North Korea Conflict News & Analysis
Is ‘North Koreanization’ the Only Logical Move Left for Iran?
If the Iranian regime survives, what comes next is not a choice between proxies and nukes. It is the recognition that nukes are now the only rational security option.
Able Archer 83 and the Dual-Contingency Trap: Lessons in Effective Deterrence
Able Archer 83 showed how a routine Cold War military exercise could escalate toward nuclear confrontation. The US, Japan, and South Korea can learn from it when preparing for a dual contingency in the Indo-Pacific.
Triangular Threat: North Korea’s Evolving Alliance with China and Russia
Backed by Russian and Chinese support, North Korea is systematically dismantling the global sanctions regime that once inhibited its domestic weapon development.
Europe’s EPAA: A Blueprint for Northeast Asia Missile Defense
In an era of precision saturation attacks and resource restraint, missile defense will be defined less by the number of interceptors than by the coherence of the regional architecture behind them.
Jakarta’s Courtesy Calls to Pyongyang: A Risk Worth Taking?
Indonesia’s outreach to North Korea represents a classic middle-power play: carve out a niche as an honest broker, even if the broker occasionally makes uncomfortable allies.
From Guam to Camp David: Nixon-Era Lessons for the US-Japan-ROK Trilateral
The Nixon era not only offers ambiguous lessons, but practical guideposts for strengthening trilateral US-Japan-ROK security cooperation, made all the more relevant by growing concerns of a ‘dual contingency’ in Taiwan and the Korean Peninsula.
Indonesia-North Korea Thaw Opens Door to Closer Security Ties
Indonesia and North Korea are rebuilding a modest rapport. Whether the two nations’ engagement expands to become a significant factor in regional security depends on Indonesia; but it wouldn’t be the first time that Jakarta surprised on the foreign policy front.
Ukraine Reconstruction and North Korea: Takeaways from the Trump-Lee Summit
Two shared imperatives were evident in the recent Trump-Lee summit: the need to rebuild Ukraine and restart dialogue with North Korea. Yet neither can proceed until hostilities cease in eastern Europe.
Gaming a Taiwan-Korea Dual Contingency: Falkland Lessons for the US-Japan-ROK Alliance
The Falklands War was a reminder that alliances succeed or fail on the basis of political imagination and practical enablers, not just treaty text, and military planners must bear these lessons in mind when preparing for a Taiwan-Korea dual contingency in East Asia.
Lee Jae-myung: Opportunity for a China-South Korea Reset?
Lee Jae-myung’s presidency may not herald a radical shift in the China-South Korea relationship, but it does create space for repair and recalibration.
North Korea’s Choe Hyon Destroyer: Start of a Modernizing Trend?
The launch of North Korea’s Choe Hyon destroyer reflects a broader modernization of the DPRK armed forces, with potential ramifications for regional security.
North Korean Deployment in Kursk: A Window into the DPRK Military
North Korea’s involvement in the Ukraine war affords a rare glimpse of the tactics, ideology, and equipment of one of the most secretive militaries on the planet.
Russia-North Korea Relations: A Deepening Strategic Alliance
The latest deepening in Russia-North Korea relations has the potential to reshuffle the security framework in the Asia-Pacific region.
“Garbage Warfare” Reflects Growing Instability on Korean Peninsula
Tit-for-tat balloon launches by North and South reinforce the general and ongoing deterioration of inter-Korean relations which has taken hold since the thaw of 2018.
Shared Goals, Divergent Paths: US-ROK-Japan Relations
The outcomes of an upcoming US-ROK-Japan trilateral summit could well determine the future alignment of one of the most important geopolitical dynamics of the Asia-Pacific region.
US Cybersecurity Policy Plays Catch-up amid DPRK Hacking Threat
Recent threats emanating from the DPRK underscore a push by the Biden administration to shore up digital defenses in an era of cyber warfare.
North Korea Missile Tests Spill into 2023
2022 was a particularly hostile year as Pyongyang continued to test and develop its full range of missile technology. Don’t expect 2023 to be any different.
The Cycle Begins Anew in North Korea
A desperate regime gives rise to hope and ultimately bitter disappointment, as the diplomatic cycle on the Korean Peninsula churns forward once again.
Outlook 2021: Korean Peninsula Tensions
Will inter-Korean tensions be dialed up or dialed down in the year ahead?
North Korea’s Nuclear Coercion as Diplomatic Statecraft
Calls in the United States to reassess strategic patience reflect major advances in North Korea’s nuclear diplomacy.
