North Korea Conflict News & Analysis

Is ‘North Koreanization’ the Only Logical Move Left for Iran?

cc Mark Fahey, modified, Kim Jong-il in North Korean propaganda

If the Iranian regime survives, what comes next is not a choice between proxies and nukes. It is the recognition that nukes are now the only rational security option.

Able Archer 83 and the Dual-Contingency Trap: Lessons in Effective Deterrence

cc PH2 David B. Loveall, USN, modified, The U.S. Navy aircraft carriers USS Coral Sea (CV-43), left, and USS Midway (CV-41), center, and the nuclear-powered aircraft carrier USS Enterprise (CVN-65), right, underway during CINCPAC Exercise FLEETEX '83. The US Navy, Air Force, Coast Guard and the Canadian navy were participating in the exercise near the Aleutian Islands of Alaska. / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:USS_Midway_%28CV-41%29_Coral_Sea_%28CV-43%29_and_Enterprise_%28CVN-65%29_off_Alaska_1983.JPEG

Able Archer 83 showed how a routine Cold War military exercise could escalate toward nuclear confrontation. The US, Japan, and South Korea can learn from it when preparing for a dual contingency in the Indo-Pacific.

Triangular Threat: North Korea’s Evolving Alliance with China and Russia

Generated by Google Gemini AI on April 21, 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Backed by Russian and Chinese support, North Korea is systematically dismantling the global sanctions regime that once inhibited its domestic weapon development.

Europe’s EPAA: A Blueprint for Northeast Asia Missile Defense

NAVAL SUPPORT FACILITY DEVESELU, Romania (Sept. 1, 2019)– The sun sets over the U.S. Navy base in Romania, home to NATO's Aegis Ashore Ballistic Missile Defense System (AABMDS) site, after completing a long-planned systems update Aug. 9, 2019. During the maintenance period, the U.S. fulfilled its commitment to NATO's Ballistic Missile Defense(BMD) by the temporary deployment of a Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system to the Naval Support Facility in Deveselu, Romania. The deployment of the U.S. Army’s THAAD battery to Romania lasted about six weeks while Aegis Ashore software and other equipment was updated. In April, the task force deployed to NSFD where they integrated into the existing NATO BMD architecture during a period of routine maintenance and upgrade of the Aegis Ashore Missile Defense System located there.“The successful deployment of THAAD to Romania demonstrates our commitment to support our Allies and the NATO Ballistic Missile Defense mission,” said U.S. Army Brig. Gen. Gregory Brady, commander of 10th Army Air and Missile Defense Command. “Missile defense is a vital element to the collective defense of Europe and is one of the U.S. military’s top priorities. This deployment shows that we stand ready to surge combat credible air and missile defense forces when needed.”The THAAD system re-deployed back to the U.S. and NATO's Aegis Ashore has resumed full functionality and remains focused on potential threats from outside the Euro-Atlantic area. (Photo by U.S. Navy Lt. Amy Forsythe, Public Affairs Officer, Naval Support Facility Deveselu)

In an era of precision saturation attacks and resource restraint, missile defense will be defined less by the number of interceptors than by the coherence of the regional architecture behind them.

Jakarta’s Courtesy Calls to Pyongyang: A Risk Worth Taking?

Indonesia / DPRK flag, Generated by Google Gemini AI on November 6, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Indonesia’s outreach to North Korea represents a classic middle-power play: carve out a niche as an honest broker, even if the broker occasionally makes uncomfortable allies.

From Guam to Camp David: Nixon-Era Lessons for the US-Japan-ROK Trilateral

Flags representing the United States, Japan and the Republic of Korea are displayed during a trilateral meeting with Japanese Foreign Minister Tarō Kōno and Republic of Korea's Foreign Minister Kang Kyung-wha on July 7, 2018 in Tokyo, Japan. (State Department photo/ Public Domain), modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Secretary_Pompeo_Participates_in_Trilateral_Meeting_in_Tokyo_%2828400351467%29.jpg

The Nixon era not only offers ambiguous lessons, but practical guideposts for strengthening trilateral US-Japan-ROK security cooperation, made all the more relevant by growing concerns of a ‘dual contingency’ in Taiwan and the Korean Peninsula.

