Writers
Sovereign Bloat in EU Banking: Prelude to the Next Crisis?
Euro zone banks are hoovering up sovereign debt, and in doing so risk a repeat the ‘death loop’ that nearly tore the monetary union apart in the 2010s.
Middle East Gamechanger? Gauging the China-Iran Deal
Though short on details, the recent China-Iran deal could one day be looked back on as a seminal moment in the geopolitics of the Middle East.
Impeachment, Apathy, and COVID-19 Loom over Peru Polls
Peru’s presidency is up for grabs in what projects to be one of the most competitive elections in recent memory. But governing won’t be easy for the winner.
Global Forecast (4-6-2021)
Palma is re-taken by security forces in Mozambique, Peruvians head to the polls, and Russian troops amass near the Ukrainian border.
ISIS-Linked Insurgency Opens a Vacuum in Northeast Mozambique
Last week’s brutal Palma attack is fueling concerns of state collapse in northeast Mozambique.
COVID-19: New Waves Emerge in Europe and North America
Early vaccine euphoria is fading as policymakers grapple with resurgent COVID-19 outbreaks in Europe and North America.
Global Forecast (3-30-2021)
Past is precedent in Israeli election, Secretary-General Guterres warns on the financial stability of the developing world, and troubling signs of a civil war in Myanmar.
Xinjiang Sanctions Put Western Unity to the Early Test
Biden’s vision of Western unity was always going to face some hard economic realities. Coordinated sanctions on Xinjiang stand as an early test.
Backgrounder: The People’s Armed Forces Maritime Militia (PAFMM)
Exploring the history, composition, and tactics of the ‘little blue men’ of China’s littoral waters – the People’s Armed Forces Maritime Militia.
CBO Paints Grim Picture of Long-term US Debt Outlook
A recent Congressional Budget Office report could play killjoy to the Biden administration’s stimulus efforts.