Antonio Graceffo

US-China Rivalry: A Modern ‘Great Game’

Generated by Google Gemini AI on May 25, 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Where many see the Cold War as the closest historical analogue to the contemporary US-China rivalry, the 19th century ‘Great Game’ is a much more apt comparison.

Mongolia’s “Third Neighbor”: Balancing between China, Russia, and the U.S.

Downtown Ulaanbaatar, cc Zazaa Mongolia, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:UB_downtown.jpg

Mongolia’s location is highly strategic as a buffer zone and transit point between Russia and China, yet Ulaanbaatar has avoided the trap of overreliance on either one by cultivating extra-regional links under its Third Neighbor policy.

Battle for Myawaddy Reflects Urban Shift in Myanmar Civil War

MyanmarCivilWar

The battle for Myawaddy reflects a shift in the Myanmar civil war. With the countryside now largely held by opposition forces, junta-held towns and cities are now being swept up in the fighting.

Turkey Inflation, Debt Signal More Economic Pain to Come

Turkey Inflation and Interest Rates since 2015

The Erdoğan administration may have pivoted back to orthodox economics to combat inflation in Turkey, but there is no path out of the wilderness that does not entail more economic pain.

Unrest in Bangladesh: The Collapse of Sheikh Hasina’s Government

Sheikh Hasina was forced to flee amid ongoing unrest in Bangladesh; cc DelwarHossain, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Sheikh_Hasina_2023.jpg

A wave of political unrest in Bangladesh has brought down the longstanding government of Sheikh Hasina, and the path forward remains unclear.

Myanmar Civil War: A Conflict Without End

cc Bonovox84; Wikicommons; modified; the start of the Myanmar Civil War dates further back than the removal of Aung San Suu Kyi in 2021. https://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Aung_San_Suu_Kyi_U2.JPG

Many date the start of the Myanmar civil war to the 2021 coup that removed Aung San Suu Kyi from power. However, this is just the latest phase of one of the longest running conflicts in the world.

Venezuela Election Crisis: Maduro Faces (Another) Test

cc Eneas De Troya, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/eneas/32265542025/in/photolist-k3Vouz-k3XQ7w-2poPSPZ-pe8WDQ-k3VnCK-2oDM9t4-RackwH-QVZLj7-k3W3Z8-QYCpMt-2is9DJm-k3VofX-2oDGjk2-2oDKngv-2oDLRBk-ebkD72-2oDM9BL-2oDLScd-2oDLRDj-e3tw71-ebjwMX-2oDLRLD-eaGctR-eaMRFE-eaGc8V-kfJzcL-26Vmzee-eak3tx-eak9iD-eak3Gp-232Gtms-ebweiL-eaMQKu-eb6dwV-ebjwZv-ebqAFi-k3XQeA-eak3W8-eaMRnu-eaGerx-eaqHTh-eak914-eak6WT-eaGdYt-eaqKg5-eaGehr-ebjxU8-eaqHD5

Another election, another political crisis in Venezuela. But while some factors seem different this time, such as the chorus of external pressure, Maduro’s political fate will still be determined by his backers in the security forces.

Backgrounder: The NATO Pivot toward Asia

cc BriYYZ, modified, NATO E-3 on final approach to Nellis AFB after participating in day one of Red Flag 2014-2

China has slowly come to inhabit a significant position in NATO security thinking. However, given the different economic stakes involved, it remains unlikely that European threat assessments will be aligning with American ones anytime soon.

The Brave Old World of Russia’s Foreign Policy Concept

cc Pavel

Russia’s new Foreign Policy Concept outlines the new multipolar order that Moscow is working toward, an order that shares more than a passing resemblance with the imperial and ideological conflicts of recent past.

Taiwan’s Han Kuang Military Exercises Signal Shifting Defense Priorities

cc 總統府, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Military_people_of_Taiwanese_Military_Police_20200526_01.jpg

Recent defense policy documents and the Han Kuang military exercises signal an evolution in military tactics as Taiwan begins preparing for an asymmetric conflict in and around the main island.

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