North Korea Conflict

North Korea and US Diplomacy: Toward a New Paradigm

public domain, Executive Office of USA, modified, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Kim_and_Trump_shaking_hands_at_the_red_carpet_during_the_DPRK%E2%80%93USA_Singapore_Summit.jpg

With both sides advancing radically different expectations, a breakthrough will remain elusive over the short-term.

North Korea Tests Defense Shield-Busting Short-Range Missile

Aegis missile launch, cc Flickr U.S. Missile Defense Agency, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/. May 16, 2013 - A Standard Missile – 3 (SM-3) Block 1B interceptor is launched from the USS LAKE ERIE (CG 70) during a Missile Defense Agency and U.S. Navy test in the mid-Pacific. The SM-3 Block 1B successfully intercepted a target missile that had been launched from the Pacific Missile Range Facility, Barking Sands, Kauai, Hawaii. Following target launch, the LAKE ERIE detected and tracked the target with its onboard AN/SPY-1 radar. The ship, equipped with the second-generation Aegis BMD weapon system, developed a fire control solution and launched the SM-3 Block 1B. The intercept occurred a few minutes later. Today’s event was the third consecutive successful intercept test of the SM-3 Block IB missile. To learn more, visit www.mda.mil/system/aegis_bmd.html.

In sharp contrast to the United States’ blasé attitude toward recent missile tests by Pyongyang, Japan is increasingly alarmed.

Trump’s East Asia Headache: South Korea-Japan Spat Deepens

President Moon, Prime MInister ABe, and Vice President Pence, cc S. Herman (Voice of America), modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Shinzo_Abe,_Moon_Jae-in,_Pence_in_Pyeongchang.png

Historical animosities are devolving into a full-fledged trade war between key US allies in East Asia.

The Eclipsing of Moon Jae-in

South Korea President Moon Jae-in and US President Donald Trump, CC Flickr White House, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/

Upon assuming the presidency in 2017, South Korea’s Moon Jae-in had two major goals. He has achieved neither of them.

Losing Your Alliance: Risking an American Withdrawal from South Korea

President Donald J. Trump and President Moon Jae-in of the Republic of Korea, cc Flickr White House, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/

President Moon is flirting with disaster by favoring North-South reconciliation over the long-term health of the US alliance.

Global Forecast (03-04-2019)

GPM-placeholder-forecast

A dramatic end to the Trump-Kim summit, new stimulus in China, and Greece’s triumphant return to international bond markets.

Trump-Kim Summit: Checklist

TrumpKim3, cc Dan Scavino Jr. , modified, public domain, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Trump-Kim_meeting_in_Capella_Hotel_(1).jpg

What would a US success look like at the upcoming Trump-Kim summit?

Trump-Kim Nuclear Summit Gets a Sequel

The first Trump-Kim summit in Singapore, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Kim_and_Trump_shaking_hands_at_the_red_carpet_during_the_DPRK%E2%80%93USA_Singapore_Summit.jpg

The long-awaited sequel to the first Trump-Kim summit will be dropping in late February. But could it actually be worse than the original?

Vietnam offers Model Economy for Second Trump-Kim Summit

Rush hour traffic in Ho Chi Minh City, cc Flickr M M, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

As a country with a similar past, Vietnam’s historical experience offers Pyongyang a path back to the global mainstream.

North Korea: Denuclearization in Reverse

DPRKgames, cc Flickr (stephan), modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

The latest ‘hi-tech weapon test’ underscores just how hollow the denuclearization process has been.

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