Alessandro Gagaridis

Alessandro Gagaridis is an open-source intelligence analyst specialized in international security and defense. He is currently the PACOM (Indo-Pacific) Team Leader at the Counterterrorism Group, a US-based intelligence and security company. He holds a master’s degree in Diplomacy and Conflict Resolution from Université Catholique de Louvain (Belgium). You can find more information on his personal website www.strategikos.it

Backgrounder: Geopolitics of the Eastern Mediterranean Dispute

Santorini, Maggie Meng, CC Flickr, Modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/snowfish2014/14210200684/in/

Who is backing who in the mounting Eastern Mediterranean dispute over energy deposits in a key waterway?

The Wagner Group: Intrigue, War, and Resource Extraction in Africa and Beyond

cc Flickr, Kevin Rheese, modified

After initial deployments in Ukraine and Syria, the African continent has become the main theater for Wagner Group operations.

NATO Nuclear Sharing: Why it Still Matters

cc Flickr Mussi Katz, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/mussikatz/49322865386/in/photolist-2i9uzuN-21ArVZs-2hrYSoE-WYyMKQ-21gStAP-21BBCnX-gv96az-2bgTqCU-2ggJFMf-dNQvq5-i5c9ba-Vvo9Tk-i5c95Z-dNQvay-i5bzPC-CSWEGd-dNQv9G-rj6SCD-2fMb4NM-7Qn9yC-7QiP5T-Ck6N8h-2g8LuHu-dNQvfq-dNJUeT-gv99iD-dNJUSV-dNJUkz-dNJUBZ-dNJUqP-dNJUAF-21BBDxc-dNQvwu-dNQvKY-dNJUNV-dNJUwz-dNJUHP-dNQvB3-dNQvJf-dNQvjG-dNQvDj-dNQvkC-dQhodn-dNQvxo-dNJUzk-21EXYuc-dNQvvE-WxJrVZ-dNJUui-29Y9ASF

Despite geopolitical landscape changes, one strategic dictum endures: the best way to avoid war is to increase its potential costs.

Backgrounder: The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP)

RCEP Leaders Meeting in 2017, cc Presidential Communications Operations Office, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Search&title=Special:Search&redirs=0&search=RCEP&fulltext=Search&fulltext=Advanced+search&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns14=1&advanced=1&searchToken=7pvr1qgz89c7ow1xz4fye3aaj#%2Fmedia%2FFile%3A2017_RCEP_Leaders%E2%80%99_Meeting_%285%29.jpg

In the RCEP trade agreement, governments across Asia have charted an economic future for themselves – one that excludes the United States.

‘QUAD of the West’ Forms against Turkey in the Eastern Mediterranean

MEDITERRANEAN SEA (Aug. 26, 2020) The Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Winston S. Churchill (DDG 81), not pictured, executes a passing exercise with Turkish Navy frigates TCG Barbaros (F-244) and Burgazada (F-513) in the Mediterranean Sea, Aug. 26, 2020. Winston S. Churchill is deployed to the U.S. 6th Fleet area of operations in support of regional allies and partners and U.S. national security interests in Europe and Africa., modified, cc Flickr Commander, U.S. Naval Forces Europe-Africa/U.S. 6th Fleet, https://www.flickr.com/photos/cne-cna-c6f/50271831981/in/photolist-2jAmhcP-2haMApM-2haNErD-2gaP4QR-2hD6juY-RH5CUJ-2bF67ti-VxBNes-2hGRkqA-HCFGuD-2hqdMu5-2gEg8cf-2gUiawX-2hDgcCX-SZ1JT1-2gaN4qq-2hqfRnp-2gVhEXN-2hGDfKh-2haMAkF-2hFdvj2-2hGn39m-znkBA5-2gUirnE-2hDctte-2haQaMz-2hFnDn3-H43vF2-2gaNDEb-2gaN4jh-2gWgQxW-2hrHEYA-2hqchm2-2g5ya9R-2hHNyyf-2hFoA2d-2haRtoR-2haRirw-2hmSiv2-2gaNhSi-BdTSWE-2hGy2zf-2gaNooQ-2h5oRbS-2hFnuSh-2ghxo1s-2g5DKwy-2hrMBEh-24qHQwD-2cRhAAQ

Turkish actions in the Eastern Mediterranean have mirrored China’s actions in the South China Sea. And they’ve begun to produce the same kind of geopolitical response.

Ethiopia: A Geopolitical Time Bomb in the Making

EthiopiaFlag, cc Flickr John Iglar, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Ethiopia’s climate-sensitive economy, growing population, and inter-ethnic conflict make it a geopolitical time bomb primed to explode.

2020 Tigray Conflict Risks Civil War in Ethiopia

Ethiopian National Defence Forces peacekeepers marching in Hudur capital city of Bakol Somalia on March 19, 2014 AU UN IST PHOTO / MOHAMUD HASSAN, cc Flickr Amisom Public Information, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2014_03_19_AMISOM_ETHIOPIAN_and_SNA_in_Hudur-2_(13284287784).jpg

Long-term Ethiopia watchers can’t help but be concerned by the military conflict unfolding in northern Tigray.

Prospects for the Trans-Pacific Partnership Trade Deal under a Biden Presidency

cc Flickr Gage Skidmore, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/gageskidmore/48605397927/in/photolist-2h46nqc-zrCFky-2if4uzN-2if1533-2if4udv-2if3t3F-2if14oN-5pR7Gk-2gv9bQE-2gX99DF-2gX8oNP-2gv9ieB-2ivodQE-7f6MAn-ch6i4y-2h88Y5E-2gYyDz2-2if3qdH-2gv9Ld7-ch6i1J-2itrmxZ-2iafYx8-2jx3urd-2gvUMxt-2hTaZ4a-e3q1ox-2h1heYp-2gYxP7E-mHfN3-5praP8-mHfJr-2h46mCL-2hT7phz-2hT9XhW-2hTb31T-2h46wXZ-2hTb35R-mHfPo-2gYyJWV-2hT7syQ-2hTb2XB-2ivoeXz-2hTaYN5-2igHz5y-2gYyLnF-2if11qd-2hT9Wgs-2gYyKLf-2hT7o1r-2hTb1Li

Cancelling the TPP was one of the first moves President Trump made upon taking office. Would the decision be reversed under a Biden presidency?

Backgrounder: Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW)

Castle_Bravo_nuclear_test

Laudable goals aside, we’re still a long way from a nuclear weapon-free planet.

Backgrounder: Joe Biden on China

NAVAL AIR STATION, North Island (May 14, 2009) Vice President Joe Biden addresses the crew of the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Ronald Reagan (CVN 76). The Vice President and his wife, Dr. Jill Biden, visited Ronald Reagan during a familiarization tour of naval facilities in the San Diego area. Ronald Reagan is preparing for its upcoming deployment to the Western Pacific and Indian Ocean later this spring. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Briana C. Brotzman/Released), modified, US Navy, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:US_Navy_090514-N-2344B-204_Vice_President_Joe_Biden_addresses_the_crew_of_the_Nimitz-class_aircraft_carrier_USS_Ronald_Reagan_(CVN_76).jpg

Examining the presidential candidate’s record on China for clues on the possible future of US-China relations.

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