Geopolitical Monitor

Outlook 2020: Oil Markets


Assessing market risks and potential winners and losers in the year ahead.

Venezuela in Focus: Energy Industry

CitgoNeon, cc Flickr Lori L. Stalteri, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Any prospect of wider economic renewal in Venezuela starts and ends with its energy industry.

Venezuela in Focus: Security

Tear gas, and plastic pellet gunshot used by Venezuela's National Police against a protest in Altamira, Caracas., cc Andrés E. Azpúrua, modiofied, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Tear_gas_used_against_protest_in_Altamira,_Caracas;_and_distressed_students_in_front_of_police_line.jpg

Despite some improvement in crime statistics over the past year, Venezuela remains one of the most dangerous countries in the world.

Outlook 2020: African Debt Levels


Despite a recent stabilization, African debt levels have some worrying about the continent’s resilience in the event of a global economic downturn.

Outlook 2020: The Year in Drought


Tracking the most vulnerable and food-insecure regions in the year ahead.

Background: Quds Force Commander Qassem Soleimani Killed in Iraq

cc Khamenei.ir, modified, https://fr.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fichier:Qasem_Soleimani_received_Zolfaghar_Order_from_Ali_Khamenei_1.jpg

Will historians look back on the assassination of Qassem Soleimani as the catalyst for a new war in the Middle East?

Outlook 2020: The War in Afghanistan


Will 2020 bring an end to the United States’ longest war?

Outlook 2020: Emerging Market Debt Bombs


Turkey, Lebanon, and Argentina will be hoping for smooth sailing ahead in the global economy, as all three countries face massive financing challenges in the year ahead.

Signs of Infrastructure Spending Boost in China

Photo by CEphoto, Uwe Aranas, cc modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Dalian_China_Construction-site-01.jpg

With a flagging economy and no end to the US-China trade war in sight, will Beijing go back to the infrastructure stimulus well?

President Trump Takes Aim at the WTO

TrumpCPAC, cc Flickr Michael Vadon, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The Trump administration has an opportunity to strike at the heart of the global trade regime, and it intends to take it.

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