India Pakistan Tension News & Analysis

Indus Waters Treaty, and India-Pakistan Ties: A Year after Pahalgam

cc kremlin.ru, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/69362

With one of the most important cross-border water-sharing treaties ever signed still on hold, what are the chances that Islamabad and New Delhi open talks on the Indus Waters Treaty, and what forum could help bring about a new diplomatic dialogue?

Pakistan’s Structural Relevance in a Fragmenting Regional Order

President Donald Trump meets with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir of Pakistan - https://www.whitehouse.gov/gallery/president-donald-trump-meets-with-prime-minister-shehbaz-sharif-and-field-marshal-asim-munir-of-pakistan/

Despite chronic instability, Pakistan continues to command the attention of major powers across Asia and the Gulf. Geography explains part of this relevance, but so does the state’s ability to manage overlapping external interests.

China’s PL-17 Missile Ripples through Indo-Pacific Defense

cc PLAAF J-10B with PL-12 and PL-8B at ZhuHai Air Show 2018, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:PLAAF_J-10B_with_PL-12_and_PL-8B_at_ZhuHai_Air_Show_2018.jpg

With a reported range of 400 km, China’s PL-17 air-to-air missile puts enemy AWACS and ISR platforms in play, potentially upending longstanding military certainties across the Indo-Pacific.

US–Pakistan Ties are Quietly Redrawing South Asian Geopolitics

President Donald Trump meets with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir of Pakistan , modified, cc White House, https://www.whitehouse.gov/gallery/president-donald-trump-meets-with-prime-minister-shehbaz-sharif-and-field-marshal-asim-munir-of-pakistan/

After years of diplomatic frost, the US–Pakistan relationship is warming again — not through rhetoric, but through energy, technology, and minerals — the currency of modern geopolitics.

How Pakistan Revived Its Geopolitical Positioning

President Donald Trump meets with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir of Pakistan , modified, https://www.whitehouse.gov/gallery/president-donald-trump-meets-with-prime-minister-shehbaz-sharif-and-field-marshal-asim-munir-of-pakistan/

Pakistan has been able to thread the needle between two superpowers despite cascading political and economic crisis at home. Here’s how Islamabad is pulling it off.

US Frictions Jeopardize India Arms Export Ambitions

The 'Brahmos' super sonic cruise missile with a range of 290 kms., passes through the Rajpath during the 58th Republic Day Parade - 2007, in New Delhi on January 26, 2007. / cc PublicResource.org, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/publicresourceorg/27440668055

Escalating frictions with Washington risk undermining India’s efforts to expand its arms exports.

Beyond Tariffs: Strategic Realignment in US-India Relations

cc White House, modified, President Donald J. Trump and India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi, joined by members of their delegations, participate in a bilateral meeting Tuesday, September 24, 2019, at the United Nations Headquarters in New York City. (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead) / https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Modi_and_Trump_at_UN_HQ.jpg

The ongoing rift in US-India relations has shed light on some longstanding contradictions in the relationship, and while the two sides may still yet find common ground, the road to resolution will surely be a rocky one.

India as Civilizational State: Geopolitical Blowback in South Asia

cc White House, President Joe Biden speaks with Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi at a meeting for the Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment, Saturday, September 9, 2023 during the G20 at the Bharat Mandapam International Exhibition-Convention Center in New Delhi. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz), / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:P20230909AS-1137_%2853234993528%29.jpg

Narratives of a ‘greater India,’ or civilizational state reaching back thousands of years have paid dividends in domestic Indian politics. But they’re also unnerving India’s neighbors and creating new headaches for New Delhi’s regional engagement in South Asia.

Geopolitics of the Indo-Pakistani Four-Day War

cc Indian Air Force, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?search=india%20air%20force&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns12=1&ns14=1&ns100=1&ns106=1#/media/File:HAL_Tejas_of_India_Air_Force_Squadron_18_Flying_Bullets.jpg

Examining the geopolitical stakes and wider ramifications of the latest border war between India and Pakistan.

Ground Rules: The Militarization of Mining in Pakistan

cc Vahid Abdi, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Sungun_Copper_Mine_2019-08-13_17.jpg

The KP Mines and Minerals Bill reflects a strategic shift in Pakistan’s economic governance, one where Islamabad deepens involvement in provincial extraction under a banner of modernization. But the policy is not without its risks.

