Geopolitical Monitor

FLASH:IEA Reduces Oil Demand Forecast for 2021

Santa Barbara Channel / Ellwood Oil Field. From left to right: Harmony, Hondo, Heritage., cc Flickr Glenn Beltz, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Weak oil demand is projected to persist through the first half of 2021, compounding divisions within the OPEC+ cartel.

Biden’s Day One Executive Actions Take Aim at Key Planks of Trump Era

cc Flickr Matt Johnson, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/cornstalker/48309270832/in/photolist-2gAVD9C-DpiEz2-2gAV4zs-DRR3Pu-DbQdQG-DpiG8c-Dj8tRB-DARar6-DoUsb4-2gAVCSR-DARcgP-2hTb3rH-2gAVD61-2gAVDh8-2gAV5e8-2gAV5MH-2gAVDKY-2gAVDvu-2gAV5xp-2gAV5Bs-djLepK-2gAV64e-djLcMM-2gAVDFp-2gAV5jo-Lip31W-2gAV4QT-2hT9Ttt-2gAV5SC-D1sgbC-2gAVEhp-2gAV5WA-D1wyip-DFnJye-Dh8Qqq-2hTb3BT-2hT9YmE-Eau2mp-Duw8Yx-E4JXUG-e3q1ox-DjpQy6-EiJ8yT-2jxKqwd-DcXjTU-E7C88m-2hTb17Y-DGrkwE-Di1dDH-DqAkjB

In what seems to be an emerging norm for the executive branch, US President Joe Biden has wasted no time in dismantling key planks of his predecessor’s agenda.

US Stimulus: Biden Era to Open with a Fiscal Bang

Joe BIden speaks at a rally outside his campaign office in Council Bluffs, Iowa. Please attribute to Matt A.J. is used elsewhere., modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/cornstalker/49148794278/in/photolist-2hT7qdN-DJWD4T-DRAF4o-DMKaXJ-DvmhkL-E4UD37-EiYthH-EswGHQ-EkCRoA-DYviMA-DDJJUK-DqttdY-Da6o24-E1Drk2-Dfvmm7-DypzT8-DfQJi4-E1DoQT-dGHyZJ-DDVQeS-E2N4rj-E7daCQ-E4qsBE-Dc8N6K-Dhtj7D-DDrBNe-2kpuX4v-Dh8BZy-2k4gLnK-DkZxr7-DhtfCz-DXuJjh-EaFsL4-DrvgtF-2gAV4u2-Ecxe7f-DY8kbG-Etr5Ch-Dmkk2M-DE7YPL-DGSHGb-Dhts4k-2hTaZX9-Dh8FAw-E6C5xn-2gAV5nE-2gAVCWy-2gAVD2P-97Gk16-E8heEt

The Biden administration has proposed a bold – and expensive – stimulus package to reinvigorate the US economy, and its legislative path will say a lot about how US politics will operate over the next two years.

China Scrambles to Contain COVID-19 Outbreak ahead of Lunar New Year

The platforms of Shijiazhuang Railway Station., cc modified, wikicommons Windmemories, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:20201216_Platforms_of_Shijiazhuang_Railway_Station_05.jpg

Mass lockdowns and temporary COVID-19 hospitals have returned to China, and the timing couldn’t be worse.

Resurgent COVID-19 Looms over Asia’s Economic Recovery

cc Flickr nagi usano, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Asia is expected to lead the way in a post-COVID global economic recovery, but a new upsurge in COVID-19 cases highlights how the region is not out of the woods yet.

Outlook 2021: ASEAN under Brunei’s Chairmanship


ASEAN represents one of the most dynamic and fastest-growing economic blocs in the world. What can we expect in 2021?

Outlook 2021: Can China Rebuild its Damaged Reputation in the West?


Last year saw a dramatic rise in negative perceptions of China. What can Beijing do to reverse the trend in 2021?

Outlook 2021: A Painful Year for Oil Exporters?


COVID-19 price pressures have savaged the fiscal health of oil producing states. Which ones will be hurting the most in 2021?

Outlook 2021: Korean Peninsula Tensions


Will inter-Korean tensions be dialed up or dialed down in the year ahead?

Outlook 2021: Fossil Fuels


Will 2021 be looked back on as a turning point in the global pivot toward renewable energy sources?

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