The Ukraine war revealed a Russian military that was far more fragile than assumed, and these weaknesses have multiplied as limited resources are funneled toward the immediate demands of the battlefield. When the dust has finally settled, Moscow will face tough questions over whether to rebuild its military capacity as a superpower or a middle power.

What began as a US-Israeli war against Iran is now exposing a second front that Washington did not advertise: the slow breakdown of Western sanctions discipline.

One of the few tangible impacts of the ICC indictment is to make it almost necessary that President Putin triumphs in upcoming elections. Luckily for Putin, this won’t prove difficult.

Russia's recent constitutional referendum, peppered with fraud and manipulation, foreshadows an increasingly authoritarian Kremlin going forward.

Washington should be careful that sanctions against Russian arms exports don’t impact trade relations with key allies like India.

It's not Moscow, but the new government in Rome that might be turning off the TAP and dooming the Trans-Adriatic Pipeline project.

There’s no relief in sight for the long-suffering Russian economy, which is now faced with new sanctions and a renewed currency plunge.

The twin pillars of UK foreign policy – its ‘special relationship’ with the U.S. and central presence in the EU – have collapsed, and the ensuing diplomatic isolation is on full display following the Skripal poisoning.