Indonesia-North Korea Thaw Opens Door to Closer Security Ties

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Kim_Il-sung_and_Sukarno,_1965.jpg, modified, Kim Il-sung and Sukarno, 1965

Indonesia and North Korea are rebuilding a modest rapport. Whether the two nations’ engagement expands to become a significant factor in regional security depends on Indonesia; but it wouldn’t be the first time that Jakarta surprised on the foreign policy front.

Ukraine Reconstruction and North Korea: Takeaways from the Trump-Lee Summit

President Lee leaves for Japan: Lee set to embark on key diplomatic trip for high-stakes summits with Trump, Ishiba , modified, cc Republic of Korea, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:President_Lee_Jae-myung_Leaves_for_Japan_20250823_(12).jpg

Two shared imperatives were evident in the recent Trump-Lee summit: the need to rebuild Ukraine and restart dialogue with North Korea. Yet neither can proceed until hostilities cease in eastern Europe.

Gaming a Taiwan-Korea Dual Contingency: Falkland Lessons for the US-Japan-ROK Alliance

At Sea - 230716-N-CD453-1132 (July 16, 2023) Se Jong Daewang class destroyer ROKS Yul Gog Yi I (DDG 992) (left) of the Republic of Korea Navy and Atago class destroyer JS Maya (DDG 179) (right) of the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force sail alongside Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS John Finn (DDG 113) (center) while conducting a trilateral ballistic missile defense exercise, July 16. John Finn is assigned to Commander, Task Force 71/Destroyer Squadron (DESRON) 15, the Navy’s largest forward-deployed DESRON and U.S. 7th Fleet’s principal surface force. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 2nd Class Samantha Oblander) / https://www.usfj.mil/Media/Images-Internal/igphoto/2003260018/

The Falklands War was a reminder that alliances succeed or fail on the basis of political imagination and practical enablers, not just treaty text, and military planners must bear these lessons in mind when preparing for a Taiwan-Korea dual contingency in East Asia.

Lee Jae-myung: Opportunity for a China-South Korea Reset?

cc 이재명, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Lee_Jae-myung_announces_candidacy_for_Democratic_Party_leader_20240710_%2803%29.jpg

Lee Jae-myung’s presidency may not herald a radical shift in the China-South Korea relationship, but it does create space for repair and recalibration.

North Korea’s Choe Hyon Destroyer: Start of a Modernizing Trend?

Vladimir Putin has arrived in Pyongyang on a friendly state visit at the invitation of Kim Jong-un. / cc kremlin.ru, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Vladimir_Putin_and_Kim_Jong-un_(2024-06-19)_11.jpg

The launch of North Korea’s Choe Hyon destroyer reflects a broader modernization of the DPRK armed forces, with potential ramifications for regional security.

North Korean Deployment in Kursk: A Window into the DPRK Military

cc John Pavelka, modifiied, https://flickr.com/photos/28705377@N04/5109944914/in/photolist-8MxNAw-LZu54L-ZTx3pb-5FfZ1g-2gQL37x-2nrwm7p-2nrr4EW-2nrwfiy-2nrqQYU-2h3KsPi-2kN1Sao-2ngTfYz-2nrwn4K-2nrxgTi-VHE4eb-2nrwgTY-2nrwkJR-22FeAp1-2nrwfng-2nrweHv-2nrxrQ7-bAKfmA-2nrxnAf-2nrqVso-7fii9v-2nLAbit-rdZwDV-2nrqZUp-Fm11kY-c7aJjS-2jwm1YH-2nLFXqZ-9WRaGT-c7dXLo-siXQXn-2nrqNDt-3rTbMj-bPDTNZ-bAKeW1-2nrw8bn-bAPxjJ-9ikMeo-Nb9KaZ-9ikNKy-9iMybk-9ikMuU-N84mWj-a4EoTn-2h3Ktma-9ikNTu

North Korea’s involvement in the Ukraine war affords a rare glimpse of the tactics, ideology, and equipment of one of the most secretive militaries on the planet.

Russia-North Korea Relations: A Deepening Strategic Alliance

cc kremlin.ru, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/74327

The latest deepening in Russia-North Korea relations has the potential to reshuffle the security framework in the Asia-Pacific region.

