Iran Nuclear Deal

Global Forecast (6-21-2021)

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Ethiopia to vote in a landmark election, commodity prices come back down to Earth, and Iran’s election produces few surprises.

Middle East Gamechanger? Gauging the China-Iran Deal

cc Official website of Ali Khamenei, Supreme leader of Iran, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ali_Khamenei_receives_Xi_Jinping_in_his_house_(7).jpg

Though short on details, the recent China-Iran deal could one day be looked back on as a seminal moment in the geopolitics of the Middle East.

Welcome to Islamic Paradise, Republic of Shame

Protests following elections in 2009, cc Flickr Iran Election 2009, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/iran09/3630172397/in/photolist-6xocPd-6wWJ4X-qK2o3x-r2i7X8-6wMAsr-6xxiG6-6xocPq-6xxo6B-6XrKqu-6Gq8Sy-6x7s2o-6xxiGn-6xxiGD-6wRNu6-6wRM4m-6xxiGc-6x7qWu-6x3gw2-6xocNW-6x3gLn-6wRNu8-6yLVPR-6Gq8Sh-6Gq8Sq-6xocP1-6Gq8Sb-6AdfEg-6Gq8S7-6xocPj-6Gq8S5-6xxiG4-6AdfEF-6AdfED-6xxiFF-q5rDAu-6AdfEv-6AdfEr-6xpmte-6AdfEH-6yvNQi-6wMA9c-6wRKX7-6wMzMg-6XrL8Y-6wRLiA-6wMztc-BLMHx-7Gog8d-BLMHM-BLMHH

Now over 42 years on, the disaster of the so-called Islamic revolution is still playing out for the long-suffering people of Iran.

What a Joe Biden Win Means for the Abraham Accords

U.S. Embassy Jerusalem, cc Flickr, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Will Joe Biden pick up where President Trump left off in the Middle East?

UN Arms Embargo on Iran Lifted

cc Hossein Velayati. modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Fateh-110_Missile_by_YPA.IR_02.jpg

Tehran is now free to engage in global arms markets. But is anyone buying?

Shifting Geopolitics Make US Leadership More Important than Ever

cc Flickr Commander, U.S. Naval Forces Europe-Africa/U.S. 6th Fleet, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/cne-cna-c6f/49998818291/in/photolist-2jbe1Ke-S6omh7-25yLjhu-2co8sCx-N8TcYh-2jkp37J-guzbGR-2je7Fp9-2g5Bw4G-ZWftoV-2bEZezp-2h5A61y-2jktPzg-2d8ski9-295mgGz-tJJaHf-BdrfSZ-2jatJzw-2jkphSf-8UMU7g-2jkmnBD-7HMtJX-2eBwdsi-tJHw1E-AgpsJ7-peyw96-6dMMxZ-hoo9up-23x3iaz-Agpu7C-5kckCg-rR3kVv-4tQaRK-u22c4M-23yFYzB-AgpAAu-p21BUF-u1X6Gu-tJHvYq-2ffcu5C-tJz7yM-oqN1wb-tJS15R-HiHKCz-2h5ygoP-AgxGQB-2jgBDzN-e2F29D-o9k1GD-Aztzm2

Emerging challenges in the new geopolitical context need more, not less, US leadership and trans-Atlantic cooperation.

Background: Quds Force Commander Qassem Soleimani Killed in Iraq

cc Khamenei.ir, modified, https://fr.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fichier:Qasem_Soleimani_received_Zolfaghar_Order_from_Ali_Khamenei_1.jpg

Will historians look back on the assassination of Qassem Soleimani as the catalyst for a new war in the Middle East?

Iran Bends under the Weight of US ‘Maximum Pressure’

A picture from the Tehran protests of 2009, cc Milad Avazbeigi, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Tehran_protests_(2).jpg

New nationwide protests are heaping pressure on the Rouhani regime; but all routes to a political solution remain blocked off.

Backgrounder: The U.S. Maximum Pressure Campaign toward Iran

Trumpspeech, public domain, modified, https://www.ang.af.mil/Media/Article-Display/Article/1343697/president-trump-speaks-at-193rd-special-operations-wing/ (U.S. Air National Guard photo by Staff Sgt. Tony Harp/Released)

Maximum pressure is working – just not in the way that US officials had hoped it would.

Europe Failing to Save JCPOA as Tensions Boil over in Middle East

IranDeal, cc Kremlin.ru, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/59829

Is Europe is warming to ‘maximum pressure’?

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