Afpak Region News & Analysis

Trump Dreams of Bagram’s Geopolitical Reemergence

cc USGOV-PD, modified, English: A C-5 Galaxy takes off from a runway at Bagram Air Base, Afghanistan. In recent years, the 22nd Airlift Squadron has participated in missions in Afghanistan supporting Operation Enduring Freedom. / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:22d_Airlift_Squadron_C-5_taking_off_from_Bagram_Air_Base_Afghanistan.jpg

A return of the Bagram Air Base remains highly unlikely, but movement in this direction reflects a tentative warming in US-Afghan ties.

Geopolitics Weekly (Afghan Earthquake, US Drones, India Military Modernization)

GeopoliticsWeeklyHeader

This week we cover a new prime minister’s entry into the fray of Thai politics, President Trump making moves to expand the global market for US drone sales, geopolitical risks associated with a recent earthquake in Afghanistan, and India’s ambitious new military modernization program.

China’s Wakhan Corridor Dilemma: Economic Development or Security?

Wakhan Corridor

China is moving forward on the development of the Wakhan Corridor, creating a direct land link with Afghanistan. Yet the slow pace of cooperation reflects justified concerns over the security of the route.

The Making of ‘Terroristan’: Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Pashtun Nationalism

cc erwinlux, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Search&limit=500&offset=0&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns12=1&ns14=1&ns100=1&ns106=1&search=pashtun+afghanistan+filetype%3Abitmap&advancedSearch-current={%22fields%22:{%22filetype%22:%22bitmap%22}}#/media/File:Mortar_attack_on_Shigal_Tarna_garrison,_Kunar_Province,_87_(1to1).jpg

Conventional assessments of the Pashtunwali social code and the history of the Pashtun region tend to overlook the geopolitical and colonial factors that fueled the rise of terrorism in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

Geopolitical Fallout from Taliban Takeover of Afghanistan

cc Al Jazeera English, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/aljazeeraenglish/8153255174

A Taliban-controlled Afghanistan reshuffles the geopolitical deck in a highly strategic region.

Wilayat Khorasan: Past and Present Dynamics in the Af-Pak Region

Generated by Google Gemini on July 27, 2025.

Tracing the rise of Islamic States Af-Pak affiliate, Wilayat Khorasan.

The Great Game Revived: Russia’s Interests in Afghanistan

Russia Afghanistan, Generated by Google Gemini AI on August 19, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

With a US pullout likely, regional players are scrambling to shore up their long-term interests in Afghanistan. This article examines the military and economic objectives driving Russia’s foreign policy there.

The Great Game Revived: Pakistan’s Interests in Afghanistan

PakistanGrungeFlag, cc Flickr Nicolas Raymond, Flickr, Modified, http://freestock.ca/flags_maps_g80-pakistan_grunge_flag_p1062.html, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

With a US pullout likely, regional players are scrambling to shore up their long-term interests in Afghanistan. This article examines the military and economic objectives driving Pakistan’s foreign policy there.

Belt and Rage: China Consulate Attacked in Karachi

Chinaflag, cc Nicholas Raymond, modified, http://freestock.ca/flags_maps_g80-china_grunge_flag_p1029.html

The attack in Karachi reflects animosity toward Chinese investment in Pakistan’s tribal regions. It may also be a sign of things to come.

Backgrounder: 2018 Pakistan Elections

PakistanElectionProcession, cc Flickr Wasif Malik, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Millions of Pakistanis will head to the polls on July 25 to elect a new government, braving a wave of election-related violence across the country.

Pakistan Teeters on the Brink of Economic Crisis in 2018

PakistanRupee, cc Abbas dhothar , modified, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pakistani_rupee#/media/File:PKR_Rs_1000.jpg

In an echo of the country’s brush with catastrophe in 2013, Pakistan is once again hurtling toward a currency crisis.

The Afghanistan War under Trump

USArmy, cc Flickr The U.S. Army, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

President Trump has ruled out negotiations with the Taliban just as a BBC study revealed the militant group’s sprawling presence over large swathes of Afghanistan.

Pakistan-US Relations: Self-Denial is the Biggest Threat to World Peace

Generated by Google Gemini on August 4, 2025.

Warped views on both sides of the bilateral equation are acting as a destabilizing force.

Taliban Leader Mansour Killed in US Drone Strike

cc Mullah Akhtar Muhammad Mansour Shah Muhammad (1968 - May 21, 2016), also known as Mullah Mansour, was the Emir of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan and former leader of the Taliban after the death of Mullah Omar, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D9%84%D8%A7_%D8%A3%D8%AE%D8%AA%D8%B1_%D9%85%D8%AD%D9%85%D8%AF_%D9%85%D9%86%D8%B5%D9%88%D8%B1.png

The removal of Taliban leader Mullah Mansour will resonate in the AfPak region for years to come.

Pakistan Tensions Jeopardize Afghan Strategy

Generated by Google Gemini on July 25, 2025.

The latest political tensions in Pakistan, which could see key members of government ousted, threaten to unravel President Obama's Afghan strategy before it even has the chance to take root.

A New US Surge in Pakistan?

US Predator Drone, modified, US Predator Drone, Generated by Google Gemini on July 27, 2025.

President Obama’s decision to deploy an additional 30,000 troops in Afghanistan has obscured an equally important development: the intensification of U.S operations in Pakistan.

2008-2009 Israel-Hamas War

cc IDF, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Merkava-Mk-4-Barak-0001.jpg / IDF Merkava Mk 4 Barak מרכבה סימן 4 ברק

The 2008-2009 Israel-Gaza War enters its second week, with no signs of letting up any time soon.

Canada’s Role in NATO Operation in Afghanistan

cc ISAF, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Canadian_and_Afghan_National_Army_soldiers_patrol_in_Badula_Qulp_during_Operation_Moshtarak.jpg

Canada’s combat role in Afghanistan will almost certainly end in a little over two years, if not sooner, due to a convergence of recent events.

Conspiracy Surrounding Mumbai Attacks?

Generated by Google Gemini on July 25, 2025.

Just who was behind last week’s terrorist attack in Mumbai, India? Of all the players involved, everyone seems to have been advantaged by the carnage.  It may be too early to determine just who the mastermind is, but a careful analysis of quickly unfolding events ought to reveal just who had the most to gain – and, in geopolitics, the player with the most to gain is usually the culprit.

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