China Economy

Twin Traps Imperil China’s Trajectory in the Decade Ahead

XIJPT, cc FLickr APEC 2013, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Avoiding the Thucydides Trap and the middle-income trap will require compromise, domestic stability, and constructive relations with the US.

US-China Trade War: Chinese Tariffs Aim at the Heart of Trump Country

NingboAssembly, cc Flickr Siyuwj, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Geely_assembly_line_in_Beilun,_Ningbo.JPG

China’s response to the Trump tariffs was both swift and finely tuned to inflict maximum political damage on the president and his Republican allies in Congress.

Global Forecast (03-29-2018)

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Frantic US-China trade talks get underway, Turkey eyes Iraq’s Sinjar region, and Russian diplomats are expelled throughout the Western world.

Trump Expands His Trade War to China

cc Flickr Håkan Dahlström, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The opening volleys have been fired in the long awaited US-China trade war.

FLASH: BIS Warns on China, Canada, and Hong Kong Economies

Yuan2, cc Flickr David Dennis, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

The Bank of International Settlements has warned of unsustainable debt growth in China, Canada, and Hong Kong.

Emperor Xi Ascends to the Throne in China

XI2013, cc Flickr Apec 2013, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/, modified

For better or worse, the elimination of presidential term limits will be looked back on as a turning point in modern Chinese history.

The Year Ahead for China’s Coal Industry

A coal delivery in China, cc Flickr Han Jun Zeng, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

China’s coal industry may be in a controlled decline, but it isn’t disappearing anytime soon.

China Renews Its Commodity Buying Binge

Steelmill, cc Flickr darkday, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

China is once again at the heart of a global commodities supercycle, but there are signs that the party might be short-lived.

IMF Warns on China’s Financial System (Again)

Pudong, cc Flickr Eugene Lim, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The International Monetary Fund is still worried about debt levels in China’s financial system.

What to Expect from the Trump-Xi Summit

Trump2015, cc Flickr Michael Vadon, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Which will prevail during President Trump’s visit to the Middle Kingdom – style or substance?

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