Us-Japan Alliance News & Analysis

Geopolitics Weekly (Iran War, Japan Arms Sales, Balikatan War Games)

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Examining the latest developments in the Iran war and Japan’s re-invention as an autonomous player in Indo-Pacific security.

Sixth Eye In-The-Making? Rise of Japan’s National Intelligence Agency

President Donald Trump participates in a bilateral meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi , modified, https://www.whitehouse.gov/gallery/president-donald-trump-participates-in-a-bilateral-meeting-with-japanese-prime-minister-sanae-takaichi/

Reforms advancing through the Diet signal that the political consensus treating centralized intelligence as incompatible with Japanese democracy has been retired, opening up new avenues for intelligence cooperation with the West.

Europe’s EPAA: A Blueprint for Northeast Asia Missile Defense

NAVAL SUPPORT FACILITY DEVESELU, Romania (Sept. 1, 2019)– The sun sets over the U.S. Navy base in Romania, home to NATO's Aegis Ashore Ballistic Missile Defense System (AABMDS) site, after completing a long-planned systems update Aug. 9, 2019. During the maintenance period, the U.S. fulfilled its commitment to NATO's Ballistic Missile Defense(BMD) by the temporary deployment of a Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system to the Naval Support Facility in Deveselu, Romania. The deployment of the U.S. Army’s THAAD battery to Romania lasted about six weeks while Aegis Ashore software and other equipment was updated. In April, the task force deployed to NSFD where they integrated into the existing NATO BMD architecture during a period of routine maintenance and upgrade of the Aegis Ashore Missile Defense System located there.“The successful deployment of THAAD to Romania demonstrates our commitment to support our Allies and the NATO Ballistic Missile Defense mission,” said U.S. Army Brig. Gen. Gregory Brady, commander of 10th Army Air and Missile Defense Command. “Missile defense is a vital element to the collective defense of Europe and is one of the U.S. military’s top priorities. This deployment shows that we stand ready to surge combat credible air and missile defense forces when needed.”The THAAD system re-deployed back to the U.S. and NATO's Aegis Ashore has resumed full functionality and remains focused on potential threats from outside the Euro-Atlantic area. (Photo by U.S. Navy Lt. Amy Forsythe, Public Affairs Officer, Naval Support Facility Deveselu)

In an era of precision saturation attacks and resource restraint, missile defense will be defined less by the number of interceptors than by the coherence of the regional architecture behind them.

Geopolitics Weekly (US-Israel Iran War, Afghanistan-Pakistan War, US Inflation)

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This week we examine the launch of a ‘major combat operation’ by the United States and Israel against Iran, the outbreak of all-out war between Pakistan and Afghanistan, China’s latest effort to turn the economic screws on Japan, Iceland looking to move up its referendum on EU membership, a hotter-than-expected inflation report in the United States, and Ukraine’s low-tech approach to shoring up drone defenses.

New Tokyo-Manila Maritime Pact Signals Shift in Indo-Pacific Security

Ships of the 7th Escort Division anchored at the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force's Ominato Base, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:7th_Escort_Division_at_Maritime_Self-Defense_Force_Ominato_Base.jpg

The recent Japan–Philippines pact is not simply about defense. It is about determining whether the most stabilizing elements of the old order can be salvaged via minilateralism and conventional deterrence. Failure means fragmentation, and ‘might’ eclipsing ‘right’ in the Indo-Pacific.

Ahead of Snap Elections, Japan Needs Radical Honesty

President Donald Trump delivers remarks to Yokosuka Naval troops aboard the USS George Washington , modified, cc White House, https://www.whitehouse.gov/gallery/president-donald-trump-delivers-remarks-to-yokosuka-naval-troops-aboard-the-uss-george-washington/

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi heads into upcoming snap elections in a position of strength. However, good politics don’t always make for good economic policy, and Japan’s massive debt allows precious little room for error.

Geopolitics Weekly (Europe Water Crisis, Trump and Venezuela, Yonaguni SAM)

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This week we cover missile deployments near Taiwan, a brewing water crisis in Europe along with a far more advanced one in Iran, and President Trump’s latest posturing over Venezuela.

Takaichi’s Foreign Policy Comes into Focus in Japan

cc Cabinet Secretariat, modified, 令和7年10月21日、高市総理は、総理大臣官邸で高市内閣発足に当たっての記者会見を行いました。 / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Sanae_Takaichi_20251021_press_conference_%281%29.jpg

A speech from new Japan Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi helps fill in the blanks on what the next era of Japanese foreign policy will look like in Ukraine and elsewhere.

