Breakaway Republics News & Analysis

Moldova’s 2019 Elections and Regional Geopolitics

MoldovaFlag, cc Nicolas Raymond, Flickr, modified, http://freestock.ca/flags_maps_g80-moldova_grunge_flag_p1081.html

With recent elections producing a political stalemate, we can expect more of the same from Moldova’s foreign policy.

Backgrounder: Ukraine Politics in 2018

UkraineFlag, UkraineFlag, cc 4.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/),torange.biz, http://torange.biz/36245.html

A backgrounder on the internal politics of Ukraine, a country caught in an East-West geopolitical crossfire.

Russia Tightens Grip on Georgia’s South Ossetia

cc Flickr Alan Wilson, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/ajw1970/8715913306

Russia has expanded the military demarcation line in Georgia’s breakaway region of South Ossetia.

Stalemate Drags on in Donbas through 2017

Ukraine conflict flag, Generated by Google Gemini AI on August 15, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

The Ukraine crisis is increasingly looking like Europe’s newest frozen conflict.

Ukraine Nationalism Pushes Minsk to the Background

cc kremlin.ru, modified, http://www.en.kremlin.ru/events/president/transcripts/press_conferences/47664

A popular blockade of a rail corridor between the east and west illustrates the ongoing struggle at the heart of Ukraine’s politics.

Four Empires on the Rise, Part One

Generated by Google Gemini AI on August 14, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

In part one of a two-part series, Andre Ishii explores how classical geopolitics will increasingly manifest in the years to come.

Flash: EU Russia Sanctions a Casualty of President Trump?

cc Flickr thierry ehrmann, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/home_of_chaos/41691097725/in/photolist-26w6LRK-ro3d88-q2whwT-qr7hiW-pQjFkE-pMnTUu-rxDVX4-qLnfLm-qth5kM-22bKwuK-qoJBtW-qN65LE-d2EnaS-d2EneQ-d6i34w-qVkcx6-SUBAe4-bXices-rE9b5D-pYybQK-BG3cqX-BDHXej-nkXrR9-bWagw1-qAnCcP-tyk7Js-29vR7pi-4UXuYj-JKWSww-pDsLUK-qJSYfn-r95Pqp-f8trcg-26w6Lux-rEz4g7-26w6Mh4-v9b7CR-hxXzZ3-JuY5QE-hxWQtX-26w6M8B-bmpQRC-27TFBE2-bmpRbS-qtxczS-2iWq18B-hxX3ub-hxXAAd-bmpR5A-hxYyDz

The Trump presidency is a game-changer for EU sanctions on Russia.

Ukraine Crisis: Outcomes of the Berlin Summit

Generated by Google Gemini AI on August 10, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

The recent Berlin Summit may not have achieved much on the surface, but it did clarify some important aspects of the Ukraine crisis.

Ukraine Crisis: 2016 Peace Plan for Donbas

cc Michał Józefaciuk, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Petro_Poroshenko_Kiev_Senate_of_Poland_2014.JPG

A new peace plan is being tabled to end the Ukraine crisis. But will the government in Kiev sign on?

Ukraine Conflict Heating Up Again

cc Marc Müller (1984–) wikidata:Q59276133, modified, 51st Munich Security Conference 2015: Petro Poroschenko (President, Ukraine), Dr. Angela Merkel (Federal Chancellor, Federal Republic of Germany), Joseph R. Biden Jr. (Vice President, United States of America) https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Poroschenko_Merkel_and_Biden_Security_Conference_February_2015.jpg

It would appear that Russian leaders aren’t ready to put the Ukraine conflict on ice.

Global Forecast (08-11-2016)

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Presidential elections in Zambia, upcoming minutes from the US FOMC, and Ukrainian “incursions” into Crimea.

Ukraine’s Conflict in Donbas: Current Situation and Prospects

cc Flickr Petra Wessman, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/138067900@N08/51958466565/in/photolist-2naoHUr-DQMRNA-2nnY2Cs-2kfF9fw-2n7JHwd-2noV8uf-2iWgzvz-2noVjN4-2n9rpPU-2noWo5P-2noV8di-2noVjx4-2noVjwn-2noPRm4-2noPRkY-2n6rsbf-594B8n-2n7kqZP-8ifzp7-k6WPqM-cJjSEq-cEeecy-8juCHm-HKc4Gp-2noV8dt-2npdBfF-2ndZ9TE-2npisAP-2noy1SP-2nbsVtr-b8Xtnn-oeRQSg-2nmyMP7-2nqdHzF-2nqGVaT-2noV8sX-2no1vpC-bWccAY-3748kc-88Udeu-2nqDrEQ-2nqsmhM-2namd5h-eJRnK2-2nkuP2g-WkrX1q-fCNQB5-WS9w4A-cJjLc9-2nnvMRb

Will elections in the Donbas thaw out Ukraine’s frozen conflict and move the Minsk II process forward?

What Will the EU Decide on Russia Sanctions?

EU Flag, Generated by Google Gemini on July 25, 2025.

The return of celebrated Ukrainian pilot Nadiya Savchenko in a prisoner swap suggests that Moscow is launching a charm offensive to convince the EU to lift its Russia sanctions. But will it work?

Ukraine Economy in 2016: Turning a Corner?

Poroshenko Ukraine 2014, modified, cc The Presidential Administration of Ukraine, https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Petro_Poroshenko_2014_presidential_inauguration_07.jpg

Recent numbers suggest that Ukraine’s economy may be on the road to recovery.

Critical Months Ahead for Ukraine’s Minsk II

cc kremlin.ru, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/49458

Ukraine’s Minsk II ceasefire agreement is teetering on a razor’s edge.

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