Climate Change News & Analysis
Iran War Ceasefire Frays, Taiwan-China South China Sea Standoff, El Niño | Geopolitics Weekly
Pressure mounts on the Iran war ceasefire; Taiwan and China face off at a disputed atoll in the South China Sea; a supercharged El Niño threatens to compound an already dire food security outlook; and the House GOP defies President Trump on the Ukraine war.
The Geopolitics of Geo-Engineering: Weather Warfare vs. Climate Security
Geoengineering risks transforming the climate itself into an arena of geopolitical competition, where the atmosphere, sunlight, and weather systems become objects of strategic control.
Iran’s Water Crisis: A National Security Imperative
Iran’s national security is no longer defined solely by armies, weapons, or borders—it now hinges on something far more fundamental: water.
When America Walks Away, Asia Feels the Shockwaves
What happens when the principal architect of the post-war order begins quietly dismantling the scaffolding it once built?
Sumatra Floods: Tragedy Becomes a Political Fault Line
The Sumatra floods necessitate a stark choice: whether to defend an image of self-reliance, or to embrace a practical humility that lets neighbors’ hands reach across the water to save lives.
Vietnam Drowns as Southeast Asia Pretends Climate Chaos Is Tomorrow’s Problem
Recent Vietnam floods beg an uncomfortable question: How many more record-breaking floods must arrive before climate adaptation outpaces climate damage?
Mounting Water Crisis a Major Test for Iranian State
Long-term domestic mismanagement, regional dam-building, and climate change are fueling a water crisis that could test the Iranian regime to its limits.
Lower Mekong at Risk: Water Scarcity & Rising Geopolitical Tensions
Exploring how upstream dam building, food insecurity, and climate-driven drought are pushing the Mekong River Basin toward greater geopolitical instability.
Central American Climate Refugees: Implications for US National Security
As climate refugees arrive at the US border in ever greater numbers, some proactive policy now can help mitigate more severe fiscal, social, and security impacts down the road.
Germany at a Crossroads: Coalition Breakdown Portends Sweeping Change in 2025
The circumstances surrounding the breakdown of Germany’s ‘traffic light’ coalition portend sweeping political and economic change in 2025, much to the detriment of climate policy and the welfare state.
Climate Progress Hangs in the Balance at COP29
As the world gathers in Azerbaijan, achieving a strong consensus on critical issues like climate financing, green energy diversification, and pollution reduction will be challenging – but not impossible.
Three International Water Conflicts to Watch
Trans-border waterways have always been sources of geopolitical tension, and climate change is only making cooperation more difficult. This article examines three international water conflicts to keep an eye on in the coming years.
The Shrinking Aral Sea: A Cascading Environmental Disaster
There is now desert where much of the world’s fourth-largest lake used to be, and the economic, health, and environmental consequences for peoples living near the lake are enormous.
Cloud Seeding and the Water Wars of Tomorrow
Cloud seeding is increasingly looked to as a mitigation tool for the worst effects of the climate crisis. But as rain becomes scarcer, the technique risks fomenting conflict between states competing for the same clouds.
Climate Migration: Preparing for Waves of Global Displacement
Climate migration is already happening, and our global and domestic regimes fail to adapt at our shared peril.
Vietnam Needs NGOs and Youth to Meet Climate Change Challenges
By leveraging the unique strengths of NGOs and youth, Vietnam can create a more resilient and adaptive society, capable of addressing the multifaceted challenges of climate change.
Small States, Big Impact: CARICOM’s High-level Diplomatic Successes
The group’s latest diplomatic victories are highlighting a critical role for small states’ leadership in the international community.
India Must Begin Paving the Way to Ending Coal
New plants represent long-lasting path dependencies that are both expensive and counter-productive to global climate goals.
‘Twice in a Lifetime’ Floods Ravage Pakistan in 2022
Just 12 years removed from devastating floods in 2010, Pakistan is reeling from another extreme weather event, with long-term political and economic risks abound.
Balkans Heatwave Underscores Climate Security Risks in Europe
Timely climate-related assistance from Brussels today can help avoid a much worse and much more widespread continental crisis tomorrow.
