Drug Trafficking News & Analysis

Uneven Playing Field: Mexico, Iran, and the Geopolitics of the World Cup

cc US Department of State, modified, https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Archivo:FIFA_World_Cup_2026_Official_Draw_%2854966258098%29.jpg

The World Cup has afforded space for Mexico’s President Sheinbaum to play a constructive role in defusing Middle East tensions, but asymmetric realities will make it hard to repeat the trick on Cuba or the cartels.

Warlord’s Portfolio: Mapping the RSF Economy from Darfur to Dubai

Generated by Google Gemini AI on March 24, 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

The RSF has leveraged a combination of territorial control and family-based corporate networks to create one of the richest statelets in existence, with geopolitical weight that extends far beyond Sudan’s borders.

Life After Mencho: A Shifting Landscape of Organized Crime in Mexico

Cubist el Mencho, Mexico, Generated by Google Gemini AI on March 3, 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

The assassination of New Generation Jalisco Cartel (CJNG) leader ‘el Mencho’ is a game-changer, but not necessarily in the way that some analysts were hoping.

Africa: Next Frontline in the Global Drug Trade?

Exercise Obangame Express 23 Aids Maritime Security and Prosecution in the Gulf of Guinea, modified, https://www.navy.mil/Press-Office/News-Stories/Article/3280270/exercise-obangame-express-23-aids-maritime-security-and-prosecution-in-the-gulf/

The US war on cartels will not end the global drug economy. At best it will merely shift it, and Africa could become the next frontier.

Taliban Poppy Ban Resets South Asian Drug Flows

Afghan poppy field, modified, Sgt Pete Thibodeauhttps://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:A_poppy_field_in_Helmand_province,_Afghanistan,_April_3,_2013_130403-M-BO337-191.jpg

Once the backbone of Afghanistan’s rural economy and a pillar of the global heroin trade, the opium sector is now in retreat, reshaping drug markets and security dynamics across the wider region.

Setting a Precedent: US War on Drugs Reboots in Latin America

Ships from the Gerald R. Ford Carrier Strike Group (GRFCSG) and the Bataan Amphibious Ready Group (ARG), and Hellenic Navy frigate HS Navarinon (F 461) sail in formation in the Mediterranean Sea, Dec. 31, 2023. The ships from the GRFCSG include the first-in-class aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN 78) and the Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile USS The Sullivans (DDG 68), USS Bulkeley (DDG 84), and USS Delbert D. Black (DDG 119). The ships from the Bataan ARG include the Wasp-class amphibious assault ship USS Bataan (LHD 5), the San Antonio Class-class amphibious transport dock USS Mesa Verde (LPD 19), Harpers Ferry-class dock landing ship USS Carter Hall (LSD 50). The U.S. maintains forward deployed, ready, and postured forces to deter aggression and support security and stability around the world. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Maxwell Orlosky)

It’s not the volume of Washington’s drug boat strikes that’s most important – it’s the precedent they set for future military action. This forecast examines the diplomatic, economic, and military risk factors inherent to President Trump’s militarized approach to counter-narcotics.

Geopolitics Weekly (US-Venezuela Relations, France Debt Downgrade, Nepal Protests)

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This week we cover the deterioration of US-Venezuela relations in the wake of a US military strike on alleged drug traffickers; Fitch downgrading France sovereign debt to the lowest rating on record; a new government in Nepal after a wave of deadly protests; and signs of destabilization along the Afpak frontier.

West Africa Kush Crisis: How Synthetic Drugs Undermine States

Nearly 1,000 Republic of Sierra Leone Armed Forces personnel completed training for an upcoming African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM) deployment, May 20. (U.S. Army Africa photo)

The rise of ‘kush,’ a cheap and deadly synthetic drug, is fueling crime, weakening governments, and reshaping global drug trafficking networks.

A Crisis Like No Other: Fentanyl in the United States

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Fentanyl and other synthetic opioids have produced an unprecedented public health crisis in the United States. This backgrounder explores the pharmacological, criminal, and technological factors that make the fentanyl crisis a regulatory and policing challenge like no other.

Interview: Holland Struggles to Stem the Flow of Cocaine into Europe

Jonathan Alpeyrie / All Rights Reserved

In an exclusive interview, photographer Jonathan Alpeyrie discusses the security dynamics and social costs of cocaine trafficking in Holland.

Gang Violence Crisis Spreads in Caribbean

cc Jason Lawrence, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Jamaica_Constabulary_Force_St._Andrews_Central_Division_BC019_Toyota_Corolla.jpg

Flush with cash from North America’s drug markets, and armed by guns smuggled from the United States, drug trafficking gangs have unleashed a wave of violence in the Caribbean.

Cambodia Emerges as Transnational Crime Hub

cc Dickelbers, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Police_motorcycles_in_Cambodia_02.JPG

Trans-national criminal networks are becoming entrenched in Cambodia, posing new trafficking, fraud, and governance threats throughout the region and even globally.

Sinaloa Cartel Civil War Risks Spilling across US-Mexico Border

AMLO, cc Flickr Eneas De Troya, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

A civil war in the powerful Sinaloa Cartel has unleashed a wave of brutal violence across Mexico, and more violence could be in store for US cities as longstanding narcotic supply chains fracture.

