Geopolitics of the GIUK Gap: Past, Present, and Future
The GIUK Gap – a mainstay of 20th century naval strategy – is taking on new importance amid mounting Russian naval activity, Arctic expansion, and emerging hybrid threats.
Trump’s Greenland Push Revives an Old Question: Who Gets to Consent?
The United States does not need a sovereignty workaround for Greenland. It needs the opposite: a disciplined commitment to consent, clarity, and negotiated access that treats Greenland as a political community, not a strategic asset with residents attached.
Greenland and the Limits of Performative Power
President Trump’s Greenland obsession is not a show of strength. It is a self-inflicted liability: alienating a longstanding ally and, by extension, Europe, while pursuing a foreign-policy posture rooted more in impulse than strategy.
The Gap Is Back and UK Space Ambitions Will Be The First Casualty
London’s space ambitions are wholly inconsistent with the new normal of geopolitical tensions surrounding the GIUK Gap.
Arctic Geopolitics: Strategic Stakes for China, Russia and the U.S.
A thawing Arctic has become the latest frontier of geopolitical competition; here’s what China, Russia, and the United States are hoping to achieve in the region.
The Northern Sea Route: Russia’s Bet on Arctic Shipping
The Northern Sea Route holds out the appealing possibility of circumventing shipping chokepoints like Suez and Malacca, bringing Russian exports to new markets in South Asia. But the logistics of operating in the Arctic remain daunting.
China and Russia Arctic Policy Convergence? Shifting Geopolitics in the North
China and Russia Arctic policy is converging as climate change opens the region up to international shipping. And this is creating new challenges for a US defense establishment that has long taken the stability of the region for granted.
Russia’s Tough Talk on Arctic Sovereignty Must Be Taken Seriously
Littoral Arctic states like Canada must take heed of Moscow’s foregrounding of economics and sovereignty in its Arctic strategy, and prepare accordingly.
Europe’s 2021 Energy Crunch Spills into World Markets
Winter is coming and global energy markets aren’t ready for it.
Global Forecast (8-9-2021)
Provincial capitals fall to the Taliban, Bolsonaro under investigation in Brazil, and Zambia heads to the polls.
Global Forecast (7-5-2021)
Famine descends on Ethiopia’s Tigray region, OPEC+ attempts to thresh out a production hike, and tensions mount along India and China’s shared Himalayan border.
SNAPSHOT: Oil Prices Hit 2018 Highs
And some forecasters see triple-digit oil prices on the horizon.
Critical Minerals: Global Titanium Supply & Demand
Next in our series on strategic commodities we examine titanium, a key input in defense and aerospace production around the world.
Backgrounder: G7 Summit in Cornwall, UK
Examining key announcements surrounding this weekend’s G7 summit in the United Kingdom.
Global Forecast (6-13-2021)
Rising shipping costs add to inflation worries, Iran presidential elections unlikely to bring any surprises, and NATO leaders gather in Brussels for the Alliance’s first summit of the Biden era.
COVID-19: The Deglobalization Amplifier
COVID-19 didn’t start the recent deglobalization trend, but it’s certainly contributing to it.
Reputations at Stake in Post-Covid Asia Supply Chain Shakeup
Companies that fail to adapt to the new normal of ESG standards face considerable reputational risk.
Digital Sovereignty in an Era of Global Surveillance, Disinformation, and Info-demics
Democratic states must strike a balance between rights and security in the digital age.
G7 Reinvents Itself as Democratic Bulwark in London
The G7’s sprawling new communique portrays the bloc as a democratic bulwark against creeping authoritarianism.
Inflationary Signs Mount in Post-COVID Economic Normalization
Are rising prices temporary normalization pains, or a new normal in the making?
