Iran Nuclear Deal

Iran Bends under the Weight of US ‘Maximum Pressure’

A picture from the Tehran protests of 2009, cc Milad Avazbeigi, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Tehran_protests_(2).jpg

New nationwide protests are heaping pressure on the Rouhani regime; but all routes to a political solution remain blocked off.

Backgrounder: Iran’s Military Strategy in the Persian Gulf

An S-300 anti-aircraft system missile launcher in a Russian military parade. , modified, cc SLonoed, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Side_view_of_a_S-300_launcher.JPG

Iran’s military strategy calls for asymmetric warfare against a much more powerful foe in the United States, with a focus on increasing the military and economic costs of any potential conflict.

Backgrounder: The U.S. Maximum Pressure Campaign toward Iran

Trumpspeech, public domain, modified, https://www.ang.af.mil/Media/Article-Display/Article/1343697/president-trump-speaks-at-193rd-special-operations-wing/ (U.S. Air National Guard photo by Staff Sgt. Tony Harp/Released)

Maximum pressure is working – just not in the way that US officials had hoped it would.

Europe Failing to Save JCPOA as Tensions Boil over in Middle East

IranDeal, cc Kremlin.ru, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/59829

Is Europe is warming to ‘maximum pressure’?

US-China Trade War and Iranian Oil: Market Disruptions Ahead?

President Trump visits China in 2017; Whitehouse.gov, modified, public domain

Risks are mounting on both the supply and demand side of global oil markets.

How Iraq Is Helping Iran Survive US Sanctions

Secretary of State Michael R. Pompeo meets with Iraqi Prime Minister Adil Abdul-Mahdi, Baghdad, Iraq, May 7, 2019., cc Flickr US Department of State, modified, http://www.usa.gov/copyright.shtml

There seems little Washington can do to prevent Iraq becoming a key Iranian trading partner and energy customer.

What a US-Iran War Would Look Like

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Zac and Nick discuss some of the military dimensions of a potential US-Iran conflict, and how Tehran might seek to maximize the costs of a US campaign.

Will Russia Betray Iran Again?

Presidents Rouhani and Putin, cc Kremlin.ru, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Hassan_Rouhani_and_Vladimir_Putin_(1).jpg

If history is any indication, don’t expect Russia to jump to Iran’s assistance in the event of a US military strike.

Macron in Last-Ditch Effort to Save Iran Nuclear Deal

MacronTrump, cc Flickr White House, modified, public domain

However much the French president wants to save the Iran nuclear deal, Europe’s inability to insulate Tehran from US sanctions has already been laid bare.

US-Iran Tensions

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Zac and Nick discuss mounting tensions between the United States and Iran - what's causing them, and whether or not they could lead to a new US war in the Middle East. Recorded on May 14, 2019.

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