Myanmar Civil War News & Analysis
Myanmar Reemerges as Frontline in India-China Rivalry
Dueling state visits reveal how Myanmar is reemerging as an arena of geopolitical competition between China and India.
Geopolitics Weekly (Myanmar Election, Iran Military Buildup, Canada Tariff Threats)
This week we examine show elections in Myanmar, the re-deployment of a US Carrier Strike Group to the Middle East, and new US tariff threats against Canada.
Arakan Army: A Threat to Bangladesh’s National Security?
The Arakan Army has taken over most of Rakhine, giving rise to a new security dynamic along Bangladesh’s border with Myanmar. But the question is: Will the AA stop there?
China’s Geopolitical Balancing Act in Post-coup Myanmar
Examining China’s double-standard policy in Myanmar - a pragmatic and economically-driven attempt to safeguard Beijing’s interests amid a chaotic and ever-changing civil war.
Airstrikes: The Last Bastion of Junta Power in Myanmar
Ending the airstrikes will end the Myanmar civil war – but it won’t happen without outside intervention.
An Inside View into Drone Warfare in Myanmar
A rebel drone operator offers a glimpse of how contemporary guerilla warfare is evolving in real-time in the Myanmar civil war.
The “Forever Friend”: Russia Doubles Down on Myanmar
Russia is one of only two major states to embrace the junta government amid the ongoing Myanmar civil war. The other, China, is watching warily.
Implications of the Fall of Myanmar’s Western Command
The fall of the Tatmadaw’s Western Command marks a collapse of state control across Rakhine State, but governance challenges loom for the victorious Arakan Army.
Myanmar Civil War Casts Shadow over China’s CMEC Corridor
The China-Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC) was supposed to provide economic growth while alleviating one of China’s overriding strategic concerns, but the project has never truly gotten off the ground.
China’s Wagner? Beijing Establishes Private Security Company in Myanmar
Beijing is taking a more active role in the Myanmar civil war by deploying a private security company to protect Chinese investments in the country.
Myanmar Civil War: New Season, New Breakthroughs?
After a year of territorial gains, resistance fighters are nearing the second-largest city of Mandalay. Yet changing weather could breathe new life into the junta’s efforts to turn the tide in the Myanmar civil war.
Census: An Unlikely Tool of Repression in Myanmar Civil War
Impractical as it may seem, the ruling junta in Myanmar is rolling out a census and planning to hold elections amid a raging civil war. But the effort may be hiding ulterior, more sinister motives.
From Ukraine to Myanmar, Drone Warfare Marks a Paradigm Shift
The Myanmar civil war and Ukraine war are serving as laboratories for the testing and development of drone warfare.
China Calls for Elections to Defuse Myanmar Civil War
Calling for elections may at first seem strange given Beijing’s strong pro-junta stance, but it’s much less so one when considering the economic interests and political parties involved.
Battle for Myawaddy Reflects Urban Shift in Myanmar Civil War
The battle for Myawaddy reflects a shift in the Myanmar civil war. With the countryside now largely held by opposition forces, junta-held towns and cities are now being swept up in the fighting.
Myanmar Civil War: A Conflict Without End
Many date the start of the Myanmar civil war to the 2021 coup that removed Aung San Suu Kyi from power. However, this is just the latest phase of one of the longest running conflicts in the world.
Tatmadaw’s Existential Fight Dragging Down Myanmar’s Economy
A national economy in free-fall won’t impact the strategic calculations of a ruling junta which views the Myanmar civil war as an existential conflict.
Myanmar Civil War Spillover Effects Impacting India and Bangladesh
Refugee inflows from the Myanmar war are inflaming longstanding ethnic conflicts in India and Bangladesh.
Perpetual Stalemate? Outlook Remains Bleak in Myanmar Civil War
Despite Operation 1027, odds of a breakthrough remain slim as the Myanmar civil war enters its third year.
Backgrounder: Ethnic Armies in Myanmar Civil War
A run-down of ethnic armies in Myanmar, along with other organizations and militias currently engaged in the civil war.
