There are plenty of positive signs on both the military and political front indicating that Somalia is about to turn a corner after two decades of instability and conflict. But despite recent positivity, the state’s long-term success will ultimately be decided by the new government in Mogadishu.
Political sentiment in the United States seems to be turning against the interventions and nation-building projects that have characterized US foreign policy in recent years. The revulsion at the cost and size of government, including the cost of expensive wars in the Middle East, has been amply demonstrated during the debt ceiling drama of recent weeks.
The current intervention underway in Libya is the inaugural combat mission for the US military's AFRICOM. While the Command's professed primary objective has been to strengthen security cooperation with African countries, many in sub-Saharan Africa see a more ominous agenda at work.
Resolution 1973, the UN Security Council resolution that implemented a no-fly zone over Libya, has been passed against the backdrop of a complex web of interests. This article will explore what is to be gained and what is at stake amidst this unprecedented, though ultimately shallow display of international solidarity concerning the use of force.
One might have gotten the impression that the wave of democratization which started in Tunisia and quickly spread to Egypt was destined to sweep through the entire region, leaving nothing an autocratic resonance autocracy in its wake. Libya however has changed the tone of this historical transition, and now only two things can be certain: The outcome in Tripoli will effect whether or not democratic ripples continue, and it will likely take a long time to arrive at said outcome.
October 22nd, 2010 (Geopoliticalmonitor.com) - The African Union has formally requested that the United Nations Security Council support a naval and air blockade of Somalia in the hope that such a move will cut off the flow of material aid to al-Shabab.