Asean Countries News & Analysis

Escaping Southeast Asia’s Critical Minerals Trap

cc Steve Jurvetson, modified, a factory tour after the Model S drive on the track., 2011, https://www.flickr.com/photos/jurvetson/6219463656

Critical minerals like nickel and tin may power the next economy, but extraction alone will not secure ASEAN’s place in it. Southeast Asia does not need to become the quarry of the energy transition. It needs to become one of its industrial architects.

Southeast Asia’s Quiet Verdict on US Power

President Donald Trump attends the ASEAN Summit at the Kuala Lumpur Convention Center , modified, https://www.whitehouse.gov/gallery/president-donald-trump-attends-the-asean-summit-at-the-kuala-lumpur-convention-center/

Southeast Asia is not moving towards China. It is moving away from US dependence.

Cebu’s Wake Up Call for ASEAN’s Energy Future

cc Presidential Information Office, modified, President Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr. said Friday the leaders of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) will respond with unity, wisdom, and resolve as it addresses present challenges particularly in the midst of the Middle East crisis. https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2026-05-08_%E2%80%93_ASEAN_gathers_in_Cebu_with_unity_and_resolve_to_address_challenges_%E2%80%94_President_Marcos_(01).jpg

The Iran war is resurrecting old initiatives for bolder cooperation on energy and food security within ASEAN, but with them comes the now familiar friction between geopolitical alignment and collective decision-making.

The Strait of Malacca Is Malaysia’s Industrial Spine

Kuala Lumpur on the Strait of Malacca, from space. Modified, European Space Agency, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Kuala_Lumpur,_Malaysia_ESA23795482.jpeg

Malacca doesn’t just provide Malaysia with geographic relevance. It also represents industrial opportunity, but only if Kuala Lumpur moves to take advantage of it.

Cebu Summit Thaw? Thailand and Cambodia Meet with 2001 MOU in the Balance

cc Philippines Presidential Office, modified, Acting Presidential Communications Secretary Dave Gomez underscored Tuesday the important role of the media in informing Association of Southeast Nations (ASEAN) nationals of how Southeast Asia is responding to the various challenges members of the regional bloc are facing as a result of the tension in the Middle East. / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2026-05-05_%E2%80%93_Communications_chief_highlights_media%E2%80%99s_role_as_the_ASEAN_Int%E2%80%99l_Media_Center_opens_in_Cebu.jpg

Calls to revoke a 2001 MOU delineating shared borders risk a severe breach in Cambodia–Thailand relations. The ASEAN Cebu summit can help get bilateral relations back on track.

Indonesia’s ‘Observer Inflation’ Isn’t the Crisis; Household Inflation Is

cc Global Panorama, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/121483302@N02/15870575755

The 'inflation' that matters most in Indonesia today is not found in commentary or critique. It is found in hospital bills, school fees, rent payments, and grocery receipts.

The Norm That Protects Scammers: ASEAN’s Non-Interference in the Mekong

English: ​Colombo, Sri Lanka - ​The Indonesian Embassy in Colombo, together with the representative offices of ASEAN countries in Sri Lanka, celebrated the 56th

The ‘ASEAN Way’ is curtailing the ability of states to collectively crack down on Illicit scam centers operating in plain sight in Southeast Asia.

Indonesia Is Accepting Strategic Risk Because It Has No Choice

cc kremlin.ru, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/74678

Indonesia’s tradition of non-alignment is being tested by a sweeping new agreement with the United States. The plight is not exceptional and is increasingly familiar among middle powers looking to balance prosperity, security, and autonomy in an era of great power competition.

China–Vietnam Marine Cooperation Finds New Momentum after Xi–To Lam Talks

General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party Xi Jinping meeting General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam Tô Lâm before the dinner hosted on behalf of the President of Russia for the heads of foreign delegations and honorary guests who have come to Moscow for the celebrations of the 80th anniversary of Victory in the Great Patriotic War of 1941–1945. / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Xi_Jinping_and_To_Lam_meeting_each_other_in_Moscow_%282025%29.jpg

The recent Xi-To Lam summit suggests that functional cooperation can coexist with unresolved sovereignty claims in the South China Sea.

Geostrategic Hospitality: Indonesia in the New Era of Great Power Competition

cc kremlin.ru, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/74678

Indonesia is adapting to the new era of great power competition by openly engaging with all sides, but this balancing act is not without its risks.

Indonesia’s Nickel Diplomacy: Navigating US–China Competition in Critical Minerals

President of the Republic of Indonesia Prabowo Subianto. cc kremlin.ru, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/catalog/countries/ID/events/77214/photos#

A new trade deal with the United States demonstrates how Indonesia’s nickel sector is no longer merely an industrial policy instrument – it is a geopolitical lever.