A Crackdown in the Making? Costa Rica Gang Violence

110810-N-RM525-443 BAJO BLAY, Costa Rica (Aug. 10, 2011) Costa Rica Police Air Patrol Officer Capt. George Lozano, left, Naval Air Crewman 3rd Class Joe Wainscott and Chief Naval Air Crewman Justin Crowe head toward a village to assist an injured boy in Bajo, Blay, Costa Rica, during Continuing Promise 2011. Continuing Promise is a five-month humanitarian assistance mission to the Caribbean, Central and South America. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 2nd Class Jonathen E. Davis/Released)

Costa Rica is faced with a growing security crisis, and how it ultimately responds to the gang violence will be a crucial test for one of the strongest democracies in Central America.

Middle East Meth Crisis: A Destabilizing Trend

cc Mark Stroud, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/markstroud/7951679578/in/photolist-8PLWnK-ej8V3P-9EK4Ns-81MRRf-81K1G6-bs9TR3-62jWoe-drhG2X-62pdqA-62iAer-bs9TSU-7f9Jof-62nPWE-62iyGR-81Na57-bF4N7g-81MQdf-bF4NeT-7PXF82-7ujqo6-81MQTm-81MRBm-81MRi7-bF4Ndi-9CZLjW-76Lox8-d7Efjf-htm4Jr-9EG9jk-62nTzJ-81N9Qq-62pbXm-62jVre-5Zsnm8-5ZwCnW-7G91jC-62nNAS-81N9io-5ZsAWx-p7Sp3M-7G52MV-q4rzxx-5ZwKR3-5BWeE3-d7EriL-2pf9F1x-d7EtLQ-d7Ev4o-5BWeGu-5GgxxS

The discovery of ephedra plants in Afghanistan and a booming end-user market in the Gulf States is fueling a growing drug crisis across the Middle East.

Syria’s Captagon Crisis: A Narco-state in the Middle East?

Staff Sgt. Christopher Brown , modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?search=captagon&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns12=1&ns14=1&ns100=1&ns106=1#/media/File:Captagon.jpg, ISIS Drug Cache Destroyed

Syria has ramped up captagon production in the post-civil war period, with destabilizing consequences for the region and, gradually, the regime itself.

Mexico Heads to Polls amid Surging Cartel Violence

cc Flickr Eneas De Troya, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/eneas/7007558786/in/photolist-bFez65-2jHp4rh-bWPGJD-cn8K7b-4Gm97E-g2qGG-cnV5fy-cnV2Zu-cnV3X3-bSt1y2-bDygyG-bDyg9U-bDyfKu-bSt19a-264q3fb-cnV3wo-264q3qw-cmA6YU-Karqs6-cn8mvs-2jfGre3-dMfMWQ-GiwJ3-2i99YRN-bFeApu-ts41a9-fMhMct-c7bTUw-2jeVLSb-gNLnr-bF3FnL-4Gmqud-bzeF4u-5j21dT-3EpbAs-bWPFDa-KarqEa-4Gm9bJ-KarqKR-4Gm7Wb-cp1RJ1-4Gm8U3-4Gm92d-4GgXyP-bN9mCD-4Gm8Xq-4Gm8fs-4Gm7jS-4Gm8zL-4GgWWi

Spiking cartel violence has spilled onto the campaign trail, leading some organizations to classify Mexico as a high-risk country.

Escalating Violence in Ecuador: New Front in a Forever War on Drugs?

Peruvian and Columbian Army troops train on American weapons systems at Fuerte Lautaro, Santiago, Chile, on Oct. 13, 2002. Cabanas 2002 Chile is a multinational combined readiness training exercise centered around peacekeeping operational tasks. This exercise provides an opportunity for over 1,300 military and civilian personnel from Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay, Peru, Uruguay, and the United States to increase their state of readiness in combined multinational peacekeeping operations and a forum to encourage human rights. (U.S. Air Force photo by Senior Airman Stacy L. Pearsall) (Released)

Now over half a century since the War on Drugs was launched, has the broader campaign against the cartels become a forever war in Ecuador?

Interview: US Drug War and Rise of the Pacific Route

A ship off the coast of Miami. Photographer: Jonathan Alpeyrie;All rights reserved

Photographer Jonathan Alpeyrie discusses humanitarian and security risk stemming from a recent surge in drug trafficking along the Pacific route in the Americas.

How Narco-Geopolitics Hinder US-China Antidrug Cooperation

cc Flickr Drug Enforcement Agency, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/190205961@N07/51126058411/in/photolist-2kTQpXH-2nPtmKY-2mdCwGh-2naoaBd-2kTQpV8-2nahMyQ-xE7Ktd-2jJVzmw-2kTUzbU-UxGcy3-2muHkqM-2muNEbD-29ponno-2kTQpJm-2kTP8oR-2gkhorG-2gkhezM-depzFy-2fc8dnm-2mRgv6M-2kTPX7a-2mdDWgv-EVCWny-2kvtEfF-2dWgBEt-2bzxG8f-24EfegP-24Efemt-2fc8did-Rvrqjx-24Efei2-24Efenv-2g7HYb1-Vbixxg-TRi3T4-KygmGD-wYFPks-2nNMqrb-2nMhTsf-2nPs6UA-FNChzu-wYG15G-6iDttX-GVojXd-2jHENGQ-2jHENHr-2nRssVG-2nukKA7-2kydto8-RJPS2n

US-China cooperation on fentanyl precursor chemicals has proven effective in the past; however, it has become a geopolitical casualty as relations sour between Washington and Beijing.

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