Japan Eyes Entry into Global Small Arms Market

cc Hunini, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:JGSDF_Type_20_rifle_at_Camp_Itami_October_2,_2022_04.jpg

Japan’s longstanding ban on arms exports has been slowly dismantled since the Shinzo Abe era, with the conspicuous exception of small arms exports. That may be about to change.

The View from Japan’s Military: Intensifying Great Power Competition

KUMAMOTO, Japan (April 19, 2016) An MV-22B Osprey aircraft from Marine Medium Tilitrotor Squadron (VMM) 265 attached to the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit departs JS Hyuga (DDH 181) in support of the Government of Japan's relief efforts following earthquakes near Kumamoto. The long-standing alliance between Japan and the U.S. allows U.S. military forces in Japan to provide rapid, integrated support to the Japan Self-Defense Force and civil relief efforts. (U.S. Navy Photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Gabriel B. Kotico/Released) 160419-N-AE545-640 Join the conversation: http://www.navy.mil/viewGallery.asp http://www.facebook.com/USNavy http://www.twitter.com/USNavy http://navylive.dodlive.mil http://pinterest.com https://plus.google.com

Japan’s annual China Security Report sees the zero-sum competition for and against the current international order only intensifying in the years to come.

Japan Authorizes Fighter Jet Exports under GCAP

cc Robert Sullivan, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/my_public_domain_photos/37410534044/in/photolist-21FZc5N-vXBeVT-2c6nosr-2iKXc2P-2hiKdfQ-2eDns9A-WtkdTC-2oE8ezd-YZQLpE-2hbqYSD-Xn5kz7-2hKCmVP-6TgXhi-2d5ayC8-gCuNrZ-BCrk3e-c4N1nY-2hxAgcJ-2fUt3x4-ThbwzQ-yDyqtq-wRF4bm-H3JTct-S2Xvdk-SXaVK8-2mPYpDT-SPhwaZ-WthpJm-2gVirKD-QQg12N-2eonu4f-2jhrurY-2g5GbBm-H9dgkk-2koQF7g-H5TRx5-GuiN8D-2dzqKCX-ZgjkMW-2fyHwFw-HREjQg-2hmM9uA-TCKZ3A-2eHUsxq-2kgM7uk-2kgQU4D-2mu5dVS-2gkz3yk-dXC8HV-BHqb8C

Tokyo is taking another step away from its post-WWII pacifist tradition and toward greater defense industry integration with key partners.

Shared Goals, Divergent Paths: US-ROK-Japan Relations

US Department of State, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Secretary_Pompeo_Participates_in_Trilateral_Meeting_in_Tokyo_%2828400351467%29.jpg,

The outcomes of an upcoming US-ROK-Japan trilateral summit could well determine the future alignment of one of the most important geopolitical dynamics of the Asia-Pacific region.

Japan: New Leader, Old Geopolitics

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Japan’s new leader can expect to face ongoing hostility in East Asia and a warm welcome from India.

COVID-19 and the Japan-South Korea Trade Dispute

cc Flickr Maina Kiai, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The Japan-South Korea trade dispute didn’t predate COVID-19, but it’s certainly making the pandemic’s economic impact even worse.

Trump’s East Asia Headache: South Korea-Japan Spat Deepens

President Moon, Prime MInister ABe, and Vice President Pence, cc S. Herman (Voice of America), modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Shinzo_Abe,_Moon_Jae-in,_Pence_in_Pyeongchang.png

Historical animosities are devolving into a full-fledged trade war between key US allies in East Asia.

Backgrounder: Japan’s Maritime Self-Defense Force Naval Build-Up

cc Flickr COMSEVENTHFLT, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

The Abe government has opted for a two-track approach to naval modernization: balance against China’s growing capabilities and escape the military constraints of Japan’s post-war constitution.

Japan Rare Earth Mineral Discovery: A Geopolitical Game Changer?

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Japan’s massive rare earth mineral discovery could break China’s monopoly and recast bilateral relations between the two countries.

An October Surprise in 2017 Japan Elections?

Japan Election, Generated by Google Gemini AI on August 15, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

In calling for early elections, Shinzo Abe may have sealed his own political fate.

US THAAD Deployed to South Korea

US THAAD Abstraction, Generated by Google Gemini AI on August 14, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

The THAAD deployment in South Korea could be a game-changer in East Asia security, and China and Russia are not happy about it.

The TPP’s Loss is China’s Gain

Xi Jinping, cc UK Foreign office, modified, President of China, Xi Jinping arrives in London, 19 October 2015. / https://www.flickr.com/photos/foreignoffice/21706073543

Trump has made good on his promise to withdraw from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, and it will fundamentally shake up geopolitical outlook of East Asia.

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