US Asia Pivot

US-Philippine Alliance: Duterte Demands US ‘Pay’ to Salvage Troop Deal

cc Flickr Republic of Korea, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/koreanet/28703735468/in/photolist-FtEJCQ-aFoxc8-2fP6tAW-657Esq-657Esj-657Esd-657Esf-KXvcYS-JcMnPr-JcMpfH-JcMorD-256YCLN-256YBuE-JcMrgr-27RLXJx-ChbKf8-4nShjJ-4nShis-ZKXFZb-qBEabT-5Z5d1T-5Z5d8B-5Z9pHG-5Z5cSB-24qsjaX-qkdzP2-67g7gV-ZMXa8L-27MSpQW-27MSqdu-257B5gU-KJs9wQ-ZKXG9j-PTaqsC-WPUSze-Ld2cyW-Ni1riL-ZFRVMN-ZFRWWG-YFr2LC-2jjbnEo

All of the recent frictions underpinning the US-Philippine alliance are on display in recent attempts to renegotiate the Visiting Forces Agreement.

Backgrounder: Joe Biden on China

NAVAL AIR STATION, North Island (May 14, 2009) Vice President Joe Biden addresses the crew of the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Ronald Reagan (CVN 76). The Vice President and his wife, Dr. Jill Biden, visited Ronald Reagan during a familiarization tour of naval facilities in the San Diego area. Ronald Reagan is preparing for its upcoming deployment to the Western Pacific and Indian Ocean later this spring. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Briana C. Brotzman/Released), modified, US Navy, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:US_Navy_090514-N-2344B-204_Vice_President_Joe_Biden_addresses_the_crew_of_the_Nimitz-class_aircraft_carrier_USS_Ronald_Reagan_(CVN_76).jpg

Examining the presidential candidate’s record on China for clues on the possible future of US-China relations.

After Duterte Scraps VFA, What’s Next for the US-Philippine Alliance?

130627-N-YU572-174 SUBIC BAY, Philippines (June 27, 2013) - Sailors and Marines disembark landing craft utility (LCU) 1633 to support Cooperation Afloat Readiness and Training (CARAT) Philippines 2013. More than 600 Sailors and Marines are participating in CARAT Philippines 2013. U.S. Navy ships participating in CARAT Philippines include the guided missile destroyer USS Fitzgerald (DDG 62), with embarked Destroyer Squadron (DESRON) 7 staff, the amphibious dock landing ship USS Tortuga (LSD 46) with embarked U.S. Marine Corps landing force, and the diving and salvage vessels USNS Safeguard (T-ARS 50) and USNS Salvor (T-ARS 52) with embarked Mobile Diving and Salvage Unit (MDSU) 1. CARAT is a series of bilateral military exercises between the U.S. Navy and the armed forces of Bangladesh, Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Timor Leste. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 1st Class Jay C. Pugh) (RELEASED), cc Flickr Cooperation Afloat Readiness and Training (CARAT) Commander, Logistics Group Western Pacific, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The Visiting Forces Agreement was the glue that held the US-Philippines security relationship together.

Trump’s East Asia Headache: South Korea-Japan Spat Deepens

President Moon, Prime MInister ABe, and Vice President Pence, cc S. Herman (Voice of America), modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Shinzo_Abe,_Moon_Jae-in,_Pence_in_Pyeongchang.png

Historical animosities are devolving into a full-fledged trade war between key US allies in East Asia.

Mending the Marriage: The Importance of Stabilizing US-China Relations

XiTru, Whitehouse.gov, modified, https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/f20171110ah-1463_original.jpg

The US-China bilateral relationship is too big to fail.

Trump-Kim Summit Recap

cc Flickr National Museum of the U.S. Navy, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/127906254@N06/40713187680/in/photolist-252FJgJ-J8fV22-KDbJ6A-25ZCyVd-27KkQrH-Hrd8Ar-26jP8u8-26jP8ig-26jP1LZ-27FRTHM-J2PN5X-J2PMCV-27Bhur7-27FEn92-24VTgro-26iWdax-26iWcr8-26iWbQP-26iWbFv-24VTewS-26iWbeZ-26zCcJ1-27B3Vfo-26zCcG7-27B3V6q-26zCcBC-27B3UYw-26zCcBN-26iEjUX-27FgHHK-27FgHyX-24VuacL-24Vua1o-27FgHp8-27FgHkk-27FgHei-24Vu9w7-27FgH8M-24Vu9nu-26zn8YA-24Vu9c9-24Vu93b-26zn8vG-26zn8kS-24Vu8JL-24Vu8r1-26zn7qq-24Vu85Q-26zn77j-24Vu7UQ

The summit’s only surprise came in the form of an unforced error from the US side.

Dessert Diplomacy: The Difficulty of Presenting a United Front Against North Korea

2018_Trump-Kim_summit_commemorative_coin, cc White House Communications Agency, modified, https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fichier:2018_Trump-Kim_summit_commemorative_coin.jpg

A diplomatic incident over the dessert menu reflects just how hard it is for Washington to get its Asia allies on the same page on North Korea.

China in Talks for a Military Base in Vanuatu

AustraliaVanuatu

Reports suggest that China wants to build a military base in Australia’s backyard.

President Trump and the Geopolitical World Order: East Asia

THAADLaunch, cc Flickr U.S. Missile Defense Agency, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The geopolitical world order is being remade under President Trump, but not necessarily in the way he intends. This series takes a region-by-region look at US foreign policy and asks: What does the decline of US power and influence mean for the world?

Will Bannon’s Asia Policy Survive at the White House?

Steve Bannon, cc Flickr Don Irvine, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Before his departure was made official, Steve Bannon was floating the idea of tying a Korean nuclear deal to US troop withdrawals in the South.

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