The electoral earthquakes have come fast and heavy over the past few years, whether it Brexit in the United Kingdom, the Trump presidency in the United States, or the anti-establishment coalition in Italy. With key elections slated to be held on every continent, will the trend continue in 2019?

Here are a few that could help to shape the political fabric of Africa in the years to come:

Forecast

Nigeria General Election (February 16)

The upcoming election will determine the next president of Nigeria, legislators on the state and federal levels, and most state governors.

The top of the bill will pit incumbent All Progressives Congress (APC) President Muhammadu Buhari against People’s Democratic Party (PDP) candidate and former vice president Atiku Abubakar.

Economic and security issues have dominated in the lead-up to polls. Discontent is rife stemming from the country’s tepid economic performance and high unemployment under Buhari, and rumors of ill health continue to dog the incumbent president. On the other hand, Abubakar’s longstanding tenure as vice president have allowed him to be portrayed as a lackey of the previous Obasanjo regime, which is widely regarded as deeply corrupt. As a result, there has been a groundswell of anti-establishment sentiment in the electorate, but no clear third party candidate for it to stream toward at this present time. That of course might change by February 16, and there are a few possibilities of who can benefit; one is women’s rights activist Oby Ezekwesili. Whatever the case, popular disenchantment could serve to upend the expected binary contest between the two candidates, creating political deadlock or even a contested result. And given a recent lack of interest from conventional democratic guarantors like the United States and European Union, the major parties may be tempted to press their advantage any way they can.