Us Foreign Policy News & Analysis

The Next-Hand Syndrome: America’s War Gamble Against Iran

Poker Iran, Generated by Google Gemini AI on April 20, 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Operation Epic Fury may have begun as a demonstration of power, but its ultimate significance will depend on whether Washington recognizes when to leave the table—or continues raising the stakes in pursuit of a winning hand that may never arrive.

India’s Foreign Policy Must Be Guided by Historical Reality, Not Catchphrases

cc White House, modified, https://www.whitehouse.gov/gallery/president-donald-trump-meets-with-prime-minister-narendra-modi-of-india/

As India enters a critical decade for its future as a major power, it must deftly navigate a volatile geopolitical environment with a sober appreciation of the lessons of history – not the catchphrases of our current moment.

Peace, Interrupted: Dangerous Fallout from the US Institute of Peace Shutdown

cc The United States Institute of Peace Headquarters located at 2301 Constitution Avenue NW in Washington, D.C.., cc Something Original, modified, https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:United_States_Institute_of_Peace.jpg

At a time when the U.S. faces a credibility deficit in much of the world, cutting off one of the few institutions designed to build bridges rather than walls is a stunning act of strategic negligence.

Trump’s Middle East Visit: A Calculated Power Play in the New Geopolitical Normal

cc Trump White House/ President Trump's visit to Saudi Arabia in 2017 / https://flickr.com/photos/whitehouse45/34398799400/in/photolist-286V31w-TK1vF1-THmmWE-M4roSU-UpGQwf-26rrUFs-TK1vj9-TRfij2-TMX5vP-UpGQCh-THmyp9-TMX4za-TRfidk-UWd6qS-286Nae3-NAHSP-UZLxnD-M4nVKU-297R9Rs-TMX45n-27Per9T-TK1wL7-UWd5Yu-27PfhL8-TLgxKp-UZLy36-UN4vxF-TRfjaF-UZLxN8-UZLy4P-UKpTVL-TLgxSD-UN4wDt-UPMktc-UZLyoX-UZLyor-286SNVN-UPMkFX-UZLxxi-Urogi5-26rpDLS-Qd7Lwv-UKpWEo-UWd7iy-UZLwWi-UWd6P7-RzWA2M

Trump will bring a long list of asks when he visits the Middle East for the first formal trip of his second term. But the Gulf states are not passive actors, and they will be making requests of their own.

Whither the Quiet American? The Harmful Bombast of Trump’s Presidency

President of the United States Donald Trump speaking at the 2025 Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) at the Gaylord National Resort & Convention Center in National Harbor, Maryland. / cc Gage Skidmore, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/gageskidmore/54362203846/

Contrary to prevailing opinion in the White House, the world is far too complex to be reduced to simple deals and slogans.

Trump’s Russia Strategy: Breaking the Sino-Russian Alliance or Strengthening It?

President of Russia Vladimir Putin and General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party Xi Jinping having tea at an informal setting at the garden of Zhongnanhai in Beijing. / cc kremlin.ru, modified, https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Vladimir_Putin_and_Xi_Jinping_having_tea_at_the_garden_of_Zhongnanhai_%282024-05-16%29_2.jpg

Pulling off a repeat of the Sino-Soviet split may be wishful thinking.

Trump 2.0 & Iran: Same Pressure, Different Middle East

cc khamenei.ir, modified, https://ar.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D9%85%D9%84%D9%81:Ayatollah_Ali_Khamenei_at_the_Great_Conference_of_Basij_members_at_Azadi_stadium_October_2018_029.jpg

Though the ‘maximum pressure’ of the first Trump administration was unsuccessful in deterring Iran, it’s about to make a comeback – and this time in a much more volatile Middle East.

Europe Must Adapt to the Geopolitics of Realpolitik

cc Alex Mihis, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/mihisdesign/23625004253

Without tangible progress in defense, energy independence, and economic resilience, the EU risks remaining a spectator in a world increasingly shaped by power struggles and unilateral decisions.

Navigating US-Southeast Asia Relations under the Trump Administration

President Trump returning from Florida in 2020, modified, Trump White House, https://flickr.com/photos/whitehouse45/50184624051/in/photolist-2jsDjjP-2jyyvFv-2iqiCcd-2jxFhmb-24n4jRR-2iq53sF-2a4MDv7-2jyypgS-2gkMWs7-2i9Xsnj-U3HM66-2jmTogR-2jyyvG7-2j2fdqT-2iq39tM-2gkMWvP-2ga2Th1-2jxhnnf-2ga1Dvg-2jyznsv-2gnY1SW-2jyypeY-2gkMWEX-2jyvaQg-2ga22uk-2ga2Txg-2g38DDW-HxYzvG-2ivdbzH-2jyypeC-2jeZvFk-24n4jXH-2gnY26b-2iq3Ttz-2ga1CKJ-2hhJn9z-2gkMWvo-QnAmv8-2i9ZTtq-2gkMMN1-2gkMMGp-2jC1Rro-2gnXVPL-2jxX8xJ-2hhL1BM-Rd9JXv-GrnLNz-2hX3FcK-2ktphD9-2h3bbcG

Beyond economics, strengthening security ties with Southeast Asia is crucial for maintaining regional stability and countering shared threats.