“Garbage Warfare” Reflects Growing Instability on Korean Peninsula

(stephan), modified, https://flickr.com/photos/fljckr/2604186687/in/photolist-4Y88Yt-nwTTmz-gmhCB9-nPnTq8-nRapRk-nPjChh-nPnY2n-4KeCpB-4YcnYS-4Ycoc1-5SEJ3d-4YcnP5-V3yQiu-5U5w9s-V3yQBA-URD2cN-URD2n7-ozkH4B-5pMpWv-dL6bnV-ozkHga-oMCpzf-5zMZ37-5WuViZ-4KiUah-4KeC2T-oMCpsb-ib3Xdw-iaYhWu-5U7FHF-2dmdiAb-5WzbHS-2iZXkQN-7u9goA-SusC86-SqMnXE-iaXrW2-2j12BZn-SfAGsy-88Tkxx-ohR9AW-nzRK5E-nkpdGf-iaYEvb-p55BTu-iaXQ2M-iaY3hC-4KeC9P-4KeC72-ib1eAW

Tit-for-tat balloon launches by North and South reinforce the general and ongoing deterioration of inter-Korean relations which has taken hold since the thaw of 2018.

Shared Goals, Divergent Paths: US-ROK-Japan Relations

US Department of State, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Secretary_Pompeo_Participates_in_Trilateral_Meeting_in_Tokyo_%2828400351467%29.jpg,

The outcomes of an upcoming US-ROK-Japan trilateral summit could well determine the future alignment of one of the most important geopolitical dynamics of the Asia-Pacific region.

US Cybersecurity Policy Plays Catch-up amid DPRK Hacking Threat

cc Christiaan Colen, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/christiaancolen/34247406926/in/photolist-UbjUVd-T1445t-SXwrDu-UbjUTQ-SXwrAU-TDYV4y-SWrekQ-TDYVdw-UbjUZG-TDYVqf-SWreno-TDYVws-UbjV8C-TDYViG-SNGXHP-SNGXx8-2nDSMR7-T142EV-JEPWWJ-21zefsR-299BF4a-UbjUZS-TnKDZR-25cNM1x-XzG4e2-2ebnxdx-UiV14d-LsJchz-25cNQ96-WQErVx-29YrAcY-22BGWMi-Jq3gNn-S2Kfr7-261pkzJ-2h6RJKn-2bo1Juf-M5guka-2aXfFqU-UJPvB8-2cUbDAu-WGca29-29j68qj-2bDtUEm-V4wAYs-21aG5yM-HgQvcb-22GFVxn-21Sriqt-HKXdX6

Recent threats emanating from the DPRK underscore a push by the Biden administration to shore up digital defenses in an era of cyber warfare.

North Korea Missile Tests Spill into 2023

cc Stefan Krasowski, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:North_Korea%27s_ballistic_missile_-_North_Korea_Victory_Day-2013_01.jpg

2022 was a particularly hostile year as Pyongyang continued to test and develop its full range of missile technology. Don’t expect 2023 to be any different.

The Cycle Begins Anew in North Korea

cc Flickr Trump White House Archiv, modified, - https://flickr.com/photos/whitehouse45/48164810697/in/photolist-2goafbD-2go9QQe-2go9QNa-2goafha-2goag4L-2gnYrsU-2gnY3MH-2aR2qYA-2goafGP-pSTvKQ-2goafZx-2goafpE-2gnY3ST-2goag2S-2goag2G-2gnY3YE-2gnY456-2goagdD-2go9RvT-2goafzj-2go9R3i-2goafTW-2goafKu-2gnY4ZH-ie9ze1-2mfuTRq-2gnY3Ei-2go9Rhr-ipgfMY-ZdaiQC-Hr72GK-oRNy4u-XTrPoc-DCDdaA-JebySr-27T1Mvn-26vpRWp-JebyFV-22VpJBT-2hbYJJS-p3iVta-2iMfX34-2icKqSQ-2i8kJFZ-cmgzT9-DwgyR4-RUXCeS-24n4jRR-ec4Epu-SPh8Jb

A desperate regime gives rise to hope and ultimately bitter disappointment, as the diplomatic cycle on the Korean Peninsula churns forward once again.

Outlook 2021: Korean Peninsula Tensions

GPM-placeholder-outlook-1

Will inter-Korean tensions be dialed up or dialed down in the year ahead?

North Korea’s Nuclear Coercion as Diplomatic Statecraft

cc Flickr CSIS | Center for Strategic & International Studies, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/

Calls in the United States to reassess strategic patience reflect major advances in North Korea’s nuclear diplomacy.

More North Korea Conflict Articles