Ukraine Crisis: Geopolitics Dictates It Will Remain Frozen

August 28, 2017

Emil Avdaliani

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The Ukraine crisis has undeniably reached a frozen phase where no side can make considerable gains even though the ceasefire is constantly being violated. There have been agreements (two reached in Minks, Belarus) signed on wider aspects of the conflict as well as various ceasefire agreements for limiting escalation along the contact line. Nevertheless, there has not been any meaningful breakthrough and the conflict has already lasted for more than three years. In fact, any new progress is entirely contingent upon either Russia or Ukraine/West conceding on their interests. This brings us back to basics of the Ukrainian problem, which are rooted in geography.


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