Kurdistan Workers Party

Turkey’s Erdogan Calls for Early Elections

Erdogan, cc Flickr AMISOM Public Information, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/

A nationalist resurgence and disorganized opposition have Erdogan rolling the dice on early elections. Will his gamble pay off?

Trump to Sink Further into the Syria Quagmire?

President Trump at 2017 CPAC, Flickr Gage Skidmore, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Weeks after reportedly telling his generals to draw up plans for a withdrawal from Syria, the US president finds himself being pulled back in.

Global Forecast (03-29-2018)


Frantic US-China trade talks get underway, Turkey eyes Iraq’s Sinjar region, and Russian diplomats are expelled throughout the Western world.

Focus Shifts to Manbij as Turkey Moves into Afrin Unopposed

Kurdish YPG Fighter, cc Flickr Kurdishstruggle, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

An attack on Manbij would put President Erdogan in direct conflict with the US military and its Syrian allies.

Backgrounder: Turkey under Erdogan

cc Flickr faruk, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

This backgrounder recounts the long road to Turkey’s seminal 2017 referendum, and what to expect next from this key NATO ally that is still undergoing dramatic political shifts.

Euphrates Shield Failing to Marginalize Syria’s Kurds

cc wikicommons, Turkish_PM_Recep_Tayyip_Erdogan

An ambitious new force expansion and U.S. and Russian deployments in Kurdish-held territory all suggest that Turkey’s Euphrates Shield is not marginalizing the YPG.

Iraqi Kurdistan’s Rise as an Independent Energy Player

OilBarrels, cc Flickr Sergio Russo, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Iran’s energy engagement is serving to solidify Iraqi Kurdistan’s shift towards greater autonomy.

Global Forecast (03-22-2016)


A key security summit in the U.S., David Cameron’s cabinet in revolt, and Syria’s Kurds quietly assemble a state.

Analysis: AKP’s Surprise Election Win in Turkey

cc wikErdogan icommons Omar Othman 95

Recep Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party (AKP) has retaken its parliamentary majority in a shock result that might mean big changes for Turkey’s foreign policy.

Is Turkey In Over Its Head?

Grafitti of Turkey president Tacip Erdogan, whose policy is turning the MENA region upside-down.

Ankara’s decision to intervene directly in Syria further complicates an already complex battlefield dynamic, and it risks repercussions for Turkey’s internal and external security.

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