Dr. Scott N. Romaniuk

Scott N. Romaniuk is a research fellow at the Corvinus Centre for Contemporary Asia Studies (CAS), Corvinus Institute for Advanced Studies. Email: [email protected]

Reassessing Rearmament: Germany, Japan, and Contemporary Security Policy

cc 毎日新聞社, modified, ロンドン海軍軍縮会議の初日に演説する若槻会議は1922年(大正11)のワシントン海軍軍縮条約で対象にならなかった巡洋艦・駆逐艦・潜水艦などの補助艦艇の保有量に歯止めをかける目的で開催された。出席国は、アメリカ・イギリス・日本・フランス・イタリアの5大海軍国であったが、フランスとイタリアは潜水艦の制限保有量などに反発して本条約に調印せず、部分的な合意にとどまった。1930年1月21日撮影。写真/毎日新聞社

Warnings of ‘rearmament’ in Germany and Japan might make for an easy analogy but they miss the point: The question is not whether these countries are increasing military capabilities, but why they are. And here is where the historical comparisons start to fall apart.

Capability Gaps and Uneven Implementation: Canada’s Indo-Pacific Strategy

PORT ANGELES, Wash. -- The Canadian Coast Guard hovercraft Siyay demonstrates its capabilities off the coast of Washington Aug. 23, 2009 as part of the North Pacific Coast Guard Forum. Canada, Japan, Russia, and the United States sent ships to take part in the Forum, while two members of the forum, China and South Korea, participated as observers. The partner nations conducted simulated search and rescue, aids to navigation, law enforcement and security operations during the three-day event. U.S. Coast Guard photo by Petty Officer 3rd Class Cory J. Mendenhall. VIRIN = 090823-G-#####-001 - https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Canadian_Coast_Guard_hovercraft_Siyay_-_090823-G-------001.jpg

Canada is present in the Indo-Pacific, but its engagement lacks the policy and material discipline required to shape outcomes. The costs of this approach will only increase as China consolidates its influence in the region.

Narrative at Arms: Framing, Discourse, and Media Control in the Iran War

Generated by Google Gemini AI on April 13, 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

The Iran war raises fundamental questions about who has the authority to shape a story and how much control anyone should have over wartime information in a democratic society.

Israel Strike Prospects on Iran in 2026: High-Risk Equilibria

cc Major Ofer, Israeli Air Force , modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:IAF-F-35I-and-F-16I-nf.jpg / The

The risk of a new round of Israeli strikes against Iran is shaped less by a discrete ‘decision’ than by an unstable equilibrium left unresolved by diplomacy, deterrence signaling, and regional de-escalation.

Sheikh Maqsoud as a Test Case for Syria’s Unresolved Order

Aleppo Citadel; Generated by Google Gemini AI on January 12 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Sheikh Maqsoud, a diverse neighborhood in Aleppo, provides a microcosm for how sectarian conflict and institutional development might play out in Syria.

Israel, Somaliland, and Türkiye: Recognition Battleground in the Horn of Africa

Generated by Google Gemini AI on January 2 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Israel’s decision to formally recognize Somaliland represents a strategic recalibration with consequences that extend far beyond northern Somalia. The move places Israel on a potential collision course with Türkiye and challenges long-standing assumptions about borders, legitimacy, and influence.

AI and Asymmetric Threats: A Fork in the Road for US Navy Modernization

Ships from the Gerald R. Ford Carrier Strike Group (GRFCSG) and the Bataan Amphibious Ready Group (ARG), and Hellenic Navy frigate HS Navarinon (F 461) sail in formation in the Mediterranean Sea, Dec. 31, 2023. The ships from the GRFCSG include the first-in-class aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN 78) and the Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile USS The Sullivans (DDG 68), USS Bulkeley (DDG 84), and USS Delbert D. Black (DDG 119). The ships from the Bataan ARG include the Wasp-class amphibious assault ship USS Bataan (LHD 5), the San Antonio Class-class amphibious transport dock USS Mesa Verde (LPD 19), Harpers Ferry-class dock landing ship USS Carter Hall (LSD 50). The U.S. maintains forward deployed, ready, and postured forces to deter aggression and support security and stability around the world. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Maxwell Orlosky)

As the US Navy grapples with quantity and cost challenges in its conventional shipbuilding program, small tech startups hold out the promise of a swifter adaptation to the asymmetric realities of modern conflict.

Erdoğan’s Iraq Visit: Toward a New Regional Paradigm?

cc kremlin.ru, modified, http://www.en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/55011/photos/49351

Erdoğan’s recent visit to Iraq hopes to herald in a new era of development under the banner of the Development Road Project. However, the critical matter of Baghdad’s posture toward the PKK remains unresolved.

Creating a Crisis: Canada and the Foreign Fighter Phenomenon

cc Flickr Grant is a Grant, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/thegrantyouknow/51391946784/in/photolist-2mikaj1-bzim5B-F7ihnh-KbadrU-2jvCBSq-KdvFwc-8xLBzx-v6CStL-2hxKs1W-KdvFDX-z2tfQd-2mG1FnP-y7K8VL-2mGmSry-y7VYdX-ybFS7U-2mGiBXv-zJANWe-z3KJZh-2d5ZKML-a7mJYp-2ixTDny-2mG6LFS-JUdTb7-ydXcCA-2hiCzJq-UuSdm3-2ixTDnJ-z3NjRS-yTo3yj-z2vD11-9en7KP-6x2u5z-6b6ku9-PDa2qv-ELDmAb-z9xkhp-8v2fmx-a9nq86-z9Wvgs-yTsUfB-Kt25E5-yk4doe-VcbWcs-ye6ynz-2634Fmp-a9iXFM-KyFGZd-JoaU2d-THpYtu

By opening the door to Canadian foreign fighters in Ukraine, Ottawa actually harms the rules-based system it purports to defend.

Degrees of Fiction: Gauging the Accuracy of China’s COVID-19 Statistics

cc Kremlin.ru, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Search&limit=500&offset=0&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns14=1&search=xi+jinping&advancedSearch-current=%7B%7D&searchToken=66loph4br26xnecf53fovfwvs#%2Fmedia%2FFile%3AVladimir_Putin_and_Xi_Jinping_%282019-06-05%29_63.jpg

Though the world may never know the truth, it’s safe to say that it’s not what the CCP has been offering up throughout the COVID-19 pandemic.

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