American Decline News & Analysis
Credibility Index: A Data-Driven Approach to Assessing the Resilience of US Power
Structural indicators of hegemony like military, institutional, and financial capacity suggest that the US global power is far more likely to decline than collapse outright.
The Twilight of Pax Americana
The United States bears many of the hallmarks of a hegemon in decline.
Whither the US-Centered, Rule-Based World Order?
How long can a world order survive when its creator and primary benefactor is actively working to undermine it?
American Decline and the Limits of Academic Thinking
A new Harvard report has cast some light on American decline and the US presidential race, but it also illustrates the limits of academic thinking.
Iran Nuclear Deal Reflects Dangerous US Weakness
The Iran nuclear deal will not be viewed favorably by future historians.
America’s Bad Year in the Middle East and Pakistan
2011 was poor for the Obama Administration in most of the Islamic world.
America and the Politics of Disaster
Though Republicans and Democrats have managed to piece together a last-minute bill to stave off a potentially ruinous default, the rancorous process and tepid end result both point to a new kind of politics in Washington.
An Emerging Flashpoint: South China Sea
The conflict between China and Vietnam over the South China Sea is not just a petty squabble over maritime sovereignty.
The Resource Wars of Tomorrow
A list of global sites deemed sensitive to US national security interests, recently leaked by Wikileaks, acts as a window into a world where global free trade has been disrupted and access to primary resources is paramount.
UN Reform: Critical Issue of the Next Decade
Reforming the UN Security Council stands as a key barometer for assessing the international system`s transition from a post-Cold War US hegemony to a more multipolar distribution of economic and military power.
Past Battles Haunt in UK Defense Review
Impending defense cuts in the United Kingdom, and the alarm that they are generating in Washington, are both indicative of a shifting global balance of power.
BRIC Countries Come Together on Iran
BRIC countries are set to propose a resolution in support of Iran at the UN General Assembly; a further sign that the forum could evolve a more political dimension in the future.
Beyond the Peak? Unpacking the American Decline Narrative
American decline has once again become a fashionable prophecy in academic and media circles. This time, BRIC countries like China and India have replaced the specter of a rising Japan, the country that was often cited by ‘declinists’
Hegemonic Decline or Practical Diplomacy?
Although President Obama’s decision to scrap Bush-era plans to build missile defense bases in Poland and the Czech Republic can be taken as a consequence of America’s declining hegemonic power, it is underpinned by several practical military and diplomatic considerations.
The Iranian Oil Bourse
Threats to American economic dominance and the USD continue to grow as oil producing regions talk about, and act on, abandoning USD denominated oil sales and currency pegs.