Us Asia Pivot News & Analysis

Trump Tariffs Imperil the US Asia Pivot

President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks at Yokota Air Base | November 5, 2017 (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead) / modified

The recent Trump tariffs are not just a trade issue. They are an act of geopolitical self-sabotage, and nowhere is this more apparent than in the future prospects for the US Asia Pivot.

US-Philippine Alliance: Duterte Demands US ‘Pay’ to Salvage Troop Deal

cc Flickr Republic of Korea, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/koreanet/28703735468/in/photolist-FtEJCQ-aFoxc8-2fP6tAW-657Esq-657Esj-657Esd-657Esf-KXvcYS-JcMnPr-JcMpfH-JcMorD-256YCLN-256YBuE-JcMrgr-27RLXJx-ChbKf8-4nShjJ-4nShis-ZKXFZb-qBEabT-5Z5d1T-5Z5d8B-5Z9pHG-5Z5cSB-24qsjaX-qkdzP2-67g7gV-ZMXa8L-27MSpQW-27MSqdu-257B5gU-KJs9wQ-ZKXG9j-PTaqsC-WPUSze-Ld2cyW-Ni1riL-ZFRVMN-ZFRWWG-YFr2LC-2jjbnEo

All of the recent frictions underpinning the US-Philippine alliance are on display in recent attempts to renegotiate the Visiting Forces Agreement.

Backgrounder: Joe Biden on China

NAVAL AIR STATION, North Island (May 14, 2009) Vice President Joe Biden addresses the crew of the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Ronald Reagan (CVN 76). The Vice President and his wife, Dr. Jill Biden, visited Ronald Reagan during a familiarization tour of naval facilities in the San Diego area. Ronald Reagan is preparing for its upcoming deployment to the Western Pacific and Indian Ocean later this spring. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Briana C. Brotzman/Released), modified, US Navy, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:US_Navy_090514-N-2344B-204_Vice_President_Joe_Biden_addresses_the_crew_of_the_Nimitz-class_aircraft_carrier_USS_Ronald_Reagan_(CVN_76).jpg

Examining the presidential candidate’s record on China for clues on the possible future of US-China relations.

After Duterte Scraps VFA, What’s Next for the US-Philippine Alliance?

130627-N-YU572-174 SUBIC BAY, Philippines (June 27, 2013) - Sailors and Marines disembark landing craft utility (LCU) 1633 to support Cooperation Afloat Readiness and Training (CARAT) Philippines 2013. More than 600 Sailors and Marines are participating in CARAT Philippines 2013. U.S. Navy ships participating in CARAT Philippines include the guided missile destroyer USS Fitzgerald (DDG 62), with embarked Destroyer Squadron (DESRON) 7 staff, the amphibious dock landing ship USS Tortuga (LSD 46) with embarked U.S. Marine Corps landing force, and the diving and salvage vessels USNS Safeguard (T-ARS 50) and USNS Salvor (T-ARS 52) with embarked Mobile Diving and Salvage Unit (MDSU) 1. CARAT is a series of bilateral military exercises between the U.S. Navy and the armed forces of Bangladesh, Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Timor Leste. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 1st Class Jay C. Pugh) (RELEASED), cc Flickr Cooperation Afloat Readiness and Training (CARAT) Commander, Logistics Group Western Pacific, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The Visiting Forces Agreement was the glue that held the US-Philippines security relationship together.

Trump’s East Asia Headache: South Korea-Japan Spat Deepens

President Moon, Prime MInister ABe, and Vice President Pence, cc S. Herman (Voice of America), modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Shinzo_Abe,_Moon_Jae-in,_Pence_in_Pyeongchang.png

Historical animosities are devolving into a full-fledged trade war between key US allies in East Asia.

Mending the Marriage: The Importance of Stabilizing US-China Relations

XiTru, Whitehouse.gov, modified, https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/f20171110ah-1463_original.jpg

The US-China bilateral relationship is too big to fail.

Trump-Kim Summit Takeaways

cc Flickr National Museum of the U.S. Navy, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/127906254@N06/40713187680/in/photolist-252FJgJ-J8fV22-KDbJ6A-25ZCyVd-27KkQrH-Hrd8Ar-26jP8u8-26jP8ig-26jP1LZ-27FRTHM-J2PN5X-J2PMCV-27Bhur7-27FEn92-24VTgro-26iWdax-26iWcr8-26iWbQP-26iWbFv-24VTewS-26iWbeZ-26zCcJ1-27B3Vfo-26zCcG7-27B3V6q-26zCcBC-27B3UYw-26zCcBN-26iEjUX-27FgHHK-27FgHyX-24VuacL-24Vua1o-27FgHp8-27FgHkk-27FgHei-24Vu9w7-27FgH8M-24Vu9nu-26zn8YA-24Vu9c9-24Vu93b-26zn8vG-26zn8kS-24Vu8JL-24Vu8r1-26zn7qq-24Vu85Q-26zn77j-24Vu7UQ

The summit’s only surprise came in the form of an unforced error from the US side.

