Geopolitical Monitor

Trump Defies China with $2.2 Billion Arms Sale to Taiwan

M1Abrams - one of the platforms included in this latest arms sale to Taiwan. cc Flickr Mark Holloway, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The pace of arms sales to the democratic, self-governing island is increasing under the Trump administration.

Mali: Toward a New Civil War?

Toureg militias during the peace process following the 2012 Mali civil war, cc Magharebia, Wikicommons, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Le_Mali_entame_le_dialogue_avec_les_Touaregs_(6972875286).jpg

Communal violence and displacement have returned to Mali. But unlike in 2012, this time tensions are flaring in the central regions.

Bloodshed Dodged or Simply Deferred? Transitional Deal Reached in Sudan

Anti-Bashir graffiti in Khartoum, Sudan. , cc Obai Alsadig , modified - https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Search&redirs=0&search=khartoum%20protest&fulltext=Search&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns14=1&title=Special:Search&advanced=1&fulltext=Advanced%20search

Following a long and violent protest movement, a transitional deal has finally been reached in Sudan. But can it bring democracy to the long-suffering country?

Next-Gen British Tempest Fighter Finds a Partner in Sweden

A Eurofighter Typhoon jet; the new, British-led consortium is seeking to build its replacement. CC Flickr, Max Pfandl, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

In a blow to separate Franco-German efforts, Sweden has apparently signed onto the British-led consortium to build a next generation European fighter jet.

What a US-Iran War Would Look Like

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Zac and Nick discuss some of the military dimensions of a potential US-Iran conflict, and how Tehran might seek to maximize the costs of a US campaign.

Italy’s League in Russia-Funding Scandal

Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini, modified, US Department of State, http://www.usa.gov/copyright.shtml

In a case of the FPO’s Ibiza scandal redux, Italy’s League is now embroiled in a Russian funding scandal.

Macron in Last-Ditch Effort to Save Iran Nuclear Deal

MacronTrump, cc Flickr White House, modified, public domain

However much the French president wants to save the Iran nuclear deal, Europe’s inability to insulate Tehran from US sanctions has already been laid bare.

Backgrounder: Greek Elections

Kyriakos Mitsotakis, cc European People's Party, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:A23A8701_(43572169160).jpg

New Democracy has swept to power in the Greek elections. But will it be the same old story in austerity-plagued Athens?

New Leader Slate Finalized in EU

SD meeting with German MinDef, cc Flickr Archive: U.S. Secretary of Defense, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

After four summits and countless hours of closed-door negotiations, the new slate of leaders in Brussels is finally official.

UK-China Relations: To Bend or Break?

HKProtest, cc Flickr Studio Incendo, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Events in Hong Kong have put a strain on a bilateral relationship that London has been emphasizing over the course of successive governments.

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