Trump 2.0 Is Disastrous for Europe in Every Way

cc Trump White House, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/whitehouse45/50251564116/in/photolist-2jyypgS-2gkMWs7-2i9Xsnj-U3HM66-2ga2uVD-2jmTogR-2jyyvG7-2j2fdqT-2gkMWvP-2ia21mT-2ga1Dvg-2jyznsv-2gnY1SW-2jyypeY-2jyvaQg-2gkMWEX-2gkMMJZ-2ga22uk-2g38DDW-2ivdbzH-2jeZvFk-24n4jXH-2gnY26b-2jyyvJ6-2gxgKGA-2gnY29Y-2ga1CKJ-2ii5jd5-2hhJn9z-QnAmv8-2i9ZTtq-2gkMMN1-2gkMMGp-2jC1Rro-2hhL1BM-2gnXVPL-2jxX8xJ-GrnLNz-HxYzvG-2ktphD9-2hX3FcK-2h3bbcG-2ic5GRG-2iq39z3-2gnXv8W-2hhFG44-2i9Xsxu-2ipWx8D-2hhLYJT-2gLm5cW

The second Trump administration marks a turning point for Europe, one where the only way forward is to adopt a proactive and self-reliant approach to navigating the new normal of global geopolitics.

Trump’s Panama Canal Gambit: Sovereignty Meets Geopolitics

cc Gage Skidmore, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?sort=last_edit_desc&search=donald+trump+filetype%3Abitmap&title=Special%3ASearch&profile=advanced&fulltext=1&advancedSearch-current=%7B%22fields%22%3A%7B%22filetype%22%3A%22bitmap%22%7D%7D&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns12=1&ns14=1&ns100=1&ns106=1#/media/File:Donald_Trump_(54235541158).jpg

Examining the historical background and geopolitics of the Panama Canal – a vital trade link that has recently made headlines with President Trump’s vow to not let the canal fall into the ‘wrong hands.’

From Starlink to High Strategy: Musk’s Growing Role in US Foreign Policy

cc Steve Jurvetson, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/jurvetson/29680101130

Elon Musk’s expanding public role is paving the way toward a new technology- and innovation-based US foreign policy. Yet a risk remains of complex geopolitical relationships being reduced to a matter of technical problem-solving.

Global Forecast (3-7-2021)

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Examining the issues and hotspots that will be making headlines in the week ahead.

Trump Doctrine: The Foreign Policy of Personal Preference

cc Kremlin.ru, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/55006

Trump Doctrine is a foreign policy based not on any vision of the United States' role in the world, but rather on the commander-in-chief's vision of various world leaders.

Bering Strait: A New Chokepoint for Great Power Competition

The attack submarine USS Annapolis (SSN 760) rests in the Arctic Ocean after surfacing through three feet of ice during Ice Exercise 2009 on March 21, 2009. The two-week training exercise, which is used to test submarine operability and war-fighting capability in Arctic conditions, also involves the USS Helena (SSN 725), the University of Washington and personnel from the Navy Arctic Submarine Laboratory. DoD photo by Petty Officer 1st Class Tiffini M. Jones, U.S. Navy. (Released), https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:USS_Annapolis_ICEX.jpg

The Northern Sea Route through the Arctic will alter global trade flows and in doing so create new geopolitical chokepoints. Chief among them is the Bering Strait, where US, Russian, and Chinese interests converge.

Trump to Sink Further into the Syria Quagmire?

President Trump at 2017 CPAC, Flickr Gage Skidmore, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Weeks after reportedly telling his generals to draw up plans for a withdrawal from Syria, the US president finds himself being pulled back in.

The End of British Influence?

MayPutin, cc 4.0 http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/52822, modified,

The twin pillars of UK foreign policy – its ‘special relationship’ with the U.S. and central presence in the EU – have collapsed, and the ensuing diplomatic isolation is on full display following the Skripal poisoning.

Fifth Times a Charm? Denuclearization Diplomacy Returns to the Korean Peninsula

NKGames, cc Flickr Michael Day, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

A spirit of détente has descended on the Korean Peninsula, but will it be any different from past experience?

Global Forecast (02-23-2017)

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A sign of things to come in US-Mexico relations, more Greek bailout tensions, and China picks up where it left off in the South China Sea dispute.

Restoring American Power: Congress Goes Big on US Defense Spending in 2017

cc Gage Skidmore, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/gageskidmore/14018368556

President Donald Trump and the Republican-dominated Congress have found common cause in increasing US defense spending. Here’s where some of the money could go.

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