Geopolitical Monitor

US-China Trade War: Shots Fired at ZTE as Washington Tries Reciprocity

Wilbur, cc Flickr U.S. Embassy Bangkok, Thailand, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

President Trump reaches for China’s own playbook on trade, with disastrous results for ZTE.

Global Forecast (04-17-2018)


Ambivalence in the United States on new Russia sanctions, a Jupiter rises to defend democracy in Europe, and the IMF predicts solid global growth for 2018.

Water Conflict: Iran’s Farmers Take on the Establishment

Iranfarmer, cc Flickr Beshef, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Water shortages are fueling protests in Iran, drawing a forceful response from the authorities.

TPP Back on the Table for the United States

Leaders of the original TPP states in 2010, cc Flickr Gobierno de Chile, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

It was always going to be a matter of time, but few predicted the about face would come this quickly.

Trump to Sink Further into the Syria Quagmire?

President Trump at 2017 CPAC, Flickr Gage Skidmore, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Weeks after reportedly telling his generals to draw up plans for a withdrawal from Syria, the US president finds himself being pulled back in.

Merkel Changes Her Tune on Nord Stream 2 Pipeline

cc Flickr ruben van eijk, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

For the first time ever, the German Chancellor has acknowledged the geopolitical sensitivities surrounding the controversial pipeline project.

US-China Trade War: When a Concession Isn’t a Concession

Trump-Xitalks, cc Flickr The White House, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/

China President Xi Jinping’s Boao speech is being heralded as a major concession on trade. It’s not.

China in Talks for a Military Base in Vanuatu


Reports suggest that China wants to build a military base in Australia’s backyard.

Hungarian Voters Deal a Blow to the European Union

Orban, cc Flickr European People's Party, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Viktor Orbán’s decisive election victory sets the stage for a long-delayed East-West battle over what lies at the heart of the European Union.

Brazil Supreme Court Upholds Lula’s Jail Time

LuladeSilva, cc Flickr thierry ehrman, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s political career looks to be finished, with major consequences for Brazil’s upcoming general election in 2018.

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