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Situation Reports — Apr 14, 2026

Deficits Risk Sidelining Austria from EU Geopolitical Strategy

If Vienna fails to restore its fiscal credibility, it risks becoming a “rule taker” rather than a rule maker at a time when Europe faces multiple geopolitical challenges.

Jul 27, 2021 — Situation Reports

Why a 1955 Peace Treaty Bans Landlocked Austria from Deploying Submarines

Tracing the historical origins of one particularly bizarre postwar restriction.

May 23, 2019 — Situation Reports

New Elections Loom as Austria Government Implodes

A scandal involving the far-right has caused the Kurz government to implode. But reports of the FPO’s death are greatly exaggerated.

Sep 20, 2018 — Situation Reports

EU Salzburg Summit Sinks May’s Latest Brexit Plan

The demise of Prime Minister May’s Chequers plan increases the odds of a hard Brexit.

Jun 25, 2018 — Opinion

Whither Central Europe’s ‘Axis of the Willing’ on Migration?

Will Sebastian Kurz’ “axis of the willing against illegal migration” sound the death knell for the Merkel era in Germany?

Nov 14, 2016 — Forecasts

Global Forecast: EU Populist Political Movements in 2016

First Brexit, now President Trump – a wave of anti-globalization fervor is spreading through the Western world. Here is a run-down of the major movements in EU countries that could see a ‘Trump bump.’

Apr 19, 2016 — Forecasts

Global Forecast (04-19-2016)

Brazil’s president faces impeachment, President Obama visits Saudi Arabia, and the Taliban launch their annual “spring offensive” in Afghanistan.

Apr 06, 2009 — Forecasts

NATO’s 7th Decade

As NATO enters its 7th decade, serious questions of its relevancy persist, culminating in the greatest existential threat faced by the military alliance.

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