Global Forecast (11-05-2018)


Ebola spreading in DRC, Bank of Japan mulling an end to Abenomics, and Iran finds itself under US sanctions once again.

In Falling Birthrates, Japan Faces an Existential Crisis

JapanChild, cc Flickr Jim Epler, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Birth rates are so low in Japan that a precipitous drop in population is now all but inevitable. What’s causing the problem, and what can be done about it?

Global Forecast (10-23-2017)


Abe cruises to a new supermajority in Japan, Raqqa falls to the Syrian Democratic Forces, and Kenyans head back to the polls for a tense presidential rerun.

An October Surprise in Japan Elections?

Forerunners in Japan Elections, cc Wikicommons https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Yuriko_Koike_and_Shinz%C5%8D_Abe.jpeg, Author 内閣官房内閣広報室, Source kantei.go.jp – 東京都知事との面会

In calling for early elections, Shinzo Abe may have sealed his own political fate.

Abe Moves A Step Closer to Constitutional Reform in Japan

Abe222, cc Foreign and Commonwealth Office Flickr, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The Liberal Democratic Party’s recent victory has brought the controversial topic of constitutional reform in Japan into the political spotlight once again.

Global Forecast (07-12-2016)


China dealt a legal blow on the South China Sea, Britain gets its new prime minister, and Prime Minister Abe secures his coveted two-thirds majority in Japan’s parliament.

Japan’s Population Hits Tipping Point

Crowded, cc Flickr Janko Luin, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Japan’s demographic decline is all but assured, and it will bring economic headwinds for decades to come.

Japan in the Eye of an Economic Hurricane?

Abe56, cc Flickr Day Donaldson, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Volatility in global markets is thwarting efforts by the Japanese authorities to shore up the domestic economy.

Analysis: Gut-Check Time for Japan’s Abe

Tokyo_odaiba, cc wikicommons

Shinzo Abe has the mandate to enact the reforms needed to rejuvenate Japanese growth. But does he have the will?

Japan Fiscal Outlook 2014: To Owe is Human

Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda cc Sebastian Derungs

Japan’s public debt is expected to reach the eye-popping level of 240% of GDP in 2014, solidifying its undisputed position as the most indebted country in the industrialized world. Will the Abe government manage to turn things around?

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