Cambodia Undermines ASEAN Centrality in 2025 Border Conflict

ASEAN Flag, Generated by Google Gemini AI on January 29 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Settling disputes intra-regionally and respecting sovereignty have long stood as the fundamental norms of ASEAN. Phnom Penh has undermined both of them in its ongoing border conflict with Thailand.

ASEAN’s 2026 Bottleneck: Policy Shocks and Power Limits

ASEAN energy industry; Generated by Google Gemini AI on January 23 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

The defining risk for Southeast Asia in 2026 is not simply “geopolitics.” It is policy volatility, and it is arriving in tandem with an older, less glamorous constraint: energy infrastructure.

Thailand: The Frontline Nobody’s Watching

U.S. Air Force Airmen assigned to the 77th Expeditionary Fighter Generation Squadron conduct maintenance on an F-16 Fighting Falcon during exercise Cope Tiger 25 at Korat Royal Air Base, Thailand, Mar. 17, 2025. Exercises like CT25 enhance capability and interoperability, while strengthening trust between like-minded nations to ensure the air, maritime, cyber, and space domains remain open to all nations. (U.S. Air Force photo by Master Sgt. Jerilyn Quintanilla)

While Europe remains preoccupied with itself, a geopolitical buildup is taking shape in the Indo-Pacific that has long ceased to be mere war-gaming. The third act of the world order won't premiere in Brussels—but in Chumphon, Ranong, Subic Bay, Guam, and most importantly: Bangkok.

When America Walks Away, Asia Feels the Shockwaves

Generated by Google Gemini AI on January 12 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

What happens when the principal architect of the post-war order begins quietly dismantling the scaffolding it once built?

Kra Canal Or Landbridge? The Answer Will Shift Global Geopolitics

Generated by Google Gemini AI on January 1 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Bangkok must now decide on a debate that’s as old as the Thai state – embark on the Kra Canal megaproject or construct a land bridge between the Andaman Sea and the Gulf of Thailand. The result will resonate not just across Thai society, but global geopolitics.

Indonesian Democracy: A Regional Bellwether

Generated by Google Gemini AI on January 1 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Indonesia’s democratic struggle is not a domestic footnote. It is a regional bellwether and a global test case, one that Australia – and the wider democratic world – are closely monitoring.

Geopolitics Weekly (Taiwan Weapons, Thai-Cambodia Ceasefire, Nigeria ISIS Strikes)

GeopoliticsWeeklyHeader

This week we examine the growing backlog in US weapon deliveries to Taiwan, the long-term prospects of a recent ceasefire in the Thai-Cambodia border war, and President Trump’s Christmas Day strikes on Islamic State camps in Nigeria.

Thailand Shows the West Has Already Lost Southeast Asia

U.S. Marine 1st Lt. Mark Caldwell shares his meal ready to eat with a Royal Thai Marine during exercise Cobra Gold 2020 in Chantaburi, Kingdom of Thailand, March 1, 2020. Caldwell, a native of Lookout Mountain, Tenn., is the company executive officer for Alpha Company, Battalion Landing Team, 1st Battalion, 5th Marine Regiment. Exercise Cobra Gold 20 is the largest theater security cooperation exercise in the Indo-Pacific region and is an integral part of the U.S. commitment to strengthen engagement in the region. (U.S. Marine Corps photo by Staff Sgt. Jordan E. Gilbert)

Thailand represents the microcosm of a global shift: a tectonic revolution in Southeast Asia's center. Anyone seeking to understand why the West has lost influence in the region need only look here.

The Taiwan Question and the Uneasy Calm of Southeast Asia

220920-N-HP061-0096 TAIWAN STRAIT (Sept. 20, 2022) The Royal Canadian Navy Halifax-class frigate HMCS Vancouver (FFH 331) transits the Taiwan Strait with guided-missile destroyer USS Higgins (DDG 76) while conducting a routine transit. Higgins is forward-deployed to the U.S. 7th Fleet area of operations in support of a free and open Indo-Pacific. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 1st Class Donavan K. Patubo) - https://www.c7f.navy.mil/Media/News/Display/Article/3164089/7th-fleet-destroyer-transits-taiwan-strait-with-canadian-frigate/

Southeast Asia is not seeking to influence the Taiwan question—only to survive it. The hope is that restraint, dialogue, and neutrality can keep the region from being dragged into a calamity it neither wants nor can prevent.

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