Agni-IV Missile Test Bolsters India’s Nuclear Deterrence

cc India Ministry of Defence, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?search=agni-iv&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns12=1&ns14=1&ns100=1&ns106=1#/media/File:Agni-IV_missile_at_rehearsal_of_Republic_Day_Parade_2012.jpg Agni-IV Missile passes through the Rajpath during the full dress rehearsal for the Republic Day Parade-2012, in New Delhi on January 23, 2012.

The intermediate-range, nuclear-capable Agni-IV missile test is one of a number of recent moves by New Delhi to improve India’s nuclear deterrence.

India’s INS Arighaat: A Credible Deterrence?

A starboard bow view of the Soviet-built Indian Charlie I class cruise missile submarine ISN CHAKRA underway. Exact Date Shot Unknown - https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?search=INS%20Chakra&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns12=1&ns14=1&ns100=1&ns106=1#/media/File:A_starboard_bow_view_of_the_Soviet-built_Indian_Charlie_I_class_cruise_missile_submarine_ISN_CHAKRA_underway._Exact_Date_Shot_Unknown_-_DPLA_-_5ede145c49f8f0581188d211245ce8b1.jpeg

The INS Arighaat, the Indian Navy’s latest nuclear submarine, is a step toward creating a credible multifaceted nuclear deterrence, but there’s still work to do.

The China-Pakistan Axis and Indian Ocean Geopolitics

cc SteKrueBe, modified, 2005, https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Song-class_Submarine_5.jpg

Examining the economic and security imperatives underpinning China’s ongoing support, notably in the maritime domain, for longtime ally Pakistan.

Geopolitical Consequences Abound in 2024 Pakistan Elections

cc Umair Ulhaque, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/umair_ulhaque/35702063604/in/photolist-WoSpEL-2mhmDQG-Y9K6K9-438ufE-7aeoEA-CrHMK5-67Gt9a-9ZrpKS-Y9K6wU-Y9K6os-YPegGf-YPeg6W-6CMbeN-2hvJSez-nkgeoY-YPegQ1-9ppdQf-YPegJj-2hvuNoG-Ytb8zd-67GGGc-2oZQ5Pz-dXg2w5-qNBL6Y-YPegEb-pHUBkF-oM73Ya-2hvr4Uq-oM7avi-prtfER-pHZ3kE-pFP9Ph-prq5ka-prssTF-pFP9Zh-pHEXTD-prq1Qz-prtxCm-pFPaxS-oM2vWu-oM44bb-oM45bY-pHYWcC-vu7pGk-oM3oSC-pHEVng-prokgM-prt7Nt-pHDmm8-2obVZVx

Pakistan’s general election could be highly consequential in determining the character of many of the country’s most important foreign relations.

Deconstructing the New Clarion Call for Ghazwa-e-Hind against India

cc Flickr My Past, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/urnes/2663808130

Why has one of India’s most wanted terrorists suddenly reappeared after a 17-year absence?

Existential Narratives in the Early Years of Modern Pakistan

Sh. Rajiv Gandhi with Mr. Muhammad Zia-Ul-Haq, President of Pakistan, cc Flickr Rajiv Gandhi Foundation, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

From its birth, the state of Pakistan has always been a work in process.

US-India Relations and Trump’s Backtrack on Kashmir

Howdy Modi, cc Flickr White House, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/

President Trump appears to have backed off on Kashmir in order to insulate a deepening bilateral relationship with India.

Backgrounder: 2019 India-Pakistan Clashes in Kashmir

F-16s from the Pakistan Air Force fly near a KC-135 Stratotanker after refueling during an Exercise Red Flag mission July 21, 2010, at Nellis Air Force, Nev. Approximately 100 Pakistan Air Force F-16B pilots and support personnel are participating in Red Flag. (U.S. Air Force photo/Airman 1st Class Daniel Phelps) PAF at Red Flag, cc Flickr DVIDSHUB, modified,

A sudden string of escalations in Kashmir risks a dangerous new conflict between South Asia’s two nuclear-armed states.

US-India Relations in 2019: A Closer Partnership?

G20op, cc Flickr The White House, modified, (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead), public domain

A variety of shared geopolitical interests will bring New Delhi and Washington closer together in the year to come.

Is Pakistan’s PM Imran Riding the Tiger?

PakistanKhAn, cc Flickr Chatham House, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Pakistan's state institutions have long nurtured religious fundamentalism, but sooner or later the chickens will come home to roost.

More India Pakistan Tension Articles