Igor Desyatnikov

Igor Desyatnikov is a graduate student in the Department of Government at Harvard University, where he specializes in International Security, Eastern Europe, post-Soviet states and Transatlantic relations. Prior to his formal training in international security and foreign affairs, he spent over two decades as a fund manager operating in global macro financial markets, overseeing strategies closely linked to macroeconomic and foreign policies of leading economies.

The Tide Is Turning in Ukraine

On 17 August 2025, Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, received Volodymyr Zelenskyy, President of Ukraine. Together, they gave a press point., cc Dati Bendo / European Union, 2025 / EC - Audiovisual Service, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Press_conference_of_Volodymyr_Zelensky_and_Ursula_von_der_Leyen_at_the_EC_-_2025_(1).jpg

Faced with mounting battlefield stagnation, economic pressure, and technological adaptation, time is increasingly not on Russia’s side.

From Tehran to Moscow: The Walls Are Closing in on the Kremlin

cc kremlin.ru, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/75689

Domestic and external setbacks are mounting for the Kremlin, causing longtime supporters to jump ship. Putin is not performing strength. He is managing fear.

Iran War Has Put Putin in Zugzwang

Generated by Google Gemini AI on March 20, 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

The war between Iran and the United States has placed Russia in a classic strategic trap — a zugzwang, the chess term for a position in which every available move makes a player’s situation worse.

Authority Without Accountability: Erosion at Home, Disorder Abroad

cc Whitehouse.gov, modified, https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2025/08/trump-administration-celebrates-successes-for-americas-workers/ - Trump Administration Celebrates Successes for America’s Workers

The instincts driving the Trump administration’s domestic policy increasingly align with its foreign-policy posture: a readiness to discard norms and constraints in the name of expediency.

Greenland and the Limits of Performative Power

President Donald Trump delivers remarks at a Rural Health Transformation Event, modified, https://www.whitehouse.gov/gallery/president-donald-trump-delivers-remarks-at-a-rural-health-transformation-event/

President Trump’s Greenland obsession is not a show of strength. It is a self-inflicted liability: alienating a longstanding ally and, by extension, Europe, while pursuing a foreign-policy posture rooted more in impulse than strategy.

Maduro Is Gone. Venezuela’s Regime Remains

Mural Maduro, Bolívar y Chávez. País: Venezuela, modified, cc Guaiquerí - https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?limit=50&offset=0&profile=default&search=maduro&title=Special:Search&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns12=1&ns14=1&ns100=1&ns106=1#/media/File:Mural_Maduro,_Bol%C3%ADvar_y_Ch%C3%A1vez.jpg

The removal of Nicolás Maduro may satisfy Washington’s appetite for decisive action, but it does not amount to regime change.

Trump Could Legitimize Russia’s Conquests by Decree — Unless Congress Acts

President Donald Trump answers questions from members of the media aboard Air Force One en route to Mount Pocono, Pennsylvania, for a rally on the economy, Tuesday, December 9, 2025. (Official White House Photo by Molly Riley), cc White House, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:P20251209MR-0041.jpg

President Trump could recognize Russian land grabs and face no immediate legal consequences. Congress must change that.

The Mirage of Palestinian Recognition: Optics Over Outcome

cc Patrick Gruban, UN General Assembly, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/19473388%40N00/336920038

If Palestinian aspirations of statehood are to become reality, they must be rooted in the hard work of institution-building, not rhetorical shortcuts.

Europe Braces for War as America Wavers

cc US Army, modified, U.S. Army UH-60 Black Hawk helicopters from the 12th Combat Aviation Brigade, Wings of Victory, stop at the forward area re-arming and refueling point during air assault operations for Exercise Swift Response, part of #DefenderEurope 21, on May 7, 2021, in Bezmer, Bulgaria. (U.S. Army photo by Maj. Robert Fellingham) - https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ready_to_Fight-_12th_CAB_flexes_air_assault_muscles_during_Swift_Response_21_(6636459).jpg

Europe is no longer asking if war with Russia is coming. It’s asking when.

Two Wars, One Axis: How the Israel–Iran Conflict Echoes in Ukraine

Extinguishing fires after Russian missile strikes on critical infrastructure facilities in Kyiv region on November 15, 2022. cc Dsns.gov.ua, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Kyiv_Oblast_after_Russian_shelling,_2022-11-15_(013).webp

Two wars rage in two distant regions, yet both are facets of the same struggle between revisionist regimes seeking to reshape the global order and liberal democracies struggling to contain them.

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