Us Debt News & Analysis
Inflate Away the Debt? Strategic Logic and Risks of a Weak Dollar Regime
Mounting debt burdens are narrowing Washington’s fiscal space and eroding confidence in the US dollar’s reserve currency status. However, history shows that severe fiscal conditions can be reversed; and if not, the more likely outcome is a gradual erosion of confidence in USD assets, not an abrupt collapse.
Geopolitics Weekly (Iran War, Bond Yields, Russian Internet)
Examining the latest developments in the US-Israel Iran war, signs of distress in UK bond markets, and Russia’s advancing efforts to assert state control over its domestic internet.
Foreign Policy Guardrails of the Second Trump Administration
The foreign policy of the second Trump administration may appear chaotic, but it is constrained by three dictates: cheap oil, cheap debt, and cheap interventions.
America’s Waning Edge: Capital Flight, Tariffs, and De-Dollarization
The Trump administration is actively undermining the conditions that allowed American industry—and American markets—to dominate for so long.
Trump Tariffs: First Whiff of a US Debt Crisis?
A broad sell-off of US bonds is believed to have stayed Trump’s hand on the latest round of tariffs. This fracturing confidence in what was once considered a save-haven asset provides a possible glimpse of things to come.
Can US Corporate Debt Markets Weather a Recession?
With a recession looming on the horizon, the COVID-era grace period of cheap money has nearly run its course.
Is the Greenback’s Reign on Borrowed Time?
The greenback’s position as premier reserve currency continues to erode, albeit slowly.
CBO Paints Grim Picture of Long-term US Debt Outlook
A recent Congressional Budget Office report could play killjoy to the Biden administration’s stimulus efforts.
US Federal Debt: How Much Is Too Much?
The COVID-19 pandemic has US public debt running at levels not seen since World War II. But the global economy of 2020 offers far fewer avenues of growth-driven escape.
COVID-19: Bailouts & US Debt
COVID-19 bailouts have pushed US federal spending to dangerous levels, and this with the pandemic still raging in a long list of US states.
US Debt to Spike in Wake of COVID-19
The US government debt load was already teetering on the precipice of becoming unmanageable - then COVID-19 hit.
BIS Sounds Early Alarm on US Corporate Debt
Are collateralized loan obligations brimming with toxic corporate debt just a little bit of history repeating?
Foreign Demand for US Debt Slips in October 2018
China and Japan have been paring their holdings of US Treasuries over the past few months. Is this the start of a trend?
FLASH: IMF’s Post-2009 Financial Crisis Regulatory Report Card
The IMF’s latest report warns that the global financial system hasn’t yet fully learned the lessons of 2009.
Will Foreign Buyers Sour on US Debt?
Will foreign buyers like China and Japan step in to finance Washington’s latest deficit spending binge?
US Debt & Entitlement Reform in 2017
Entitlement reform would go a long way in balancing the US debt outlook, but getting it done won’t be easy.
US Debt: A Ticking Time Bomb?
Part one in a two-part series, this article examines the issue of ballooning US debt.
The Global Debt Bomb: From One Crisis to the Next
Debt is growing faster than productivity in economies worldwide, restricting options for policymakers and increasing the likelihood of another financial crisis.
Bond Markets Herald an End to Cheap Government Debt
Spiking yields in German and US bond markets suggest that the end may be near for cheap government debt.
