Ethiopia News & Analysis
Eritrea Succession: A War Waiting to Happen
The highly personalized nature of the Eritrea regime has allowed Isaias Afwerki to remain in power for decades, but there’s neither a plan nor an institutional mechanism to stabilize the country when he passes away.
Where Ethiopians Have Lost, Abiy Ahmed Has Won
The prime minister’s popularity ratings have soared amid widespread suffering during the Ethiopian civil war.
Ethiopia Descends into Civil War
A mid-October offensive launched by the Ethiopian government has not only failed to make headway, but Tigray troops and their allies are now pushing toward the capital of Addis Ababa.
Ethiopia Launches Offensive as Famine Spreads in Tigray
Whether or not the offensive succeeds, the Tigray conflict has produced long-lasting scars that will not heal easily.
Global Forecast (6-21-2021)
Ethiopia to vote in a landmark election, commodity prices come back down to Earth, and Iran’s election produces few surprises.
Ethiopia: A Geopolitical Time Bomb in the Making
Ethiopia’s climate-sensitive economy, growing population, and inter-ethnic conflict make it a geopolitical time bomb primed to explode.
2020 Tigray Conflict Risks Civil War in Ethiopia
Long-term Ethiopia watchers can’t help but be concerned by the military conflict unfolding in northern Tigray.
FDI in Ethiopia: Is “Abiymania” Enough?
Ethiopia’s new prime minister is popular enough to spawn his own ‘mania.’ But beneath the economic success story of the past year lurks the potential for new conflicts.
Ethiopia’s Geopolitical Ambitions Could Bring about Its Downfall
Ethiopia faces a variety of long-term environmental and societal challenges. Building a Navy won’t help solve any of them.
Ethiopians Flee to Kenya following Moyale Military Operation
Kenya has much to gain from actively working to de-escalate the growing crisis in Ethiopia’s Oromia region.
Ethiopia Extends State of Emergency
The state of emergency may have ended the overt protest movement in Ethiopia, but sectarian tensions remain, and it’s only a matter of time before they rise to the surface once again.
Interview: Rudo Sanyanga on Ethiopia Grand Renaissance Dam, Water Conflicts
Geopoliticalmonitor.com sits down with Rudo Sanyanga of the International Rivers Africa Program to discuss the geopolitical impact of Ethiopia’s Grand Renaissance Dam and other water conflicts on the continent.
Water Conflict: Egypt and the Great Ethiopian Renaissance Dam
The Great Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) could well end up as a template for climate conflict in the 21st century.
Breaking Down US Relations with Ethiopia
US relations with a longstanding ally in Ethiopia are being strained by growing instability and sectarian conflict.
Perfect Storm in Ethiopia: Big Government Controlled by a Small Group
Little progress is being made on investigations into alleged political violence in Ethiopia.
Key Western Ally Ethiopia Descends into Violence
Sectarian tensions and political repression are on the rise in one of the United States’ key allies in East Africa.
Eritrea at the Center of Europe’s ‘Clandestine’ Migrant Crisis
The question that every European policymaker should be considering: How do you solve a problem like Eritrea?
