Is the GCC Ready for War? The High Stakes of Confronting Iran
Gulf leaders are being forced to decide whether to remain in a defensive posture or join offensive operations against Iran to reestablish credibility. The wrong move could lock the region into a cycle of infrastructure warfare that lasts years.
Geopolitics of the GIUK Gap: Past, Present, and Future
The GIUK Gap – a mainstay of 20th century naval strategy – is taking on new importance amid mounting Russian naval activity, Arctic expansion, and emerging hybrid threats.
Iron Beam Laser: Israel’s Answer to the Drone Revolution
The Iron Beam is a new laser-based system that hopes to narrow the cost asymmetries between cheap drones and expensive interceptors. If it lives up to the hype, it could usher in a new era in air defenses.
Siliguri Corridor: The Achilles’ Heel of India
Barely 20 kilometers wide at its narrowest, the Siliguri Corridor is India’s sole land link to its northeast. Hemmed in by foreign borders and overshadowed by rival powers, it is a place where geography becomes destiny and unity rests on the most fragile of threads.
Taiwan in Japan’s Strategic Perspective: Gateway to Tokyo’s Backyard
Taiwan matters to Japan: economically, diplomatically, and strategically. But while Tokyo cannot detach itself from Taiwan’s fate, neither can it afford to become too tightly bound to outcomes it does not control.
Permanent Partition? Frontline Hardens in Sudan Civil War
Both the SAF and RSF may accept a short-term truce owing to international pressure or tactical regrouping, but neither will make the concessions required for lasting peace. The current partition of Sudan is here to stay.
China–Taiwan War: How an Invasion Could Unfold
Across the narrow strait separating Taiwan from China lies a question that could define the century: what happens when deterrence fails? This article examines how a war could play out.
Trump’s C5+1 Gamble: Can America Reclaim Central Asia?
The C5+1 Summit is the latest of many historical attempts by Washington to engage with Central Asia, this time driven by growing great power competition and a need to diversify critical mineral supply chains. Could this time be different than the abortive initiatives of the past?
Setting a Precedent: US War on Drugs Reboots in Latin America
It’s not the volume of Washington’s drug boat strikes that’s most important – it’s the precedent they set for future military action. This forecast examines the diplomatic, economic, and military risk factors inherent to President Trump’s militarized approach to counter-narcotics.
US–China Trade Truce Redux: Risks Behind the Busan Deal
The Busan framework illustrates a new phase in US–China relations: one defined not by resolution or reconciliation, but by management of rivalry.
