Geopolitical Monitor

SNAPSHOT: China Economy Comes Down to Earth

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New economic data over the weekend suggests that the post-COVID boom might not be quite as loud as some had anticipated.

Global Forecast (5-17-2021)

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Inflation in focus in Europe, the junta government in Myanmar faces more armed resistance, and Israel unrest spreads to the West Bank.

Timeline: 2021 Gaza Conflict and Inter-Communal Violence in Israel

cc Avichai Socher, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?sort=last_edit_desc&search=iron+dome+filetype%3Abitmap&title=Special%3ASearch&profile=advanced&fulltext=1&advancedSearch-current=%7B%22fields%22%3A%7B%22filetype%22%3A%22bitmap%22%7D%7D&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns14=1#/media/File:Operation_Guardian_of_the_Walls,_May_2021._XXXVII.jpg

Recounting the events leading up to the 2021 Gaza conflict, events that produced some of the worst sectarian violence in Israel’s history.

SNAPSHOT: US Inflation Spikes in 2021

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CPI data in the United States added to fears that the global economic recovery could be derailed by runaway inflation.

Global Forecast (5-10-2021)

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Inflation data in the United States, Bibi on the ropes in Israel, and signs of renewed violence in Afghanistan.

G7 Reinvents Itself as Democratic Bulwark in London

cc Boris Johnson twitter, modified, OGL, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Search&redirs=0&search=g7%20boris%20johnson&fulltext=Search&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns14=1&title=Special:Search&advanced=1&fulltext=Advanced%20search#/media/File:Boris_Johnson_hosts_virtual_G7_meeting_(1).jpg

The G7’s sprawling new communique portrays the bloc as a democratic bulwark against creeping authoritarianism.

Peru’s Voters Mull a Hard Left Turn

Peru Libre in 2014, cc Roy Cerrón Rojas, modified, wikicommons, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Campa%C3%B1a_Per%C3%BA_Libre.JPG

Decades of business-friendly politics may be coming to an abrupt end in Peru.

Inflationary Signs Mount in Post-COVID Economic Normalization

cc Flickr U.S. Department of Agriculture, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/

Are rising prices temporary normalization pains, or a new normal in the making?

India Shows COVID-19 Pandemic Far from Over

cc Wikicommons Sumita Roy Dutta, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Search&limit=500&offset=0&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns14=1&search=delhi+covid#/media/File:COVID-19_vaccination_in_Delhi_IMG_20210409_100923.jpg

Variants have altered the COVID risk dynamic, and emerging economies are uniquely vulnerable to severe outbreaks. This article highlights some of the most at-risk countries.

London Meetings Hint at Democratic Rebrand of G7

Joe Biden in virtual G7 meeting earlier this year; cc White House, modified, public domain, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:President_Joe_Biden_meets_with_G7_leaders.jpg

One of the world’s least consequential multilateral groupings is getting a democratic makeover as the G7’s first high-level head-to-head meetings in two years take place in London.

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