Iran Nuclear Deal

UN Arms Embargo on Iran Lifted

cc Hossein Velayati. modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Fateh-110_Missile_by_YPA.IR_02.jpg

Tehran is now free to engage in global arms markets. But is anyone buying?

Shifting Geopolitics Make US Leadership More Important than Ever

cc Flickr Commander, U.S. Naval Forces Europe-Africa/U.S. 6th Fleet, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/cne-cna-c6f/49998818291/in/photolist-2jbe1Ke-S6omh7-25yLjhu-2co8sCx-N8TcYh-2jkp37J-guzbGR-2je7Fp9-2g5Bw4G-ZWftoV-2bEZezp-2h5A61y-2jktPzg-2d8ski9-295mgGz-tJJaHf-BdrfSZ-2jatJzw-2jkphSf-8UMU7g-2jkmnBD-7HMtJX-2eBwdsi-tJHw1E-AgpsJ7-peyw96-6dMMxZ-hoo9up-23x3iaz-Agpu7C-5kckCg-rR3kVv-4tQaRK-u22c4M-23yFYzB-AgpAAu-p21BUF-u1X6Gu-tJHvYq-2ffcu5C-tJz7yM-oqN1wb-tJS15R-HiHKCz-2h5ygoP-AgxGQB-2jgBDzN-e2F29D-o9k1GD-Aztzm2

Emerging challenges in the new geopolitical context need more, not less, US leadership and trans-Atlantic cooperation.

Background: Quds Force Commander Qassem Soleimani Killed in Iraq

cc Khamenei.ir, modified, https://fr.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fichier:Qasem_Soleimani_received_Zolfaghar_Order_from_Ali_Khamenei_1.jpg

Will historians look back on the assassination of Qassem Soleimani as the catalyst for a new war in the Middle East?

Iran Bends under the Weight of US ‘Maximum Pressure’

A picture from the Tehran protests of 2009, cc Milad Avazbeigi, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Tehran_protests_(2).jpg

New nationwide protests are heaping pressure on the Rouhani regime; but all routes to a political solution remain blocked off.

Backgrounder: The U.S. Maximum Pressure Campaign toward Iran

Trumpspeech, public domain, modified, https://www.ang.af.mil/Media/Article-Display/Article/1343697/president-trump-speaks-at-193rd-special-operations-wing/ (U.S. Air National Guard photo by Staff Sgt. Tony Harp/Released)

Maximum pressure is working – just not in the way that US officials had hoped it would.

Europe Failing to Save JCPOA as Tensions Boil over in Middle East

IranDeal, cc Kremlin.ru, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/59829

Is Europe is warming to ‘maximum pressure’?

US-China Trade War and Iranian Oil: Market Disruptions Ahead?

President Trump visits China in 2017; Whitehouse.gov, modified, public domain

Risks are mounting on both the supply and demand side of global oil markets.

How Iraq Is Helping Iran Survive US Sanctions

Secretary of State Michael R. Pompeo meets with Iraqi Prime Minister Adil Abdul-Mahdi, Baghdad, Iraq, May 7, 2019., cc Flickr US Department of State, modified, http://www.usa.gov/copyright.shtml

There seems little Washington can do to prevent Iraq becoming a key Iranian trading partner and energy customer.

What a US-Iran War Would Look Like

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Zac and Nick discuss some of the military dimensions of a potential US-Iran conflict, and how Tehran might seek to maximize the costs of a US campaign.

Will Russia Betray Iran Again?

Presidents Rouhani and Putin, cc Kremlin.ru, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Hassan_Rouhani_and_Vladimir_Putin_(1).jpg

If history is any indication, don’t expect Russia to jump to Iran’s assistance in the event of a US military strike.

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