Dessert Diplomacy: The Difficulty of Presenting a United Front Against North Korea

2018_Trump-Kim_summit_commemorative_coin, cc White House Communications Agency, modified, https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fichier:2018_Trump-Kim_summit_commemorative_coin.jpg

A diplomatic incident over the dessert menu reflects just how hard it is for Washington to get its Asia allies on the same page on North Korea.

China in Talks for a Military Base in Vanuatu

AustraliaVanuatu

Reports suggest that China wants to build a military base in Vanuatu, squarely in Australia’s geostrategic backyard.

President Trump and the New World Order: East Asia

Generated by Google Gemini AI on August 15, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

The geopolitical world order is being remade under President Trump, but not necessarily in the way he intends. This series takes a region-by-region look at US foreign policy and asks: What does the decline of US power and influence mean for the world?

Will Bannon’s Asia Policy Survive at the White House?

Steve Bannon, cc Flickr Don Irvine, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Before his departure was made official, Steve Bannon was floating the idea of tying a Korean nuclear deal to US troop withdrawals in the South.

US Extends Arms to Former Enemy Vietnam

Vietnam Flag, cc Flickr mattjkelley - https://flickr.com/photos/mattjkelley/4435397406/in/photolist-7KWz85-5HVxDU-9958qp-nT9mkX-9cR9gu-y6LvK-2nSPgBJ-2o4cxDX-fQjaSp-GqDokz-2nrLXfB-2kTzG8W-jy7u1-2mPa3Ud-aYq1mX-2owMQkE-5n8zqE-zRi5su-BaiZZ-MFjNQJ-2ouhX2c-HstyCi-Zikxpn-2iThYE3-2owSNpy-2nQ2ina-2otU6Gj-2nNhPiU-2nq9Kop-2owRFaE-gZ2FtR-2medPU4-fqJpaR-2m2m6Vr-2nLM4M2-cfpcEm-2ouhK1t-2mtMHdS-9fYZrD-e1eSFa-2nyEnkd-2meMkhN-2gS3otG-2ngVaLc-2kdABVx-2mdKgSA-fqKcQZ-JneLw6-2nQi98W-2nUpXXQ

Vietnam’s premier meets President Trump on the heels of the US administration’s first FONOP in the South China Sea.

Backgrounder: US-Vietnam Relations

Vietnam US Flags cubist abstraction, Generated by Google Gemini AI on August 8, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

China’s rise in the Asia-Pacific is a game-changer for US-Vietnam relations, as two former enemies are being forced to come together.

Vietnam Waits for Signs of Trump’s Asia Policy

cc US Department of State, modified, n U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson hosts a working luncheon for Vietnamese Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc at the U.S. Department of State in Washington, D.C., on May 21, 2017. [State Department photo/ Public Domain] / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Secretary_Tillerson_Hosts_a_Working_Luncheon_for_Vietnamese_Prime_Minister_Phuc_in_Washington_%2834170996894%29.jpg

With the ‘Asia Pivot’ gone, and the TPP with it, Hanoi left to guess at what the Trump administration’s Asia Pacific policy will be.

US THAAD Deployed to South Korea

US THAAD Abstraction, Generated by Google Gemini AI on August 14, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

The THAAD deployment in South Korea could be a game-changer in East Asia security, and China and Russia are not happy about it.

Backgrounder: The North Korea Threat

THAAD, cc Flickr Mark Holloway, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/, originally released by US Army

North Korea’s recent missile test underscores the growing threat posed by the “Hermit Kingdom” to East Asian security. In responding to it, the Trump administration only has bad options to pick from.

What Trump Doctrine Means for East Asia

A U.S. Air Force F-22 Raptor assigned to the 27th Fighter Squadron, Joint Base Langley-Eustis, Virginia, flies over Tyndall Air Force Base, Florida, during Checkered Flag 24-1, Nov. 8, 2023. Checkered Flag is a large-force aerial exercise held at Tyndall which fosters readiness and interoperability through the incorporation of 4th and 5th generation aircraft during air-to-air combat training. (U.S. Air Force photo by Airman Zeeshan Naeem) / https://www.acc.af.mil/News/Article-Display/Article/3593875/552nd-air-control-wing-integrate-with-4th-and-5th-generation-fighters-at-checke/

The overriding thrust of Trump Doctrine in East Asia seems to be a shift toward confrontation with China.

Japan Stands Firm on Senkaku Islands in East China Sea

USS Ronald Reagan (CVN 76) Conducts Joint Exercise with USS Antietam and Japanese Navy

Though less prominent than the South China Sea dispute of late, the fight for the Senkaku Islands is far from over.

Trans-Pacific Partnership on Life Support in 2016

cc Nathania Johnson, modified, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Hillary_Clinton_%2825055755464%29.jpg

The brainchild of officials who wanted to cement US trade influence in Asia, the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is now being doomed by the very country that birthed it.

PLA Navy Vessel Enters Japan’s Territorial Waters around Senkaku Islands

cc Al Jazeera, modified, Japanese Coast Guard Cutters stand watch over the Senkaku/Diaoyu islands. While disputed by China, Japan currently controls the island chain and has fiercely chased vessels from China and Taiwan that have entered the waters without permission. / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Senkaku_Islands_dispute_by_Al_Jazeera_English_%285%29.jpg

After a long lull in the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands dispute, the issue appears to be heating up once again.

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