Al Qaeda News & Analysis

The Collapse of al-Assad’s Syria, One Year On

cc White House, modified, President of the United States Donald Trump with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman and President of Syria Ahmed al-Sharaa during Donald Trump's state visit to Saudi Arabia. / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:President_Donald_Trump_with_Saudi_Crown_Prince_Mohammed_Bin_Salman_and_President_of_Syria_Ahmed_al-Sharaa_%282025%29.jpg

From Camp Bucca to the People's Palace in Damascus: How the West created President Julani.

Al Qaeda in the Indian Sub-Continent: Still a Threat to India?

cc shankar s., modified, Flickr, https://www.flickr.com/photos/shankaronline/38641686820

Recent arrests near the Bangladesh border suggest that Al-Qaeda in the Indian Sub-Continent is down but not out.

Zawahiri Killing: A New Twist in Afghanistan

Osama bin Laden sits with his adviser and purported successor Ayman al-Zawahiri during an interview in Afghanistan, Barack Obama; Hamid Mir, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Hamid_Mir_interviewing_Osama_bin_Laden_and_Ayman_al-Zawahiri_2001.jpg

The recent Zawahiri killing highlights how hard it is for Washington to completely quit the region.

Backgrounder: Differentiating between Islamic State & Al-Qaeda

Islamic State flag abstraction, Generated by Google Gemini AI on August 7, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

One has altered the Middle Eastern map, and the other has proven far more resilient than many believed possible.

Al-Qaeda and Islamic State Vie for Supremacy in West Africa

cc VOA, modified, https://simple.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Al-Qaida_au_Maghreb_Islamique_combattants.png

Islamic State and Al-Qaeda in the Maghreb are locked in a fierce competition for one of the most lucrative frontiers of global jihad: West Africa.

Al-Qaeda Struggles to Make Inroads in India

OsamaHorse, cc Flickr 2winTradez, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Al-Qaeda has chosen India as a key pivot in its South Asia strategy.

A New Image for an Old Al-Qaeda

cc Osama bin Laden sits with his adviser Ayman al-Zawahiri during an interview with Pakistani journalist Hamid Mir. Hamid Mir took this picture during his third and last interview with Osama bin Laden in November 2001 in Kabul. Ayman al-Zawahri was present in this interview and acted as the translator of Osama bin Laden. / cc Hamid Mir, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Hamid_Mir_interviewing_Osama_bin_Laden_and_Ayman_al-Zawahiri_2001.jpg

Pressured by Western governments and Islamic State, Al-Qaeda is undergoing a transition as it struggles to remain relevant in the global movement it helped to create.

Analysis: Belmokhtar’s Death a Boost for Islamic State in Libya

cc Flickr U.S. Institute of Peace, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

If Mokhtar Belmokhtar is confirmed to have been killed by a US airstrike over the weekend, it would remove an obstacle keeping the al-Mourabitoun from pledging its allegiance to Islamic State.

Al-Shabaab: A Complex and Resilient Threat

Islamic State flag, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Flag_of_Islamic_State_of_Iraq.svg

Military responses to the al-Shabaab Garissa attacks in Kenya are doomed to fail.

Amid a Deepening Civil War, US Pulls Troops from Yemen

cc US Department of State, modified, https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Secretary_Kerry_and_Yemeni_President_Hadi_Address_Reporters.jpg

Washington just lost its ‘boots on the ground’ on the next major front in the war against Sunni extremism.

Blowback: Charlie Hebdo and the Contradictions of Western Policy

cc Olivier Ortelpa from Paris, France, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Je_suis_Charlie,_Paris_11_January_2015_%283%29.jpg

John Rosenthal argues that recent Western foreign policy missteps in Libya and Syria have fueled the rise of radical Islam.

Navigating the Charlie Hebdo Punditry Chorus

cc Olivier Ortelpa from Paris, France, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Je_suis_Charlie,_Paris_11_January_2015_%283%29.jpg

Neither conservatives nor liberals have got it totally right in the post-Charlie Hebdo editorial space.

Boko Haram’s Abubakar Shekau: Dead or Alive?

Generated by Google Gemini on August 4, 2025.

Rumors are circulating that Boko Haram’s mysterious leader Abubakar Shekau has been killed. If true, how will this impact the group’s operations?

Yemen Quietly Descends into Chaos

Yemen civil war / cc fahd sadi, picture from 2016; Aerial bombardments on Sana'a, Yemen from Saudi Arabia without the right aircraft. injustice / https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Aerial_bombardments_on_Sana%27a,_Yemen_from_Saudi_Arabia_without_the_right_aircraft._injustice_-_panoramio.jpg

If you asked a State Department employee what their worst-case scenario for the Middle East was five years ago, the response might have described what is currently unfolding across the region.

Libya in 2014: Back on the Road to Dictatorship

Generated by Google Gemini on July 30, 2025.

The most recent outbreak of fighting may just sound the death knell for the post-Qadhafi order in Libya. Now the question becomes: who will be the one to defeat the militias and seize power by force?

Does Nigeria’s GDP Rebasing Suggest a Power Shift in Africa?

Generated by Google Gemini on August 1, 2025.

Nigeria recently received a big GDP boost in the official books, overtaking South Africa as the continent’s largest economy. But can the government in Abuja compete with the Rainbow Nation on the diplomatic front?

Despite Instability, Algeria Remains Revolution-Proof

cc thierry ehrmann, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/home_of_chaos/5494104157

Algeria has remained so resilient to the political forces that swept through neighboring states. Why?

What Will a Post-NATO Afghanistan Look Like?

Afghan Air Force 1st Lt. , Shawanaz Nabi Zada, briefs Afghan National Army soldiers and other passengers prior to the first-ever all Afghan C-130 flight, Kabul, Afghanistan, June 16, 2014. The aircrew, made up of six AAF pilots and loadmasters, successfully completed a mission from Kabul to Kandahar and back. The aircrew successfully planned, executed and accounted for movement of about 120 Afghan personnel, two casualty evacuation patients, luggage and cargo in both directions. The ability for the AAF aircrew to move Afghan National Army Security Forces personnel, cargo, CASEVAC patients and human remains missions is a major accomplishment for both the AAF and NATO Air Training Command – Afghanistan advisors assigned to the 438th Air Expeditionary Wing. This milestone was accomplished eight months earlier than projected. (U.S. Air Force photo by Staff Sgt. Vernon Young Jr.) / https://www.afcent.af.mil/News/Article/500183/afghan-air-force-completes-first-ever-c-130-flight/

Examining some possible scenarios should NATO forces completely withdraw from Afghanistan in 2014.

Indian Mujahideen: The Face of “New Terrorism” in India?

Generated by Google Gemini on July 30, 2025.

Examining the organizational structure of Indian Mujahideen and asks whether the recent arrests of the organization's leaders will affect its operational capacity.

Syrian Spillover: Violence Surges in Iraq

Generated by Google Gemini on July 27, 2025.

How will the ongoing civil war in Syria is impact sectarian tensions in Iraq?

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