-7fiin6-9gkDfn-jq6ize-9fjvqK-9fnDhE-9fnrUE-9fjkAT-9fjvYV-9fnCLQ-9fnCq1-9fzMyH-7fnbfC-9fnCnf-9fCZgj-9fjjwP-9fjjsM-dvGFex-9gkBq8-7fnbKN-9gpMGh-9fA1dT-9goGTC-9fns1u-9fnCHh-9fnDn3-9fnsKh-8uNPLJ-7fnbGy-9fjvna-9goGMA-9fjjPa-9gmGpk

The prime minister’s popularity ratings have soared amid widespread suffering during the Ethiopian civil war.

Ethiopia Descends into Civil War

cc AMISOM Public Information, modified, Members of the Ethiopian National Defense Forces stand in formation during a ceremony in Baidoa, Somalia, to mark the inclusion of Ethiopia into the African Union peace keeping mission in the country on January 22. AU UN IST PHOTO / Tobin Jones

A mid-October offensive launched by the Ethiopian government has not only failed to make headway, but Tigray troops and their allies are now pushing toward the capital of Addis Ababa.

Ethiopia Launches Offensive as Famine Spreads in Tigray

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Whether or not the offensive succeeds, the Tigray conflict has produced long-lasting scars that will not heal easily.

Global Forecast (6-21-2021)

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Ethiopia to vote in a landmark election, commodity prices come back down to Earth, and Iran’s election produces few surprises.

Ethiopia: A Geopolitical Time Bomb in the Making

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Ethiopia’s climate-sensitive economy, growing population, and inter-ethnic conflict make it a geopolitical time bomb primed to explode.

2020 Tigray Conflict Risks Civil War in Ethiopia

Ethiopian National Defence Forces peacekeepers marching in Hudur capital city of Bakol Somalia on March 19, 2014 AU UN IST PHOTO / MOHAMUD HASSAN, cc Flickr Amisom Public Information, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2014_03_19_AMISOM_ETHIOPIAN_and_SNA_in_Hudur-2_(13284287784).jpg

Long-term Ethiopia watchers can’t help but be concerned by the military conflict unfolding in northern Tigray.

FDI in Ethiopia: Is “Abiymania” Enough?

Ethiopia at the African Union, cc Flickr Office of the Prime Minister - Ethiopia, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/

Ethiopia’s new prime minister is popular enough to spawn his own ‘mania.’ But beneath the economic success story of the past year lurks the potential for new conflicts.

Ethiopia’s Geopolitical Ambitions Could Bring about Its Downfall

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Ethiopia faces a variety of long-term environmental and societal challenges. Building a Navy won’t help solve any of them.

Ethiopians Flee to Kenya following Moyale Military Operation

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Kenya has much to gain from actively working to de-escalate the growing crisis in Ethiopia’s Oromia region.

Ethiopia Extends State of Emergency

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The state of emergency may have ended the overt protest movement in Ethiopia, but sectarian tensions remain, and it’s only a matter of time before they rise to the surface once again.

Interview: Rudo Sanyanga on Ethiopia Grand Renaissance Dam, Water Conflicts

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Geopoliticalmonitor.com sits down with Rudo Sanyanga of the International Rivers Africa Program to discuss the geopolitical impact of Ethiopia’s Grand Renaissance Dam and other water conflicts on the continent.

Water Conflict: Egypt and the Great Ethiopian Renaissance Dam

Grand Ethiopia Renaissance Dam, Egypt Flag abstraction, Generated by Google Gemini AI on August 10, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

The Great Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) could well end up as a template for climate conflict in the 21st century.

Breaking Down US Relations with Ethiopia

Ethiopia USA flags, Generated by Google Gemini AI on August 10, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

US relations with a longstanding ally in Ethiopia are being strained by growing instability and sectarian conflict.

Perfect Storm in Ethiopia: Big Government Controlled by a Small Group

Ethiopia Flag, Generated by Google Gemini AI on August 8, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Little progress is being made on investigations into alleged political violence in Ethiopia.

Key Western Ally Ethiopia Descends into Violence

Ethiopia Flag, Generated by Google Gemini AI on August 8, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Sectarian tensions and political repression are on the rise in one of the United States’ key allies in East Africa.

Eritrea at the Center of Europe’s ‘Clandestine’ Migrant Crisis

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The question that every European policymaker should be considering: How do you solve a problem like Eritrea?

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